Analysis of abrupt transitions in ecological systems

Predator-driven component Allee effects in a wild ungulate

(2011) Aurélie Bourbeau-Lemieux et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Underwater gliders reveal rapid arrival of El Niño effects off California's coast

(2011) Robert E. Todd et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Spatial perspectives in state-and-transition models: a missing link to land management?

(2011) Brandon T. Bestelmeyer et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Extrinsic and intrinsic forcing of abrupt ecological change: case studies from the late Quaternary

(2011) John W. Williams et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Species–area relationships always overestimate extinction rates from habitat loss

(2011) Fangliang He et al.   NATURE

First Recorded Loss of an Emperor Penguin Colony in the Recent Period of Antarctic Regional Warming: Implications for Other Colonies

(2011) Philip N. Trathan et al.   PLoS One

Variability in krill biomass links harvesting and climate warming to penguin population changes in Antarctica

(2011) W. Z. Trivelpiece et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Interacting regime shifts in ecosystems: implication for early warnings

(2010) W. A. Brock et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Triggers and maintenance of multiple shifts in the state of a natural community

(2010) Andrew Rassweiler et al.   OECOLOGIA

A new high-latitude record for the macaroni penguin (Eudyptes chrysolophus) at Avian Island, Antarctica

(2010) K. B. Gorman et al.   POLAR BIOLOGY

Critical thresholds associated with habitat loss: a review of the concepts, evidence, and applications

(2009) Trisha L. Swift et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

Spurious Certainty: How Ignoring Measurement Error and Environmental Heterogeneity May Contribute to Environmental Controversies

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: What do we need to know and when do we need to know it

(2009) Raphael Contamin et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Elicitation by design in ecology: using expert opinion to inform priors for Bayesian statistical models

(2009) Samantha Low Choy et al.   ECOLOGY

Penguin responses to climate change in the Southern Ocean

(2009) JAUME FORCADA et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Tradeoffs and thresholds in the effects of nitrogen addition on biodiversity and ecosystem functioning: evidence from inner Mongolia Grasslands

(2009) YONGFEI BAI et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Experimental confirmation of multiple community states in a marine ecosystem

(2009) Peter S. Petraitis et al.   OECOLOGIA

Rapid Recovery of Damaged Ecosystems

(2009) Holly P. Jones et al.   PLoS One

Amplification of the North American "Dust Bowl" drought through human-induced land degradation

(2009) B. I. Cook et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Threshold models in restoration and conservation: a developing framework

(2009) Katharine N. Suding et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

High Latitude Changes in Ice Dynamics and Their Impact on Polar Marine Ecosystems

(2008) Mark A. Moline et al.   Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

Opinion: Projecting the effects of environmental change on Antarctic seals

(2008) Donald B. Siniff et al.   ANTARCTIC SCIENCE

On the interannual variability of ocean temperatures around South Georgia, Southern Ocean: Forcing by El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the Southern Annular Mode

(2008) Michael P. Meredith et al.   DEEP-SEA RESEARCH PART II-TOPICAL STUDIES IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Western Antarctic Peninsula physical oceanography and spatio–temporal variability

(2008) Douglas G. Martinson et al.   DEEP-SEA RESEARCH PART II-TOPICAL STUDIES IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Sea ice in the western Antarctic Peninsula region: Spatio-temporal variability from ecological and climate change perspectives

(2008) Sharon E. Stammerjohn et al.   DEEP-SEA RESEARCH PART II-TOPICAL STUDIES IN OCEANOGRAPHY

NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION, GROWTH, AND STANDING CROP OFMACROCYSTIS PYRIFERAIN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

(2008) Andrew Rassweiler et al.   ECOLOGY

Consequences of a biogeomorphic regime shift for the hyporheic zone of a Sonoran Desert stream

(2008) JAMES B. HEFFERNAN et al.   FRESHWATER BIOLOGY

Reducing climate risk for micro-insurance providers in Africa: A case study of Ethiopia

(2008) Elisabeth Meze-Hausken et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Trends in Antarctic annual sea ice retreat and advance and their relation to El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Southern Annular Mode variability

(2008) S. E. Stammerjohn et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Regime shifts in marine ecosystems: detection, prediction and management

(2008) Brad deYoung et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Ecological thresholds and regime shifts: approaches to identification

(2008) Tom Andersen et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION