Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years

The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming

(2013) Peter Stott et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Surface response to stratospheric aerosol changes in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model

(2013) J. C. Fyfe et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Energy budget constraints on climate response

(2013) Alexander Otto et al.   Nature Geoscience

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

(2013) Virginie Guemas et al.   Nature Climate Change

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Skillful predictions of decadal trends in global mean surface temperature

(2011) J. C. Fyfe et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Persistently Variable "Background" Stratospheric Aerosol Layer and Global Climate Change

(2011) S. Solomon et al.   SCIENCE

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Comparing variability and trends in observed and modelled global-mean surface temperature

(2010) John C. Fyfe et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Contributions of Stratospheric Water Vapor to Decadal Changes in the Rate of Global Warming

(2010) S. Solomon et al.   SCIENCE

Is the climate warming or cooling?

(2009) David R. Easterling et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Identifying Signatures of Natural Climate Variability in Time Series of Global-Mean Surface Temperature: Methodology and Insights

(2009) David W. J. Thompson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE