Consistent multidecadal variability in global temperature reconstructions and simulations over the Common Era

Twentieth century redistribution in climatic drivers of global tree growth

(2019) Flurin Babst et al.   Science Advances

Global Mean Surface Temperature Response to Large‐Scale Patterns of Variability in Observations and CMIP5

(2019) Jules B. Kajtar et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate models can correctly simulate the continuum of global-average temperature variability

(2019) Feng Zhu et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Last phase of the Little Ice Age forced by volcanic eruptions

(2019) Stefan Brönnimann et al.   Nature Geoscience

Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities

(2018) Christophe Cassou et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming

(2018) Sonia I. Seneviratne et al.   NATURE

Possible causes of data model discrepancy in the temperature history of the last Millennium

(2018) Raphael Neukom et al.   Scientific Reports

The early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences

(2018) Gabriele C. Hegerl et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Global patterns of declining temperature variability from the Last Glacial Maximum to the Holocene

(2018) Kira Rehfeld et al.   NATURE

Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2017) Benjamin J Henley et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Reconciling controversies about the ‘global warming hiatus’

(2017) Iselin Medhaug et al.   NATURE

Internal and external forcing of multidecadal Atlantic climate variability over the past 1,200 years

(2017) Jianglin Wang et al.   Nature Geoscience

Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates

(2017) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Last millennium Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part II, spatially resolved reconstructions

(2017) Kevin J. Anchukaitis et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Challenges and perspectives for large-scale temperature reconstructions of the past two millennia

(2017) Bo Christiansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Human-induced erosion has offset one-third of carbon emissions from land cover change

(2017) Zhengang Wang et al.   Nature Climate Change

A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era

(2017) Julien Emile-Geay et al.   Scientific Data

Climate Variability and Change since 850 CE: An Ensemble Approach with the Community Earth System Model

(2016) Bette L. Otto-Bliesner et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The Medieval Quiet Period

(2016) Raymond S Bradley et al.   HOLOCENE

Quantifying Climate Forcings and Feedbacks over the Last Millennium in the CMIP5–PMIP3 Models*

(2016) A. R. Atwood et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Australasian Temperature Reconstructions Spanning the Last Millennium

(2016) Joëlle Gergis et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents

(2016) Nerilie J. Abram et al.   NATURE

Ranking of tree-ring based temperature reconstructions of the past millennium

(2016) Jan Esper et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Reconstructing Earth's surface temperature over the past 2000 years: the science behind the headlines

(2016) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

On the utility of proxy system models for estimating climate states over the common era

(2016) Sylvia G. Dee et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

The last millennium climate reanalysis project: Framework and first results

(2016) Gregory J. Hakim et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Fragility of reconstructed temperature patterns over the Common Era: Implications for model evaluation

(2015) Jianghao Wang et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Timing and climate forcing of volcanic eruptions for the past 2,500 years

(2015) M. Sigl et al.   NATURE

Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends

(2015) Jochem Marotzke et al.   NATURE

Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era

(2015) Helen V. McGregor et al.   Nature Geoscience

Reconstructing past temperatures from natural proxies and estimated climate forcings using short- and long-memory models

(2014) Luis Barboza et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Multispectral analysis of Northern Hemisphere temperature records over the last five millennia

(2014) C. Taricco et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Ocean surface temperature variability: Large model–data differences at decadal and longer periods

(2014) Thomas Laepple et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

An overview of tree-ring width records across the Northern Hemisphere

(2014) Scott St. George   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Inter-hemispheric temperature variability over the past millennium

(2014) Raphael Neukom et al.   Nature Climate Change

Ocean response to volcanic eruptions in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 simulations

(2014) Yanni Ding et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS

Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part I: method, properties and idealised analysis

(2013) Aurélien Ribes et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Pairwise comparisons to reconstruct mean temperature in the Arctic Atlantic Region over the last 2,000 years

(2013) Sami Hanhijärvi et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Separating Forced from Chaotic Climate Variability over the Past Millennium

(2013) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

On the Sensitivity of Field Reconstruction and Prediction Using Empirical Orthogonal Functions Derived from Gappy Data

(2013) Marc H. Taylor et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Assimilation of Time-Averaged Pseudoproxies for Climate Reconstruction

(2013) Nathan J. Steiger et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Small influence of solar variability on climate over the past millennium

(2013) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia

(2013)   Nature Geoscience

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Applications of proxy system modeling in high resolution paleoclimatology

(2013) M.N. Evans et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

A Reconstruction of Regional and Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years

(2013) S. A. Marcott et al.   SCIENCE

Characteristics of the ocean simulations in the Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPIOM) the ocean component of the MPI-Earth system model

(2013) J. H. Jungclaus et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5

(2013) Marco A. Giorgetta et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Abrupt onset of the Little Ice Age triggered by volcanism and sustained by sea-ice/ocean feedbacks

(2012) Gifford H. Miller et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Estimating Central Equatorial Pacific SST Variability over the Past Millennium. Part I: Methodology and Validation

(2012) Julien Emile-Geay et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Last Millennium Climate and Its Variability in CCSM4

(2012) Laura Landrum et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Preliminary multiproxy surface air temperature field reconstruction for China over the past millennium

(2012) Feng Shi et al.   Science China-Earth Sciences

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

(2012) Clara Deser et al.   Nature Climate Change

A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?

(2011) Blakeley B. McShane et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Evolution of the solar irradiance during the Holocene

(2011) L. E. A. Vieira et al.   ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Reconstruction of the Extratropical NH Mean Temperature over the Last Millennium with a Method that Preserves Low-Frequency Variability

(2011) Bo Christiansen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods: pseudoproxy experiments

(2011) Jason E. Smerdon   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Multiproxy summer and winter surface air temperature field reconstructions for southern South America covering the past centuries

(2010) R. Neukom et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A new reconstruction of temperature variability in the extra‐tropical northern hemisphere during the last two millennia

(2010) Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist   GEOGRAFISKA ANNALER SERIES A-PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY

Multi-centennial summer and winter precipitation variability in southern South America

(2010) R. Neukom et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium

(2010) E. R. Cook et al.   SCIENCE

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Decadal Prediction

(2009) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The importance of ship log data: reconstructing North Atlantic, European and Mediterranean sea level pressure fields back to 1750

(2009) M. Küttel et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: a review of current status and future prospects

(2009) P.D. Jones et al.   HOLOCENE

A Bayesian Algorithm for Reconstructing Climate Anomalies in Space and Time. Part II: Comparison with the Regularized Expectation–Maximization Algorithm

(2009) Martin P. Tingley et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Early twentieth-century warming

(2009) Stefan Brönnimann   Nature Geoscience

Generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) using adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling

(2008) Roberta-Serena Blasone et al.   ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES

Volcanic forcing of climate over the past 1500 years: An improved ice core-based index for climate models

(2008) Chaochao Gao et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector

(2008) N. S. Keenlyside et al.   NATURE

Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia

(2008) M. E. Mann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA