Can we detect ecosystem critical transitions and signals of changing resilience from paleo-ecological records?

Early warning signals precede cyanobacterial blooms in multiple whole-lake experiments

(2018) Grace M. Wilkinson et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Seeking alternative stable states in a deep lake

(2018) Rosalie Bruel et al.   FRESHWATER BIOLOGY

Early warning of critical transitions in biodiversity from compositional disorder

(2016) C. Patrick Doncaster et al.   ECOLOGY

Identifying consumer-resource population dynamics using paleoecological data

(2016) Árni Einarsson et al.   ECOLOGY

Ecological Instability in Lakes: A Predictable Condition?

(2016) Bryan M. Spears et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Impacts of forestry planting on primary production in upland lakes from north-west Ireland

(2016) Mark A. Stevenson et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Paleolimnological records of regime shifts in lakes in response to climate change and anthropogenic activities

(2016) Linda Randsalu-Wendrup et al.   JOURNAL OF PALEOLIMNOLOGY

Urban point sources of nutrients were the leading cause for the historical spread of hypoxia across European lakes

(2016) Jean-Philippe Jenny et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Evaluating early-warning indicators of critical transitions in natural aquatic ecosystems

(2016) Alena Sonia Gsell et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Using natural archives to detect climate and environmental tipping points in the Earth System

(2016) Zoë A. Thomas   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests

(2016) Jan Verbesselt et al.   Nature Climate Change

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

(2015) Marten Scheffer et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Acceleration of cyanobacterial dominance in north temperate-subarctic lakes during the Anthropocene

(2015) Zofia E. Taranu et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Do early warning indicators consistently predict nonlinear change in long-term ecological data?

(2015) Sarah J. Burthe et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Regime shifts, thresholds and multiple stable states in freshwater ecosystems; a critical appraisal of the evidence

(2015) Samantha J. Capon et al.   SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

A quantitative framework for analysis of regime shifts in a Galápagos coastal lagoon

(2014) Alistair W. R. Seddon et al.   ECOLOGY

Inherited hypoxia: A new challenge for reoligotrophicated lakes under global warming

(2014) Jean-Philippe Jenny et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Amplification of DNA in sediment cores to detect historic Planktothrix occurrence in three Norwegian lakes

(2014) Marcia Kyle et al.   JOURNAL OF PALEOLIMNOLOGY

Prolonged Instability Prior to a Regime Shift

(2014) Trisha L. Spanbauer et al.   PLoS One

Diatom flickering prior to regime shift

(2013) Jacob Carstensen et al.   NATURE

Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

(2012) Sonia Kéfi et al.   OIKOS

Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness

(2012) T. M. Lenton et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Generic Indicators for Loss of Resilience Before a Tipping Point Leading to Population Collapse

(2012) L. Dai et al.   SCIENCE

Detecting dynamical changes in nonlinear time series using locally linear state-space models

(2012) Anthony R. Ives et al.   Ecosphere

Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system

(2011) Annelies J. Veraart et al.   NATURE

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Probabilistic Estimate of a Threshold for Eutrophication

(2008) Stephen R. Carpenter et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Ecological thresholds and regime shifts: approaches to identification

(2008) Tom Andersen et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION