Early Warning Signals of Ecological Transitions: Methods for Spatial Patterns

Slower recovery in space before collapse of connected populations

(2013) Lei Dai et al.   NATURE

Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity

(2013) Jessica L. Blois et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Signs of critical transition in the Everglades wetlands in response to climate and anthropogenic changes

(2013) R. Foti et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Conditional Heteroskedasticity Forecasts Regime Shift in a Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2012) David A. Seekell et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions

(2012) C. Boettiger et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

(2012) Rong Wang et al.   NATURE

Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

(2012) Sonia Kéfi et al.   OIKOS

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Generic Indicators for Loss of Resilience Before a Tipping Point Leading to Population Collapse

(2012) L. Dai et al.   SCIENCE

Early Warning Signals for Critical Transitions: A Generalized Modeling Approach

(2012) Steven J. Lade et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Slowing Down in Spatially Patterned Ecosystems at the Brink of Collapse

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Changing climate states and stability: from Pliocene to present

(2011) V. N. Livina et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Environmental modulation of self-organized periodic vegetation patterns in Sudan

(2011) Vincent Deblauwe et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Changes in diatom patch-size distribution and degradation in a spatially self-organized intertidal mudflat ecosystem

(2011) E. J. Weerman et al.   ECOLOGY

Desertification and power laws

(2011) Salvador Pueyo   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Global Resilience of Tropical Forest and Savanna to Critical Transitions

(2011) M. Hirota et al.   SCIENCE

The Global Extent and Determinants of Savanna and Forest as Alternative Biome States

(2011) A. C. Staver et al.   SCIENCE

Is the patch size distribution of vegetation a suitable indicator of desertification processes? Comment

(2010) S. Kéfi et al.   ECOLOGY

Is the patch size distribution of vegetation a suitable indicator of desertification processes? Reply

(2010) Fernando T. Maestre et al.   ECOLOGY

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Robust scaling in ecosystems and the meltdown of patch size distributions before extinction

(2010) Sonia Kéfi et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Spatial vegetation patterns as early signs of desertification: a case study of a desert steppe in Inner Mongolia, China

(2010) Yang Lin et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Identifying the dynamics of complex spatio-temporal systems by spatial recurrence properties

(2010) C. Mocenni et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Periodic versus scale-free patterns in dryland vegetation

(2010) J. von Hardenberg et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Bistability and regular spatial patterns in arid ecosystems

(2010) Sonia Kéfi et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Early warnings of regime shifts in spatial dynamics using the discrete Fourier transform

(2010) S. R. Carpenter et al.   Ecosphere

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Power-Law Distributions in Empirical Data

(2009) Aaron Clauset et al.   SIAM REVIEW

Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts

(2009) Vasilis Dakos et al.   Theoretical Ecology

INCREASED SPATIAL VARIANCE ACCOMPANIES REORGANIZATION OF TWO CONTINENTAL SHELF ECOSYSTEMS

(2008) Michael A. Litzow et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

ON ESTIMATING THE EXPONENT OF POWER-LAW FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS

(2008) Ethan P. White et al.   ECOLOGY

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Testing the assumptions of chronosequences in succession

(2008) Edward A. Johnson et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Facilitation, competition, and vegetation patchiness: From scale free distribution to patterns

(2008) Alon Manor et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Regular pattern formation in real ecosystems

(2008) Max Rietkerk et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION