Early warning signals precede cyanobacterial blooms in multiple whole-lake experiments

Spatial early warning signals in a lake manipulation

(2017) Vince L. Butitta et al.   Ecosphere

Navigating the complexity of ecological stability

(2016) Ian Donohue et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Health impacts from cyanobacteria harmful algae blooms: Implications for the North American Great Lakes

(2016) Wayne W. Carmichael et al.   HARMFUL ALGAE

Study role of climate change in extreme threats to water quality

(2016) Anna M. Michalak   NATURE

Reversal of a cyanobacterial bloom in response to early warnings

(2016) Michael L. Pace et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Evaluating early-warning indicators of critical transitions in natural aquatic ecosystems

(2016) Alena Sonia Gsell et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

(2015) Marten Scheffer et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

With and without warning: managing ecosystems in a changing world

(2015) Michael L Pace et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Resilience indicators: prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts

(2014) V. Dakos et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Marine regime shifts: drivers and impacts on ecosystems services

(2014) J. Rocha et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Early Warning Signals of Ecological Transitions: Methods for Spatial Patterns

(2014) Sonia Kéfi et al.   PLoS One

Nonlinear Dynamics and Alternative Stable States in Shallow Coastal Systems

(2013) Karen McGlathery et al.   OCEANOGRAPHY

A new approach for rapid detection of nearby thresholds in ecosystem time series

(2013) Stephen R. Carpenter et al.   OIKOS

Changes in ecosystem resilience detected in automated measures of ecosystem metabolism during a whole-lake manipulation

(2013) R. D. Batt et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Asymmetric response of early warning indicators of phytoplankton transition to and from cycles

(2013) Ryan D. Batt et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Early warning signals: the charted and uncharted territories

(2013) Carl Boettiger et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Regime shift indicators fail under noise levels commonly observed in ecological systems

(2012) Charles T. Perretti et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Regime shifts and management

(2012) Anne-Sophie Crépin et al.   ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS

Confronting Feedbacks of Degraded Marine Ecosystems

(2012) Magnus Nyström et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Terrestrial dominance of organic matter in north temperate lakes

(2012) Grace M. Wilkinson et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

(2012) Rong Wang et al.   NATURE

Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

(2012) Sonia Kéfi et al.   OIKOS

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Generic Indicators for Loss of Resilience Before a Tipping Point Leading to Population Collapse

(2012) L. Dai et al.   SCIENCE

Detecting dynamical changes in nonlinear time series using locally linear state-space models

(2012) Anthony R. Ives et al.   Ecosphere

Conditional Heteroscedasticity as a Leading Indicator of Ecological Regime Shifts

(2011) David A. Seekell et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Biogeochemical time lags may delay responses of streams to ecological restoration

(2011) STEPHEN K. HAMILTON   FRESHWATER BIOLOGY

Terrestrial organic matter and light penetration: Effects on bacterial and primary production in lakes

(2011) Jenny Ask et al.   LIMNOLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

State-of-the-Art in Sequential Change-Point Detection

(2011) Aleksey S. Polunchenko et al.   METHODOLOGY AND COMPUTING IN APPLIED PROBABILITY

Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system

(2011) Annelies J. Veraart et al.   NATURE

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Analysis of abrupt transitions in ecological systems

(2011) Brandon T. Bestelmeyer et al.   Ecosphere

Interacting regime shifts in ecosystems: implication for early warnings

(2010) W. A. Brock et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: What do we need to know and when do we need to know it

(2009) Raphael Contamin et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA