Detecting Thresholds of Ecological Change in the Anthropocene

Ecological thresholds under atmospheric nitrogen deposition for 1200 herbaceous species and 24 communities across the United States

(2022) Kayla Wilkins et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Risk for overexploiting a seemingly stable seal population: influence of multiple stressors and hunting

(2021) Willian T. A. F. Silva et al.   Ecosphere

Critical ecological thresholds for conservation of tropical rainforest in Human Modified Landscapes

(2021) Germán Wies et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Shape of species climate response curves affects community response to climate change

(2021) Juan A. Bonachela et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The suggestion that landscapes should contain 40% of forest cover lacks evidence and is problematic

(2021) Cristina Banks‐Leite et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The human dimension of biodiversity changes on islands

(2021) Sandra Nogué et al.   SCIENCE

Resolving the SLOSS dilemma for biodiversity conservation: a research agenda

(2021) Lenore Fahrig et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces

(2021) Steven J. Lade et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Global impacts of invasive species on the tipping points of shallow lakes

(2021) Sam A. Reynolds et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Rate-of-change analysis in paleoecology revisited: A new approach

(2021) Ondřej Mottl et al.   REVIEW OF PALAEOBOTANY AND PALYNOLOGY

Establishing ecologically-relevant nutrient thresholds: A tool-kit with guidance on its use

(2021) Martyn G. Kelly et al.   SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

Climate change, ecosystems and abrupt change: science priorities

(2020) Monica G. Turner et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Global ecosystem thresholds driven by aridity

(2020) Miguel Berdugo et al.   SCIENCE

Forest damage by deer depends on cross‐scale interactions between climate, deer density and landscape structure

(2020) Rebecca Spake et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

The projected timing of abrupt ecological disruption from climate change

(2020) Christopher H. Trisos et al.   NATURE

Understanding rates of change: A case study using fossil pollen records from California to assess the potential for and challenges to a regional data synthesis

(2020) Lysanna Anderson et al.   QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL

Designing optimal human‐modified landscapes for forest biodiversity conservation

(2020) Víctor Arroyo‐Rodríguez et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A process‐based metacommunity framework linking local and regional scale community ecology

(2020) Patrick L. Thompson et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Non‐linearity in interspecific interactions in response to climate change: cod and haddock as an example

(2020) Joël M. Durant et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Threshold responses of riverine fish communities to land use conversion across regions of the world

(2020) Kai Chen et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Threshold harvesting as a conservation or exploitation strategy in population management

(2020) Frank M. Hilker et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Inconsistent detection of extinction debts using different methods

(2020) Lucy E. Ridding et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

(2020) David Leclère et al.   NATURE

Land-use intensity alters networks between biodiversity, ecosystem functions, and services

(2020) María R. Felipe-Lucia et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Biocrust as one of multiple stable states in global drylands

(2020) Ning Chen et al.   Science Advances

Thresholds for ecological responses to global change do not emerge from empirical data

(2020) Helmut Hillebrand et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Long‐term empirical evidence, early warning signals and multiple drivers of regime shifts in a lake ecosystem

(2020) Haojie Su et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Sampling requirements and approaches to detect ecosystem shifts

(2020) Rosalie Bruel et al.   ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS

Estimating river nutrient concentrations consistent with good ecological condition: More stringent nutrient thresholds needed

(2020) Sandra Poikane et al.   ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS

Experimental support for alternative attractors on coral reefs

(2019) Russell J. Schmitt et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

A balance of winners and losers in the Anthropocene

(2019) Maria Dornelas et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Species richness change across spatial scales

(2019) Jonathan M. Chase et al.   OIKOS

Heterogeneous urban green areas are bird diversity hotspots: insights using continental-scale citizen science data

(2019) Corey T. Callaghan et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Implications of Allee effects for fisheries management in a changing climate: evidence from Atlantic cod

(2019) Anna‐Marie Winter et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Scientist’s guide to developing explanatory statistical models using causal analysis principles

(2019) James B. Grace et al.   ECOLOGY

Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change

(2019) Sandra Díaz et al.   SCIENCE

The Regime Shifts Database: a framework for analyzing regime shifts in social-ecological systems

(2018) Reinette Biggs et al.   ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY

Planetary Boundaries for Biodiversity: Implausible Science, Pernicious Policies

(2018) José M. Montoya et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Abrupt Change in Ecological Systems: Inference and Diagnosis

(2018) Zak Ratajczak et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Linking seasonal home range size with habitat selection and movement in a mountain ungulate

(2018) Duarte S. Viana et al.   Movement Ecology

Causal inference in coupled human and natural systems

(2018) Paul J. Ferraro et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Detecting ecological thresholds and tipping points in the natural capital assets of a protected coastal ecosystem

(2018) Stephen C.L. Watson et al.   ESTUARINE COASTAL AND SHELF SCIENCE

Extreme drought pushes stream invertebrate communities over functional thresholds

(2018) Thomas W. H. Aspin et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Landscape-specific thresholds in the relationship between species richness and natural land cover

(2018) Jeremy S. Simmonds et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

A review of threshold responses of birds to landscape changes across the world

(2018) Isabel Melo et al.   JOURNAL OF FIELD ORNITHOLOGY

Cascading regime shifts within and across scales

(2018) Juan C. Rocha et al.   SCIENCE

Can we detect ecosystem critical transitions and signals of changing resilience from paleo-ecological records?

(2018) Zofia E. Taranu et al.   Ecosphere

High critical forest habitat thresholds of native bird communities in Afrotropical agroforestry landscapes

(2018) Denis Kupsch et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Interpreting variation to advance predictive restoration science

(2017) Lars A. Brudvig et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Non-random patterns of vegetation clearing and potential biases in studies of habitat area effects

(2017) Jeremy S. Simmonds et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Global warming and recurrent mass bleaching of corals

(2017) Terry P. Hughes et al.   NATURE

Defining ecosystem thresholds for human activities and environmental pressures in the California Current

(2017) Jameal F. Samhouri et al.   Ecosphere

Methods and models for identifying thresholds of habitat loss

(2016) Deyi Yin et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Early warning of critical transitions in biodiversity from compositional disorder

(2016) C. Patrick Doncaster et al.   ECOLOGY

When can positive interactions cause alternative stable states in ecosystems?

(2016) Sonia Kéfi et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Estimating the spatial scales of landscape effects on abundance

(2016) Richard Chandler et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Rethinking our approach to multiple stressor studies in marine environments

(2016) BD Griffen et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Conditional vulnerability of plant diversity to atmospheric nitrogen deposition across the United States

(2016) Samuel M. Simkin et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Early warning signals, nonlinearity, and signs of hysteresis in real ecosystems

(2016) Michael A. Litzow et al.   Ecosphere

Rethinking our approach to multiple stressor studies in marine environments

(2016) BD Griffen et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Ultrastructural Characterization of the Lower Motor System in a Mouse Model of Krabbe Disease

(2016) Valentina Cappello et al.   Scientific Reports

Reframing the land-sparing/land-sharing debate for biodiversity conservation

(2015) Claire Kremen   Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

Integrating Conservation and Restoration in a Changing World

(2015) John A. Wiens et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Positive frequency dependence undermines the success of restoration using historical disturbance regimes

(2015) Raelene Crandall et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

REVIEW: Towards a risk register for natural capital

(2015) Georgina M. Mace et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Importance of Baseline Specification in Evaluating Conservation Interventions and Achieving No Net Loss of Biodiversity

(2014) J. W. BULL et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Approaches to defining a planetary boundary for biodiversity

(2014) Georgina M. Mace et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Embracing thresholds for better environmental management

(2014) R. P. Kelly et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Using ecological thresholds to evaluate the costs and benefits of set-asides in a biodiversity hotspot

(2014) C. Banks-Leite et al.   SCIENCE

The Anthropocene

(2013) William F. Ruddiman   Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences

Identifying ecological thresholds for regulating human activity: Effective conservation or wishful thinking?

(2013) Chris J. Johnson   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

The problem of pattern and scale in ecology: what have we learned in 20 years?

(2013) Jérôme Chave   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Diatom flickering prior to regime shift

(2013) Jacob Carstensen et al.   NATURE

Fisheries: Does catch reflect abundance?

(2013) Daniel Pauly et al.   NATURE

Recovery of a top predator mediates negative eutrophic effects on seagrass

(2013) B. B. Hughes et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Does the terrestrial biosphere have planetary tipping points?

(2013) Barry W. Brook et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Land Sparing Versus Land Sharing: Moving Forward

(2013) Joern Fischer et al.   Conservation Letters

Investigating species–environment relationships at multiple scales: Differentiating between intrinsic scale and the modifiable areal unit problem

(2012) Alex M. Lechner et al.   Ecological Complexity

Experimental and environmental factors affect spurious detection of ecological thresholds

(2012) Jonathan P. Daily et al.   ECOLOGY

Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity

(2012) Céline Bellard et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions

(2012) C. Boettiger et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

What size is a biologically relevant landscape?

(2012) Heather Bird Jackson et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Critical issues for critical loads

(2012) G. M. Lovett   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Impact of nitrogen deposition at the species level

(2012) R. J. Payne et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Effects of nitrogen deposition and empirical nitrogen critical loads for ecoregions of the United States

(2011) Linda H. Pardo et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

On the use of log-transformation vs. nonlinear regression for analyzing biological power laws

(2011) Xiao Xiao et al.   ECOLOGY

Community assembly: alternative stable states or alternative transient states?

(2011) Tadashi Fukami et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ecological impacts of invasive alien plants: a meta-analysis of their effects on species, communities and ecosystems

(2011) Montserrat Vilà et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Apocalypse in world fisheries? The reports of their death are greatly exaggerated

(2011) N. Daan et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

The Global Extent and Determinants of Savanna and Forest as Alternative Biome States

(2011) A. C. Staver et al.   SCIENCE

Analysis of abrupt transitions in ecological systems

(2011) Brandon T. Bestelmeyer et al.   Ecosphere

Sub-optimal study design has major impacts on landscape-scale inference

(2010) Felix Eigenbrod et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Bayesian change point analysis of abundance trends for pelagic fishes in the upper San Francisco Estuary

(2010) James R. Thomson et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Thresholds, breakpoints, and nonlinearity in freshwaters as related to management

(2010) Walter K. Dodds et al.   JOURNAL OF THE NORTH AMERICAN BENTHOLOGICAL SOCIETY

Stochastic Community Assembly Causes Higher Biodiversity in More Productive Environments

(2010) J. M. Chase   SCIENCE

Matching Methods for Causal Inference: A Review and a Look Forward

(2010) Elizabeth A. Stuart   STATISTICAL SCIENCE

A new method for detecting and interpreting biodiversity and ecological community thresholds

(2010) Matthew E. Baker et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Ecological thresholds: an assessment of methods to identify abrupt changes in species–habitat relationships

(2009) Gentile Francesco Ficetola et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Predators temper the relative importance of stochastic processes in the assembly of prey metacommunities

(2009) Jonathan M. Chase et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A safe operating space for humanity

(2009) Johan Rockström et al.   NATURE

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Threshold models in restoration and conservation: a developing framework

(2009) Katharine N. Suding et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Novel ecosystems: implications for conservation and restoration

(2009) Richard J. Hobbs et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Critical loads as a policy tool for protecting ecosystems from the effects of air pollutants

(2008) Douglas A Burns et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude

(2008) C. A. Deutsch et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Regime shifts in marine ecosystems: detection, prediction and management

(2008) Brad deYoung et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Ecological thresholds and regime shifts: approaches to identification

(2008) Tom Andersen et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION