Climate change threatens European conservation areas

A probability-based approach to match species with reserves when data are at different resolutions

(2010) Diogo Alagador et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Measuring and comparing the accuracy of species distribution models with presence-absence data

(2010) Canran Liu et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Modeling plant ranges over 75 years of climate change in California, USA: temporal transferability and species traits

(2010) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Replacing underperforming protected areas achieves better conservation outcomes

(2010) Richard A. Fuller et al.   NATURE

Erosion of Lizard Diversity by Climate Change and Altered Thermal Niches

(2010) B. Sinervo et al.   SCIENCE

Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century

(2010) H. M. Pereira et al.   SCIENCE

Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change

(2010) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Conservation Letters

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

(2009) Matthew C. Fitzpatrick et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change

(2009) B. W. Brook et al.   Biology Letters

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Projected impacts of climate change on a continent-wide protected area network

(2009) David G. Hole et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ensemble models predict Important Bird Areas in southern Africa will become less effective for conserving endemic birds under climate change

(2009) Bernard W. T. Coetzee et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

The velocity of climate change

(2009) Scott R. Loarie et al.   NATURE

Reopening the climate envelope reveals macroscale associations with climate in European birds

(2009) M. B. Araujo et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change

(2009) B.J Anderson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Stability Predicts Genetic Diversity in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest Hotspot

(2009) A. C. Carnaval et al.   SCIENCE

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

Performance of climate envelope models in retrodicting recent changes in bird population size from observed climatic change

(2008) R. E Green et al.   Biology Letters

Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling

(2008) Mathieu Marmion et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Global change and species interactions in terrestrial ecosystems

(2008) Jason M. Tylianakis et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Reconstructing the demise of Tethyan plants: climate-driven range dynamics ofLaurussince the Pliocene

(2008) Francisco Rodríguez-Sánchez et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

A Significant Upward Shift in Plant Species Optimum Elevation During the 20th Century

(2008) J. Lenoir et al.   SCIENCE

Climate Change, Humans, and the Extinction of the Woolly Mammoth

(2008) David Nogués-Bravo et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY