Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C

Understanding the origin of Paris Agreement emission uncertainties

(2017) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Communications

Energy budget constraints on climate sensitivity in light of inconstant climate feedbacks

(2017) Kyle C. Armour   Nature Climate Change

The ‘2°C capital stock’ for electricity generation: Committed cumulative carbon emissions from the electricity generation sector and the transition to a green economy

(2016) Alexander Pfeiffer et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets?

(2016) Benjamin M. Sanderson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide: A significant revision of the methane radiative forcing

(2016) M. Etminan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C

(2016) Joeri Rogelj et al.   NATURE

New use of global warming potentials to compare cumulative and short-lived climate pollutants

(2016) Myles R. Allen et al.   Nature Climate Change

Reply to 'Volcanic effects on climate'

(2016) Daniel J. A. Johansson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth

(2016) Mark Richardson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled

(2016) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Model structure in observational constraints on transient climate response

(2015) Richard J. Millar et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings

(2015) Andrew H MacDougall et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Rethinking the Lower Bound on Aerosol Radiative Forcing

(2015) Bjorn Stevens   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?

(2015) A. A. Fawcett et al.   SCIENCE

Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy

(2015) Friederike E. L. Otto et al.   Nature Climate Change

Reaching peak emissions

(2015) Robert B. Jackson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Short-Lived Climate Pollution

(2014) R.T. Pierrehumbert   Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences

The impact of forcing efficacy on the equilibrium climate sensitivity

(2014) J. R. Kummer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Long-Term Climate Change Commitment and Reversibility: An EMIC Intercomparison

(2013) Kirsten Zickfeld et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Climate–society feedbacks and the avoidance of dangerous climate change

(2012) A. J. Jarvis et al.   Nature Climate Change

Solution to the paradox of climate sensitivity

(2011) Salvador Pueyo   CLIMATIC CHANGE

RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions

(2011) Keywan Riahi et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2°C

(2011) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne

(2009) Myles R. Allen et al.   NATURE

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

(2009) Malte Meinshausen et al.   NATURE

Setting cumulative emissions targets to reduce the risk of dangerous climate change

(2009) K. Zickfeld et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Stabilizing climate requires near-zero emissions

(2008) H. Damon Matthews et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS