Determining the likelihood of pauses and surges in global warming

Observed multivariable signals of late 20th and early 21st century volcanic activity

(2015) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends

(2015) Jochem Marotzke et al.   NATURE

Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus

(2015) T. R. Karl et al.   SCIENCE

Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures

(2015) Byron A. Steinman et al.   SCIENCE

Equilibrium climate sensitivity in light of observations over the warming hiatus

(2015) Daniel J. A. Johansson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming

(2015) C. D. Roberts et al.   Nature Climate Change

Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries

(2014) Nicola Maher et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Reconciling warming trends

(2014) Gavin A. Schmidt et al.   Nature Geoscience

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

(2014) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Varying planetary heat sink led to global-warming slowdown and acceleration

(2014) X. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

Pause for thought

(2014) Ed Hawkins et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming

(2014) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

(2014) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent global temperature “plateau” in the context of a new proxy reconstruction

(2014) Thomas J. Crowley et al.   Earths Future

The impact of volcanic eruptions in the period 2000-2013 on global mean temperature trends evaluated in the HadGEM2-ES climate model

(2013) Jim M. Haywood et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming

(2013) Peter Stott et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Recent anthropogenic increases in SO2from Asia have minimal impact on stratospheric aerosol

(2013) R. R. Neely et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Distinctive climate signals in reanalysis of global ocean heat content

(2013) Magdalena A. Balmaseda et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Separating Forced from Chaotic Climate Variability over the Past Millennium

(2013) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Statistically derived contributions of diverse human influences to twentieth-century temperature changes

(2013) Francisco Estrada et al.   Nature Geoscience

Small influence of solar variability on climate over the past millennium

(2013) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years

(2013) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

(2013) Virginie Guemas et al.   Nature Climate Change

An apparent hiatus in global warming?

(2013) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   Earths Future

Volcanic cooling signal in tree ring temperature records for the past millennium

(2013) Rosanne D'Arrigo et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Asymmetric seasonal temperature trends

(2012) Judah L. Cohen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010

(2012) S. Levitus et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Importance of the deep ocean for estimating decadal changes in Earth's radiation balance

(2011) Matthew D. Palmer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Tracing the upper ocean's “missing heat”

(2011) C. A. Katsman et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance

(2011) Markus Huber et al.   Nature Geoscience

Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998-2008

(2011) R. K. Kaufmann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Contributions of Stratospheric Water Vapor to Decadal Changes in the Rate of Global Warming

(2010) S. Solomon et al.   SCIENCE

Is the climate warming or cooling?

(2009) David R. Easterling et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS