Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment

Accelerated West Antarctic ice mass loss continues to outpace East Antarctic gains

(2015) Christopher Harig et al.   EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS

Probabilistic reanalysis of twentieth-century sea-level rise

(2015) Carling C. Hay et al.   NATURE

Amplified melt and flow of the Greenland ice sheet driven by late-summer cyclonic rainfall

(2015) Samuel H. Doyle et al.   Nature Geoscience

Sea-level rise due to polar ice-sheet mass loss during past warm periods

(2015) A. Dutton et al.   SCIENCE

Calving rates at tidewater glaciers vary strongly with ocean temperature

(2015) Adrian Luckman et al.   Nature Communications

Consistent evidence of increasing Antarctic accumulation with warming

(2015) Katja Frieler et al.   Nature Climate Change

Combustion of available fossil fuel resources sufficient to eliminate the Antarctic Ice Sheet

(2015) R. Winkelmann et al.   Science Advances

Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change

(2014) Aimée B. A. Slangen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Sustained increase in ice discharge from the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica, from 1973 to 2013

(2014) J. Mouginot et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

An improved mass budget for the Greenland ice sheet

(2014) Ellyn M. Enderlin et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Randolph Glacier Inventory: a globally complete inventory of glaciers

(2014) W. Tad Pfeffer et al.   JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY

Laser altimetry reveals complex pattern of Greenland Ice Sheet dynamics

(2014) Beata M. Csatho et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Attribution of global glacier mass loss to anthropogenic and natural causes

(2014) B. Marzeion et al.   SCIENCE

Deep-ocean contribution to sea level and energy budget not detectable over the past decade

(2014) W. Llovel et al.   Nature Climate Change

Retreat of Pine Island Glacier controlled by marine ice-sheet instability

(2014) L. Favier et al.   Nature Climate Change

Ice plug prevents irreversible discharge from East Antarctica

(2014) M. Mengel et al.   Nature Climate Change

Challenges to Understanding the Dynamic Response of Greenland's Marine Terminating Glaciers to Oceanic and Atmospheric Forcing

(2013) Fiammetta Straneo et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Future surface mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet and its influence on sea level change, simulated by a regional atmospheric climate model

(2013) S. R. M. Ligtenberg et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Detection of an observed 135 year ocean temperature change from limited data

(2013) William R. Hobbs et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Atmospheric and oceanic climate forcing of the exceptional Greenland ice sheet surface melt in summer 2012

(2013) Edward Hanna et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Balance Reconstruction. Part II: Surface Mass Balance (1840–2010)*

(2013) Jason E. Box   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Balance Reconstruction. Part III: Marine Ice Loss and Total Mass Balance (1840–2010)

(2013) Jason E. Box et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The multimillennial sea-level commitment of global warming

(2013) Anders Levermann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change

(2013) J. P. Abraham et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Contemporary (1960–2012) Evolution of the Climate and Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet

(2013) J. H. van Angelen et al.   SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS

Semi-empirical versus process-based sea-level projections for the twenty-first century

(2013) Mirko Orlić et al.   Nature Climate Change

One hundred years of Arctic surface temperature variation due to anthropogenic influence

(2013) John C. Fyfe et al.   Scientific Reports

Linear response functions to project contributions to future sea level

(2012) Ricarda Winkelmann et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Timing and origin of recent regional ice-mass loss in Greenland

(2012) Ingo Sasgen et al.   EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS

A new, high-resolution surface mass balance map of Antarctica (1979-2010) based on regional atmospheric climate modeling

(2012) J. T. M. Lenaerts et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010

(2012) S. Levitus et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Comparison of Global Mean Sea Level Time Series from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, and Jason-2

(2012) D. Masters et al.   MARINE GEODESY

Increased future ice discharge from Antarctica owing to higher snowfall

(2012) R. Winkelmann et al.   NATURE

Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet

(2012) Alexander Robinson et al.   Nature Climate Change

The representative concentration pathways: an overview

(2011) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Acceleration of the contribution of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to sea level rise

(2011) E. Rignot et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008

(2011) John A. Church et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Scaling Approach to Probabilistic Assessment of Regional Climate Change

(2011) Katja Frieler et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance 1870 to 2010 based on Twentieth Century Reanalysis, and links with global climate forcing

(2011) Edward Hanna et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Committed sea-level rise for the next century from Greenland ice sheet dynamics during the past decade

(2011) S. F. Price et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Estimating the Glacier Contribution to Sea-Level Rise for the Period 1800–2005

(2011) P. W. Leclercq et al.   SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS

Sea-Level Rise from the Late 19th to the Early 21st Century

(2011) John A. Church et al.   SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS

How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?

(2010) S. Jevrejeva et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Warming of Global Abyssal and Deep Southern Ocean Waters between the 1990s and 2000s: Contributions to Global Heat and Sea Level Rise Budgets*

(2010) Sarah G. Purkey et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Regional and global volumes of glaciers derived from statistical upscaling of glacier inventory data

(2010) Valentina Radić et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100 ad

(2009) Aslak Grinsted et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Thresholds for irreversible decline of the Greenland ice sheet

(2009) Jeff Ridley et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Reevaluation of historical ocean heat content variations with time-varying XBT and MBT depth bias corrections

(2009) Masayoshi Ishii et al.   JOURNAL OF OCEANOGRAPHY

Modelling West Antarctic ice sheet growth and collapse through the past five million years

(2009) David Pollard et al.   NATURE

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

(2009) Malte Meinshausen et al.   NATURE

Global sea level linked to global temperature

(2009) M. Vermeer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Partitioning Recent Greenland Mass Loss

(2009) M. van den Broeke et al.   SCIENCE

Geodetic and direct mass-balance measurements: comparison and joint analysis

(2009) J. Graham Cogley   ANNALS OF GLACIOLOGY

Changes in West Antarctic ice stream dynamics observed with ALOS PALSAR data

(2008) Eric Rignot   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet from 1958 to 2007

(2008) E. Rignot et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise

(2008) Catia M. Domingues et al.   NATURE

Large and Rapid Melt-Induced Velocity Changes in the Ablation Zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet

(2008) R. S. W. van de Wal et al.   SCIENCE