Challenges and perspectives for large-scale temperature reconstructions of the past two millennia

The reliability of global and hemispheric surface temperature records

(2016) Philip Jones   ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Reconstructed and simulated temperature asymmetry between continents in both hemispheres over the last centuries

(2016) Hugues Goosse   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Diverse growth trends and climate responses across Eurasia’s boreal forest

(2016) Lena Hellmann et al.   Environmental Research Letters

European summer temperatures since Roman times

(2016) J Luterbacher et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Regional curve standardization: State of the art

(2016) Samuli Helama et al.   HOLOCENE

Australasian Temperature Reconstructions Spanning the Last Millennium

(2016) Joëlle Gergis et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Model-Based Approach to Climate Reconstruction Using Tree-Ring Data

(2016) Matthew R. Schofield et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Northern Hemisphere hydroclimate variability over the past twelve centuries

(2016) Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist et al.   NATURE

Cooling and societal change during the Late Antique Little Ice Age from 536 to around 660 AD

(2016) Ulf Büntgen et al.   Nature Geoscience

Ranking of tree-ring based temperature reconstructions of the past millennium

(2016) Jan Esper et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Last millennium northern hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part I: The long term context

(2016) Rob Wilson et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Greening of the Earth and its drivers

(2016) Zaichun Zhu et al.   Nature Climate Change

Reconstructing Earth's surface temperature over the past 2000 years: the science behind the headlines

(2016) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

The last millennium climate reanalysis project: Framework and first results

(2016) Gregory J. Hakim et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

The Extratropical Northern Hemisphere Temperature Reconstruction during the Last Millennium Based on a Novel Method

(2016) Pei Xing et al.   PLoS One

Statistical paleoclimate reconstructions via Markov random fields

(2015) Dominique Guillot et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Model-dependent spatial skill in pseudoproxy experiments testing climate field reconstruction methods for the Common Era

(2015) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A multi-proxy reconstruction of spatial and temporal variations in Asian summer temperatures over the last millennium

(2015) Feng Shi et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Signals and memory in tree-ring width and density data

(2015) Jan Esper et al.   DENDROCHRONOLOGIA

Modified climate with long term memory in tree ring proxies

(2015) Huan Zhang et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Fragility of reconstructed temperature patterns over the Common Era: Implications for model evaluation

(2015) Jianghao Wang et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Revising midlatitude summer temperatures back to A.D. 600 based on a wood density network

(2015) Lea Schneider et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Spatial patterns of precipitation anomalies in eastern China during centennial cold and warm periods of the past 2000 years

(2015) Zhixin Hao et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Tree-Ring Amplification of the Early Nineteenth-Century Summer Cooling in Central Europea

(2015) Ulf Büntgen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Timing and climate forcing of volcanic eruptions for the past 2,500 years

(2015) M. Sigl et al.   NATURE

Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era

(2015) Helen V. McGregor et al.   Nature Geoscience

Estimates of volcanic-induced cooling in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 1,500 years

(2015) Markus Stoffel et al.   Nature Geoscience

Varves in lake sediments – a review

(2015) Bernd Zolitschka et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

PRYSM: An open-source framework for PRoxY System Modeling, with applications to oxygen-isotope systems

(2015) S. Dee et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era

(2015) E. R. Cook et al.   Science Advances

The Bias and Signal Attenuation Present in Conventional Pollen-Based Climate Reconstructions as Assessed by Early Climate Data from Minnesota, USA

(2015) Jeannine-Marie St. Jacques et al.   PLoS One

Climate field reconstruction uncertainty arising from multivariate and nonlinear properties of predictors

(2014) M. N. Evans et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

An overview of tree-ring width records across the Northern Hemisphere

(2014) Scott St. George   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

The imprint of climate within Northern Hemisphere trees

(2014) Scott St. George et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past millennium

(2014) Nerilie J. Abram et al.   Nature Climate Change

Inter-hemispheric temperature variability over the past millennium

(2014) Raphael Neukom et al.   Nature Climate Change

An extended Arctic proxy temperature database for the past 2,000 years

(2014) Nicholas P. McKay et al.   Scientific Data

European summer temperature response to annually dated volcanic eruptions over the past nine centuries

(2013) Jan Esper et al.   BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY

Pairwise comparisons to reconstruct mean temperature in the Arctic Atlantic Region over the last 2,000 years

(2013) Sami Hanhijärvi et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Comment on “Trends and low frequency variability of extra-tropical cyclone activity in the ensemble of twentieth century reanalysis” by Xiaolan L. Wang, Y. Feng, G. P. Compo, V. R. Swail, F. W. Zwiers, R. J. Allan, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, Climate Dynamics, 2012

(2013) Oliver Krueger et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Northern Hemisphere temperature reconstruction during the last millennium using multiple annual proxies

(2013) F Shi et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

A 1500-year reconstruction of annual mean temperature for temperate North America on decadal-to-multidecadal time scales

(2013) V Trouet et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Synchronizing Holocene lacustrine and marine sediment records using paleomagnetic secular variation

(2013) Sædís Ólafsdóttir et al.   GEOLOGY

Uncertainty in annual rankings from NOAA's global temperature time series

(2013) Anthony Arguez et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Stationarity of the tropical pacific teleconnection to North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations

(2013) Sloan Coats et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Comments on “Erroneous Model Field Representations in Multiple Pseudoproxy Studies: Corrections and Implications”

(2013) Scott D. Rutherford et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Reply to “Comments on ‘Erroneous Model Field Representations in Multiple Pseudoproxy Studies: Corrections and Implications’”*

(2013) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Nonstationary Australasian Teleconnections and Implications for Paleoclimate Reconstructions

(2013) Ailie J. E. Gallant et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Straight Line Fitting and Predictions: On a Marginal Likelihood Approach to Linear Regression and Errors-In-Variables Models

(2013) Bo Christiansen   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Assimilation of Time-Averaged Pseudoproxies for Climate Reconstruction

(2013) Nathan J. Steiger et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent temperature extremes at high northern latitudes unprecedented in the past 600 years

(2013) Martin P. Tingley et al.   NATURE

Small influence of solar variability on climate over the past millennium

(2013) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia

(2013)   Nature Geoscience

Detection and evaluation of an early divergence problem in northern Fennoscandian tree-ring data

(2013) Lea Schneider et al.   OIKOS

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Quantitative temperature reconstruction based on growth rate of annually-layered stalagmite: a case study from central China

(2013) Liangcheng Tan et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Applications of proxy system modeling in high resolution paleoclimatology

(2013) M.N. Evans et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Reassessing the evidence for tree-growth and inferred temperature change during the Common Era in Yamalia, northwest Siberia

(2013) Keith R. Briffa et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Seasonality of UK′37 temperature estimates as inferred from sediment trap data

(2013) Antoni Rosell-Melé et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

A Reconstruction of Regional and Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years

(2013) S. A. Marcott et al.   SCIENCE

Spectral biases in tree-ring climate proxies

(2013) Jörg Franke et al.   Nature Climate Change

Evidence of a large cooling between 1690 and 1740 AD in southern Africa

(2013) H. S. Sundqvist et al.   Scientific Reports

Testing the annual nature of speleothem banding

(2013) Chuan-Chou Shen et al.   Scientific Reports

Long-range memory in Earth's surface temperature on time scales from months to centuries

(2013) K. Rypdal et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Volcanic cooling signal in tree ring temperature records for the past millennium

(2013) Rosanne D'Arrigo et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Comparisons of simulated and observed Northern Hemisphere temperature variations during the past millennium – selected lessons learned and problems encountered

(2013) Anders Moberg   TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY

Identifying coherent spatiotemporal modes in time-uncertain proxy paleoclimate records

(2012) Kevin J. Anchukaitis et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Tree-ring reconstructed summer temperature anomalies for temperate East Asia since 800 C.E.

(2012) Edward R. Cook et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Legacies of pre-industrial land use can bias modern tree-ring climate calibrations

(2012) BE Gunnarson et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

Multi-proxy reconstruction of Arctic summer temperatures over the past 1400 years

(2012) F Shi et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

Sea surface temperature variability in southern Okinawa Trough during last 2700 years

(2012) Weichao Wu et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On Fitting a Straight Line to Data when the “Noise” in Both Variables Is Unknown*

(2012) Allan J. Clarke et al.   JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY

Reply to “Comments on ‘Reconstructing the NH Mean Temperature: Can Underestimation of Trends and Variability be Avoided?’”

(2012) Bo Christiansen   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Comments on “Reconstructing the NH Mean Temperature: Can Underestimation of Trends and Variability Be Avoided?”

(2012) Martin P. Tingley et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Reply to “Comments on ‘Reconstruction of the Extratropical NH Mean Temperature over the Last Millennium with a Method That Preserves Low-Frequency Variability’”

(2012) Bo Christiansen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Comments on “Reconstruction of the Extratropical NH Mean Temperature over the Last Millennium with a Method That Preserves Low-Frequency Variability”

(2012) Anders Moberg   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Test for Nonlinearity in Temperature Proxy Records

(2012) Bård Støve et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Statistical Analysis of Global Surface Temperature and Sea Level Using Cointegration Methods

(2012) Torben Schmith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Pseudoproxy Evaluation of Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling and Canonical Correlation Analysis for Climate Field Reconstructions over Europe*

(2012) Johannes P. Werner et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Inconsistencies between Long-Term Trends in Storminess Derived from the 20CR Reanalysis and Observations

(2012) Oliver Krueger et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Tree rings and volcanic cooling

(2012) Kevin J. Anchukaitis et al.   Nature Geoscience

Variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation over the past 5,200 years

(2012) Jesper Olsen et al.   Nature Geoscience

Piecing together the past: statistical insights into paleoclimatic reconstructions

(2012) Martin P. Tingley et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Characteristics of sedimentary varve chronologies – A review

(2012) A.E.K. Ojala et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Preliminary multiproxy surface air temperature field reconstruction for China over the past millennium

(2012) Feng Shi et al.   Science China-Earth Sciences

Reconstruction of integrated temperature series of the past 2,000 years on the Tibetan plateau with 10-year intervals

(2012) Hou Guangliang et al.   THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY

Evaluation of climate models using palaeoclimatic data

(2012) Pascale Braconnot et al.   Nature Climate Change

A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?

(2011) Blakeley B. McShane et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Ecological Lessons from Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) Experiments

(2011) Richard J. Norby et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

A new approach to the long-term reconstruction of the solar irradiance leads to large historical solar forcing

(2011) A. I. Shapiro et al.   ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Mg/Ca in foraminifera from plankton tows: Evaluation of proxy controls and comparison with core tops

(2011) M.A. Martínez-Botí et al.   EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS

Are the most recent estimates for Maunder Minimum solar irradiance in agreement with temperature reconstructions?

(2011) Georg Feulner   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A pollen-based reconstruction of summer temperature in central North America and implications for circulation patterns during medieval times

(2011) Eugene R. Wahl et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

The climate of North America during the past 2000years reconstructed from pollen data

(2011) A.E. Viau et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

The medieval climate anomaly in Europe: Comparison of the summer and annual mean signals in two reconstructions and in simulations with data assimilation

(2011) Hugues Goosse et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Reconstruction of the Extratropical NH Mean Temperature over the Last Millennium with a Method that Preserves Low-Frequency Variability

(2011) Bo Christiansen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Correlation Models for Temperature Fields

(2011) Gerald R. North et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Pseudoproxy Evaluation of the CCA and RegEM Methods for Reconstructing Climate Fields of the Last Millennium*

(2011) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Response of Earth's surface temperature to radiative forcing over A.D. 1–2009

(2011) A. D. Friend   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Reconstructed changes in Arctic sea ice over the past 1,450 years

(2011) Christophe Kinnard et al.   NATURE

A record of the Southern Oscillation Index for the past 2,000 years from precipitation proxies

(2011) Hong Yan et al.   Nature Geoscience

Prediction intervals for climate reconstructions with autocorrelated noise—An analysis of ordinary least squares and measurement error methods

(2011) Anders Moberg et al.   PALAEOGEOGRAPHY PALAEOCLIMATOLOGY PALAEOECOLOGY

Solar and volcanic fingerprints in tree-ring chronologies over the past 2000years

(2011) Petra Breitenmoser et al.   PALAEOGEOGRAPHY PALAEOCLIMATOLOGY PALAEOECOLOGY

The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project

(2011) G. P. Compo et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Structure and origin of Holocene cold events

(2011) Heinz Wanner et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Reconstructing palaeoclimates from biological proxies: Some often overlooked sources of uncertainty

(2011) Brian Huntley   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

2500 Years of European Climate Variability and Human Susceptibility

(2011) U. Buntgen et al.   SCIENCE

System identification for the errors-in-variables problem

(2011) Torsten Söderström   TRANSACTIONS OF THE INSTITUTE OF MEASUREMENT AND CONTROL

Interdecadal modulation of El Niño amplitude during the past millennium

(2011) Jinbao Li et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods: pseudoproxy experiments

(2011) Jason E. Smerdon   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Natural forcing of climate during the last millennium: fingerprint of solar variability

(2010) D. Swingedouw et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

An efficient forward model of the climate controls on interannual variation in tree-ring width

(2010) Susan E. Tolwinski-Ward et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multiproxy summer and winter surface air temperature field reconstructions for southern South America covering the past centuries

(2010) R. Neukom et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

European climate of the past 500 years: new challenges for historical climatology

(2010) Rudolf Brázdil et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

On long range dependence in global surface temperature series

(2010) Michael E. Mann   CLIMATIC CHANGE

A new reconstruction of temperature variability in the extra‐tropical northern hemisphere during the last two millennia

(2010) Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist   GEOGRAFISKA ANNALER SERIES A-PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY

Five centuries of Central European temperature extremes reconstructed from tree-ring density and documentary evidence

(2010) Giovanna Battipaglia et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Comments on “A Surrogate Ensemble Study of Climate Reconstruction Methods: Stochasticity and Robustness”

(2010) Scott D. Rutherford et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Surrogate Ensemble Study of Sea Level Reconstructions

(2010) Bo Christiansen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Erroneous Model Field Representations in Multiple Pseudoproxy Studies: Corrections and Implications*

(2010) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Reply

(2010) Bo Christiansen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Reconstructing the NH Mean Temperature: Can Underestimation of Trends and Variability Be Avoided?

(2010) Bo Christiansen   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Value of Multiproxy Reconstruction of Past Climate

(2010) Bo Li et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Growing Season Temperatures in Europe and Climate Forcings Over the Past 1400 Years

(2010) Joel Guiot et al.   PLoS One

Holocene and Eemian sea surface temperature trends as revealed by alkenone and Mg/Ca paleothermometry

(2010) G. Leduc et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

SOLAR INFLUENCES ON CLIMATE

(2010) L. J. Gray et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium

(2010) E. R. Cook et al.   SCIENCE

A noodle, hockey stick, and spaghetti plate: a perspective on high-resolution paleoclimatology

(2010) David Frank et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Five centuries of Stockholm winter/spring temperatures reconstructed from documentary evidence and instrumental observations

(2009) Lotta Leijonhufvud et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Temperature proxy records covering the last two millennia: a tabular and visual overview

(2009) Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist   GEOGRAFISKA ANNALER SERIES A-PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY

Total solar irradiance during the Holocene

(2009) F. Steinhilber et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: a review of current status and future prospects

(2009) P.D. Jones et al.   HOLOCENE

A Bayesian Algorithm for Reconstructing Climate Anomalies in Space and Time. Part I: Development and Applications to Paleoclimate Reconstruction Problems

(2009) Martin P. Tingley et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Atlantic hurricanes and climate over the past 1,500 years

(2009) Michael E. Mann et al.   NATURE

Climatic signals in multiple highly resolved stable isotope records from Greenland

(2009) B.M. Vinther et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Recent Warming Reverses Long-Term Arctic Cooling

(2009) D. S. Kaufman et al.   SCIENCE

Global Signatures and Dynamical Origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly

(2009) M. E. Mann et al.   SCIENCE

Comparison of climate field reconstruction techniques: application to Europe

(2008) Nadja Riedwyl et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The IPCC on a heterogeneous Medieval Warm Period

(2008) Jan Esper et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

A “signal-free” approach to dendroclimatic standardisation

(2008) Thomas M. Melvin et al.   DENDROCHRONOLOGIA

Proposed re-dating of the European ice core chronology by seven years prior to the 7th century AD

(2008) M. G. L. Baillie   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A late Quaternary climate reconstruction based on borehole heat flux data, borehole temperature data, and the instrumental record

(2008) S. P. Huang et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On the Origin of the Standardization Sensitivity in RegEM Climate Field Reconstructions*

(2008) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Surrogate Ensemble Study of Climate Reconstruction Methods: Stochasticity and Robustness

(2008) Bo Christiansen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Reply to comment by Jason E. Smerdon et al. on “Robustness of proxy-based climate field reconstruction methods”

(2008) Scott Rutherford et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Comment on “Robustness of proxy-based climate field reconstruction methods” by Michael E. Mann et al.

(2008) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Synchronizing ice cores from the Renland and Agassiz ice caps to the Greenland Ice Core Chronology

(2008) B. M. Vinther et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia

(2008) M. E. Mann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Mid- to Late Holocene climate change: an overview

(2008) Heinz Wanner et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Historical climatology - a state of the art review

(2008) Phil Jones   Weather

On the ‘Divergence Problem’ in Northern Forests: A review of the tree-ring evidence and possible causes

(2007) Rosanne D'Arrigo et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Coherence of climatic reconstruction from historical documents in China by different studies

(2007) Quansheng Ge et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY