Tools for integrating range change, extinction risk and climate change information into conservation management

demoniche - an R-package for simulating spatially-explicit population dynamics

(2012) Hedvig K. Nenzén et al.   ECOGRAPHY

The MIGCLIM R package - seamless integration of dispersal constraints into projections of species distribution models

(2012) Robin Engler et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling

(2012) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY

Managed relocation as an adaptation strategy for mitigating climate change threats to the persistence of an endangered lizard

(2012) Damien A. Fordham et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Landscape planning for the future: using fossil records to independently validate bioclimatic envelope models for economically valuable tree species in Europe

(2012) Marc Macias-Fauria et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Managing the long-term persistence of a rare cockatoo under climate change

(2012) J. Berton C. Harris et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Niche models tell half the story: spatial context and life-history traits influence species responses to global change

(2012) Rebecca M. Swab et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography

(2012) Frank M. Schurr et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change

(2012) Stefan Dullinger et al.   Nature Climate Change

Strengthening forecasts of climate change impacts with multi-model ensemble averaged projections using MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Multi-model climate projections for biodiversity risk assessments

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Analysis of climate paths reveals potential limitations on species range shifts

(2011) Regan Early et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Climate change threatens European conservation areas

(2011) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Evaluation of assisted colonization strategies under global change for a rare, fire-dependent plant

(2011) HELEN M. REGAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The impact of sea-level rise on Snowy Plovers in Florida: integrating geomorphological, habitat, and metapopulation models

(2011) Matthew E. Aiello-Lammens et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming?

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Cost-effectiveness of strategies to establish a European bison metapopulation in the Carpathians

(2011) Tobias Kuemmerle et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Anthropogenic and environmental drivers of modern range loss in large mammals

(2011) C. B. Yackulic et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Ecological–economic optimization of biodiversity conservation under climate change

(2011) Brendan A. Wintle et al.   Nature Climate Change

Moving beyond static species distribution models in support of conservation biogeography

(2010) Janet Franklin   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Improving species distribution models for climate change studies: variable selection and scale

(2010) Mike P. Austin et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

The virtual ecologist approach: simulating data and observers

(2010) Damaris Zurell et al.   OIKOS

Global Biodiversity: Indicators of Recent Declines

(2010) S. H. M. Butchart et al.   SCIENCE

Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century

(2010) H. M. Pereira et al.   SCIENCE

Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change

(2010) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Conservation Letters

Abundance and the Environmental Niche: Environmental Suitability Estimated from Niche Models Predicts the Upper Limit of Local Abundance

(2009) Jeremy VanDerWal et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Evolution and Ecology of Species Range Limits

(2009) Jason P. Sexton et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Monitoring the performance of wild-born and introduced lizards in a fragmented landscape: Implications for ex situ conservation programmes

(2009) Tomás Santos et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change

(2009) B. W. Brook et al.   Biology Letters

Uncertainties in climate stabilization

(2009) T. M. L. Wigley et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

MigClim: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate

(2009) Robin Engler et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Predicting future distributions of mountain plants under climate change: does dispersal capacity matter?

(2009) Robin Engler et al.   ECOGRAPHY

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Estimating demographic models for the range dynamics of plant species

(2009) Juliano S. Cabral et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change

(2009) B.J Anderson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Why tropical island endemics are acutely susceptible to global change

(2008) Damien A. Fordham et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

Performance of climate envelope models in retrodicting recent changes in bird population size from observed climatic change

(2008) R. E Green et al.   Biology Letters

LONGEVITY CAN BUFFER PLANT AND ANIMAL POPULATIONS AGAINST CHANGING CLIMATIC VARIABILITY

(2008) William F. Morris et al.   ECOLOGY