Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

Consequences of correlations between habitat modifications and negative impact of climate change for regional species survival

(2011) Florian Jeltsch et al.   AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT

Disentangling the Formation of Contrasting Tree-Line Physiognomies Combining Model Selection and Bayesian Parameterization for Simulation Models

(2011) Isabel Martínez et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Effects of Harvesting Flowers from Shrubs on the Persistence and Abundance of Wild Shrub Populations at Multiple Spatial Extents

(2011) JULIANO SARMENTO CABRAL et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Integrating models with data in ecology and palaeoecology: advances towards a model-data fusion approach

(2011) Changhui Peng et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Estimability and Likelihood Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed Models Using Data Cloning

(2011) Subhash R. Lele et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

The challenges and scope of theoretical biology

(2011) David C. Krakauer et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Fine-scale environmental variation in species distribution modelling: regression dilution, latent variables and neighbourly advice

(2011) Greg J. McInerny et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Predicting impacts of climate change on biodiversity: a role for semi-mechanistic community-level modelling

(2010) Karel Mokany et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Linking process to pattern: estimating spatiotemporal dynamics of a wildlife epidemic from cross-sectional data

(2010) Dennis M. Heisey et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Decomposing environmental, spatial, and spatiotemporal components of species distributions

(2010) Torsten Hothorn et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Are exercises like this a good use of anybody's time?

(2010) James S. Hodges   ECOLOGY

Model complexity and information in the data: Could it be a house built on sand?

(2010) Subhash R. Lele   ECOLOGY

Advances in modeling highlight a tension between analytical accuracy and accessibility

(2010) Shannon LaDeau   ECOLOGY

Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters!

(2010) TREVOR KEENAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The role of climate and plant functional trade-offs in shaping global biome and biodiversity patterns

(2010) Björn Reu et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Demographic compensation and tipping points in climate-induced range shifts

(2010) Daniel F. Doak et al.   NATURE

Publish your computer code: it is good enough

(2010) Nick Barnes   NATURE

The virtual ecologist approach: simulating data and observers

(2010) Damaris Zurell et al.   OIKOS

Ecological models supporting environmental decision making: a strategy for the future

(2010) Amelie Schmolke et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change

(2010) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Conservation Letters

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory

(2010) Luis-Miguel Chevin et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

ANNUAL PLANTS UNDER CYCLIC DISTURBANCE REGIME: BETTER UNDERSTANDING THROUGH MODEL AGGREGATION

(2009) Jörn Pagel et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Parameter identifiability, constraint, and equifinality in data assimilation with ecosystem models

(2009) Yiqi Luo et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Integrating biophysical models and evolutionary theory to predict climatic impacts on species’ ranges: the dengue mosquitoAedes aegyptiin Australia

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Estimating demographic models for the range dynamics of plant species

(2009) Juliano S. Cabral et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Managing wildlife populations with uncertainty: cormorantsPhalacrocorax carbo

(2009) G. C. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Host culling as an adaptive management tool for chronic wasting disease in white-tailed deer: a modelling study

(2009) Gideon Wasserberg et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

The potential for behavioral thermoregulation to buffer "cold-blooded" animals against climate warming

(2009) M. Kearney et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models

(2008) S. Rickebusch et al.   Biology Letters

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

Modelling species distributions without using species distributions: the cane toad in Australia under current and future climates

(2008) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation

(2008) Steven J. Phillips et al.   ECOGRAPHY

COMPONENTS OF UNCERTAINTY IN SPECIES DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS: A CASE STUDY OF THE GREAT GREY SHRIKE

(2008) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   ECOLOGY

Prediction of plant species distributions across six millennia

(2008) Peter B. Pearman et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Prediction uncertainty of environmental change effects on temperate European biodiversity

(2008) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Is my model too complex? Evaluating model formulation using model reduction

(2008) N.M.J. Crout et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations

(2008) Sally N. Aitken et al.   Evolutionary Applications

Spatial scale affects bioclimate model projections of climate change impacts on mountain plants

(2008) MANDAR R. TRIVEDI et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Spatial pattern formation facilitates eradication of infectious diseases

(2008) Dirk Eisinger et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Spatial modelling of succession-disturbance dynamics in forest ecosystems: Concepts and examples

(2008) George L.W. Perry et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS

Opening the climate envelope reveals no macroscale associations with climate in European birds

(2008) C. M. Beale et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Niche dynamics in space and time

(2008) Peter B. Pearman et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Linking Traits to Energetics and Population Dynamics to Predict Lizard Ranges in Changing Environments

(2007) Lauren B. Buckley   AMERICAN NATURALIST

When similar ecological patterns in time emerge from different initial conditions: equifinality in the breeding performance of animal populations

(2007) Vincenzo Penteriani   Ecological Complexity