21st Century Sea-Level Rise in Line with the Paris Accord

Global mean sea-level rise in a world agreed upon in Paris

(2017) Klaus Bittermann et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Bounding probabilistic sea-level projections within the framework of the possibility theory

(2017) Gonéri Le Cozannet et al.   Environmental Research Letters

A high-end sea level rise probabilistic projection including rapid Antarctic ice sheet mass loss

(2017) Dewi Le Bars et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Groundwater depletion embedded in international food trade

(2017) Carole Dalin et al.   NATURE

Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C

(2017) Richard J. Millar et al.   Nature Geoscience

In the observational record half a degree matters

(2017) Carl-Friedrich Schleussner et al.   Nature Climate Change

A probabilistic approach to 21st century regional sea-level projections using RCP and High-end scenarios

(2016) Luke P. Jackson et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target

(2016) Eva Wollenberg et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C

(2016) Joeri Rogelj et al.   NATURE

Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise

(2016) Robert M. DeConto et al.   NATURE

Temperature-driven global sea-level variability in the Common Era

(2016) Robert E. Kopp et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment

(2016) Matthias Mengel et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Recent Changes in Land Water Storage and its Contribution to Sea Level Variations

(2016) Yoshihide Wada et al.   SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS

Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change

(2016) Peter U. Clark et al.   Nature Climate Change

The contribution of glacial isostatic adjustment to projections of sea-level change along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of North America

(2016) Ryan Love et al.   Earths Future

Sea level rise projections for northern Europe under RCP8.5

(2015) A Grinsted et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

Duality in climate science

(2015) Kevin Anderson   Nature Geoscience

Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate policy

(2015) Thomas S. Lontzek et al.   Nature Climate Change

Space geodesy constrains ice age terminal deglaciation: The global ICE-6G_C (VM5a) model

(2015) W. R. Peltier et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH

Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes

(2014) A. B. A. Slangen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Groundwater extraction, land subsidence, and sea-level rise in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam

(2014) Laura E Erban et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Constructing scenarios of regional sea level change using global temperature pathways

(2014) Hylke de Vries et al.   Environmental Research Letters

CMIP5 historical simulations (1850-2012) with GISS ModelE2

(2014) Ron L. Miller et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites

(2014) Robert E. Kopp et al.   Earths Future

Evaluation of CMIP5 dynamic sea surface height multi-model simulations against satellite observations

(2013) Felix W. Landerer et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Impact of self-attraction and loading effects induced by shelf mass loading on projected regional sea level rise

(2013) K. Richter et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The multimillennial sea-level commitment of global warming

(2013) Anders Levermann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Semiempirical and process-based global sea level projections

(2013) John C. Moore et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets

(2013) J. L. Bamber et al.   Nature Climate Change

Century to multi-century sea level rise projections from CMIP5 models

(2012) Jianjun Yin   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A new, high-resolution surface mass balance map of Antarctica (1979-2010) based on regional atmospheric climate modeling

(2012) J. T. M. Lenaerts et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Reconciled Estimate of Ice-Sheet Mass Balance

(2012) A. Shepherd et al.   SCIENCE

Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet

(2012) Alexander Robinson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming levels

(2012) Michiel Schaeffer et al.   Nature Climate Change

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Testing the robustness of semi-empirical sea level projections

(2011) Stefan Rahmstorf et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

On the robustness of predictions of sea level fingerprints

(2011) J. X. Mitrovica et al.   GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL

Sea level projections to AD2500 with a new generation of climate change scenarios

(2011) S. Jevrejeva et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

The Community Climate System Model Version 4

(2011) Peter R. Gent et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The end of model democracy?

(2010) Reto Knutti   CLIMATIC CHANGE

How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?

(2010) S. Jevrejeva et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Spatial Variability of Sea Level Rise in Twenty-First Century Projections

(2010) Jianjun Yin et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Improved Climate Simulation by MIROC5: Mean States, Variability, and Climate Sensitivity

(2010) Masahiro Watanabe et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100 ad

(2009) Aslak Grinsted et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

(2008) R. Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE