Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming

CMIP5 multi-model hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early 2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035

(2014) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Earth’s Energy Imbalance

(2014) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate change: The case of the missing heat

(2014) Jeff Tollefson   NATURE

Reconciling warming trends

(2014) Gavin A. Schmidt et al.   Nature Geoscience

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

(2014) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Recent observed and simulated warming

(2014) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

(2014) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Strengthening of ocean heat uptake efficiency associated with the recent climate hiatus

(2013) Masahiro Watanabe et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Distinctive climate signals in reanalysis of global ocean heat content

(2013) Magdalena A. Balmaseda et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Hindcast of the 1976/77 and 1998/99 Climate Shifts in the Pacific

(2013) Hui Ding et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction

(2013) F. J. Doblas-Reyes et al.   Nature Communications

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

(2013) Virginie Guemas et al.   Nature Climate Change

Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions

(2012) Doug M. Smith et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Reliability of decadal predictions

(2012) S. Corti et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s

(2012) J. I. Robson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Decadal Prediction Case Study: Late Twentieth-Century North Atlantic Ocean Heat Content

(2012) Stephen Yeager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty

(2012) Norman G. Loeb et al.   Nature Geoscience

Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998-2008

(2011) R. K. Kaufmann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Pacific decadal oscillation hindcasts relevant to near-term climate prediction

(2010) T. Mochizuki et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Decadal Prediction

(2009) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Is the climate warming or cooling?

(2009) David R. Easterling et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

(2008) Thomas Reichler et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY