Integrating demography, dispersal and interspecific interactions into bird distribution models

A framework integrating physiology, dispersal and land-use to project species ranges under climate change

(2017) Joel Methorst et al.   JOURNAL OF AVIAN BIOLOGY

Avian SDMs: current state, challenges, and opportunities

(2017) Jan O. Engler et al.   JOURNAL OF AVIAN BIOLOGY

Quantification of climatic niches in birds: adding the temporal dimension

(2017) Alison Eyres et al.   JOURNAL OF AVIAN BIOLOGY

Declining relict plants: Climate effect or seed dispersal disruption? A landscape-scale approach

(2016) Xavier Rotllan-Puig et al.   BASIC AND APPLIED ECOLOGY

Effects of functional traits on the prediction accuracy of species richness models

(2016) Damaris Zurell et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Modelling of species distributions, range dynamics and communities under imperfect detection: advances, challenges and opportunities

(2016) Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita   ECOGRAPHY

Benchmarking novel approaches for modelling species range dynamics

(2016) Damaris Zurell et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Using dynamic occupancy models to inform climate change adaptation strategies for California spotted owls

(2016) Gavin M. Jones et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

The importance of realistic dispersal models in conservation planning: application of a novel modelling platform to evaluate management scenarios in an Afrotropical biodiversity hotspot

(2016) Job Aben et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Evolution of resource use along a gradient of stress leads to increased facilitation

(2016) Diane Lawrence et al.   OIKOS

Niche-tracking migrants and niche-switching residents: evolution of climatic niches in New World warblers (Parulidae)

(2016) Camila Gómez et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change

(2016) M. C. Urban et al.   SCIENCE

Population decline is linked to migration route in the Common Cuckoo

(2016) Chris M. Hewson et al.   Nature Communications

A multispecies occupancy model for two or more interacting species

(2016) Christopher T. Rota et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

A call for full annual cycle research in animal ecology

(2015) Peter P. Marra et al.   Biology Letters

Shared environmental responses drive co-occurrence patterns in river bird communities

(2015) Alexander Royan et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Large niche differences emerge at the recruitment stage to stabilize grassland coexistence

(2015) Chengjin Chu et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

To predict the niche, model colonization and extinction

(2015) Charles B. Yackulic et al.   ECOLOGY

Predicting changes in the distribution and abundance of species under environmental change

(2015) Johan Ehrlén et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Habitat matching and spatial heterogeneity of phenotypes: implications for metapopulation and metacommunity functioning

(2015) Staffan Jacob et al.   EVOLUTIONARY ECOLOGY

Niche availability in space and time: migration inSylviawarblers

(2015) Irina Laube et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Fine-scale hydrological niche differentiation through the lens of multi-species co-occurrence models

(2015) Andrew D. Letten et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Long-term population dynamics of a migrant bird suggests interaction of climate change and competition with resident species

(2015) Torben Wittwer et al.   OIKOS

Inferring biotic interactions from proxies

(2015) Ignacio Morales-Castilla et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

So Many Variables: Joint Modeling in Community Ecology

(2015) David I. Warton et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Generating realistic assemblages with a joint species distribution model

(2015) David J. Harris   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Using latent variable models to identify large networks of species-to-species associations at different spatial scales

(2015) Otso Ovaskainen et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Uncovering hidden spatial structure in species communities with spatially explicit joint species distribution models

(2015) Otso Ovaskainen et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Species coexistence in a changing world

(2015) Fernando Valladares et al.   Frontiers in Plant Science

Accelerated modern human-induced species losses: Entering the sixth mass extinction

(2015) G. Ceballos et al.   Science Advances

Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics?

(2014) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

A demographic, spatially explicit patch occupancy model of metapopulation dynamics and persistence

(2014) C. S. Sutherland et al.   ECOLOGY

Spatial and temporal patterns of range expansion of white-winged doves in the USA from 1979 to 2007

(2014) Jerrod A. Butcher et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Probabilistic and spatially variable niches inferred from demography

(2014) Jeffrey M. Diez et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Individual-based modelling of resource competition to predict density-dependent population dynamics: a case study with white storks

(2014) Damaris Zurell et al.   OIKOS

Understanding co-occurrence by modelling species simultaneously with a Joint Species Distribution Model (JSDM)

(2014) Laura J. Pollock et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

More than the sum of the parts: forest climate response from joint species distribution models

(2013) James S. Clark et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Global shifts towards positive species interactions with increasing environmental stress

(2013) Qiang He et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Niche conservatism in non-native birds in Europe: niche unfilling rather than niche expansion

(2013) Diederik Strubbe et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Analysing and mapping species range dynamics using occupancy models

(2013) Marc Kéry et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

A greener Greenland? Climatic potential and long-term constraints on future expansions of trees and shrubs

(2013) S. Normand et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Integrating Life Stages into Ecological Niche Models: A Case Study on Tiger Beetles

(2013) Angela Taboada et al.   PLoS One

Climate Change and the Past, Present, and Future of Biotic Interactions

(2013) J. L. Blois et al.   SCIENCE

Rethinking Community Assembly through the Lens of Coexistence Theory

(2012) J. HilleRisLambers et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling

(2012) Mary Susanne Wisz et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

Intra-generic species richness and dispersal ability interact to determine geographic ranges of birds

(2012) Irina Laube et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Connecting dynamic vegetation models to data - an inverse perspective

(2012) Florian Hartig et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography

(2012) Frank M. Schurr et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity

(2012) Bradley J. Cardinale et al.   NATURE

Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change

(2012) Stefan Dullinger et al.   Nature Climate Change

Modeling bird species distribution change in fire prone Mediterranean landscapes: incorporating species dispersal and landscape dynamics

(2011) Lluís Brotons et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Uncertainty in predictions of range dynamics: black grouse climbing the Swiss Alps

(2011) Damaris Zurell et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models - theory and application

(2011) Florian Hartig et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

SESAM - a new framework integrating macroecological and species distribution models for predicting spatio-temporal patterns of species assemblages

(2011) Antoine Guisan et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents

(2011) W. D. Kissling et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

The Influence of Late Quaternary Climate-Change Velocity on Species Endemism

(2011) B. Sandel et al.   SCIENCE

Moving beyond static species distribution models in support of conservation biogeography

(2010) Janet Franklin   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Modeling species co-occurrence by multivariate logistic regression generates new hypotheses on fungal interactions

(2010) Otso Ovaskainen et al.   ECOLOGY

A multispecies perspective on ecological impacts of climatic forcing

(2010) Crispin M. Mutshinda et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Co-occurrence patterns of trees along macro-climatic gradients and their potential influence on the present and future distribution of Fagus sylvatica L.

(2010) Eliane S. Meier et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

The virtual ecologist approach: simulating data and observers

(2010) Damaris Zurell et al.   OIKOS

Matters of Scale

(2010) B. J. McGill   SCIENCE

Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century

(2010) H. M. Pereira et al.   SCIENCE

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

MigClim: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate

(2009) Robin Engler et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Static species distribution models in dynamically changing systems: how good can predictions really be?

(2009) Damaris Zurell et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Estimating demographic models for the range dynamics of plant species

(2009) Juliano S. Cabral et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Niches and distributional areas: Concepts, methods, and assumptions

(2009) J. Soberon et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: Ecological and evolutionary perspectives

(2009) R. D. Holt   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

Adaptive Phenotypic Plasticity in Response to Climate Change in a Wild Bird Population

(2008) A. Charmantier et al.   SCIENCE

Linking Traits to Energetics and Population Dynamics to Predict Lizard Ranges in Changing Environments

(2007) Lauren B. Buckley   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Land-use change and subalpine tree dynamics: colonization ofLarix deciduain French subalpine grasslands

(2007) Cécile H. Albert et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS