Recent global temperature “plateau” in the context of a new proxy reconstruction

Twenty-First-Century Compatible CO2Emissions and Airborne Fraction Simulated by CMIP5 Earth System Models under Four Representative Concentration Pathways

(2013) Chris Jones et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Background conditions influence the decadal climate response to strong volcanic eruptions

(2013) Davide Zanchettin et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models

(2013) Piers M. Forster et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Global warming in an independent record of the past 130 years

(2012) D. M. Anderson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Constraints on the high end

(2012) Isaac Held   Nature Geoscience

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

(2011) Malte Meinshausen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Correlation Models for Temperature Fields

(2011) Gerald R. North et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 2. Biases and homogenization

(2011) J. J. Kennedy et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year

(2009) Eric J. Steig et al.   NATURE

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)

(2008) Thomas M. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The impact of volcanic forcing on tropical temperatures during the past four centuries

(2008) Rosanne D’Arrigo et al.   Nature Geoscience

Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia

(2008) M. E. Mann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA