Regime shift indicators fail under noise levels commonly observed in ecological systems

Conditional Heteroscedasticity as a Leading Indicator of Ecological Regime Shifts

(2011) David A. Seekell et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Changing climate states and stability: from Pliocene to present

(2011) V. N. Livina et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Early warning of climate tipping points

(2011) Timothy M. Lenton   Nature Climate Change

EARLY WARNINGS FOR CATASTROPHIC SHIFTS IN ECOSYSTEMS: COMPARISON BETWEEN SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL INDICATORS

(2010) RAUL DONANGELO et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: What do we need to know and when do we need to know it

(2009) Raphael Contamin et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Regime shifts in marine ecosystems: detection, prediction and management

(2008) Brad deYoung et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION