The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming

Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots

(2018) Edward Byers et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Framing Climate Goals in Terms of Cumulative CO2 -Forcing-Equivalent Emissions

(2018) S. Jenkins et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation

(2018) Sonia I. Seneviratne et al.   Nature Geoscience

Pathways to 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming based on observational and geological constraints

(2018) Philip Goodwin et al.   Nature Geoscience

Implications of possible interpretations of ‘greenhouse gas balance’ in the Paris Agreement

(2018) J. Fuglestvedt et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Climate extremes, land–climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C

(2018) Sonia I. Seneviratne et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

How to spend a dwindling greenhouse gas budget

(2018) Michael Obersteiner et al.   Nature Climate Change

Linking models of human behaviour and climate alters projected climate change

(2018) Brian Beckage et al.   Nature Climate Change

Biomass-based negative emissions difficult to reconcile with planetary boundaries

(2018) Vera Heck et al.   Nature Climate Change

Limited influence of climate change mitigation on short-term glacier mass loss

(2018) Ben Marzeion et al.   Nature Climate Change

Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies

(2018) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   Nature Climate Change

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

(2018) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Biogeophysical Impacts of Land-Use Change on Climate Extremes in Low-Emission Scenarios: Results From HAPPI-Land

(2018) Annette L. Hirsch et al.   Earths Future

Potentially dangerous consequences for biodiversity of solar geoengineering implementation and termination

(2018) Christopher H. Trisos et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Getting It Right Matters: Temperature Goal Interpretations in Geoscience Research

(2017) Joeri Rogelj et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Regional amplification of projected changes in extreme temperatures strongly controlled by soil moisture-temperature feedbacks

(2017) M. M. Vogel et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

(2017) Brian C. O’Neill et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

(2017) Alexander Popp et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Reconciling controversies about the ‘global warming hiatus’

(2017) Iselin Medhaug et al.   NATURE

Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C

(2017) Richard J. Millar et al.   Nature Geoscience

Continued increase of extreme El Niño frequency long after 1.5 °C warming stabilization

(2017) Guojian Wang et al.   Nature Climate Change

The limits to global-warming mitigation by terrestrial carbon removal

(2017) Lena R. Boysen et al.   Earths Future

Can climate-effective land management reduce regional warming?

(2017) A. L. Hirsch et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Dependence of drivers affects risks associated with compound events

(2017) Jakob Zscheischler et al.   Science Advances

A real-time Global Warming Index

(2017) K. Haustein et al.   Scientific Reports

Global economic consequences of deploying bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)

(2016) Matteo Muratori et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Quantifying the temperature-independent effect of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering on global-mean precipitation in a multi-model ensemble

(2016) Angus J Ferraro et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Climate impacts of geoengineering in a delayed mitigation scenario

(2016) S. Tilmes et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Sensitivity of UK butterflies to local climatic extremes: which life stages are most at risk?

(2016) Osgur McDermott Long et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets

(2016) Sonia I. Seneviratne et al.   NATURE

Recent pause in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake

(2016) Trevor F Keenan et al.   Nature Communications

Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth

(2016) Mark Richardson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal

(2016) Carl-Friedrich Schleussner et al.   Nature Climate Change

Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change

(2016) Peter U. Clark et al.   Nature Climate Change

Rate and velocity of climate change caused by cumulative carbon emissions

(2015) Anna LoPresti et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Contrasting futures for ocean and society from different anthropogenic CO2 emissions scenarios

(2015) J.- P. Gattuso et al.   SCIENCE

A temporary, moderate and responsive scenario for solar geoengineering

(2015) David W. Keith et al.   Nature Climate Change

Large divergence of satellite and Earth system model estimates of global terrestrial CO2 fertilization

(2015) W. Kolby Smith et al.   Nature Climate Change

Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

(2015) Pete Smith et al.   Nature Climate Change

Global crop yield response to extreme heat stress under multiple climate change futures

(2014) Delphine Deryng et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Global warming and changes in risk of concurrent climate extremes: Insights from the 2014 California drought

(2014) Amir AghaKouchak et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

(2012) Clara Deser et al.   Nature Climate Change

Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet

(2012) Alexander Robinson et al.   Nature Climate Change

RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2°C

(2011) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Cumulative carbon emissions, emissions floors and short-term rates of warming: implications for policy

(2010) N. H. A. Bowerman et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study

(2009) A. J. Pitman et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions

(2009) H. Damon Matthews et al.   NATURE

The velocity of climate change

(2009) Scott R. Loarie et al.   NATURE

Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne

(2009) Myles R. Allen et al.   NATURE

Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions

(2009) Susan Solomon et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Implications of delayed actions in addressing carbon dioxide emission reduction in the context of geo-engineering

(2008) O. Boucher et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Stabilizing climate requires near-zero emissions

(2008) H. Damon Matthews et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS