Integrating mechanistic and correlative niche models to unravel range‐limiting processes in a temperate amphibian

Ontogenetic reduction in thermal tolerance is not alleviated by earlier developmental acclimation in Rana temporaria

(2019) Urtzi Enriquez-Urzelai et al.   OECOLOGIA

Leveraging Organismal Biology to Forecast the Effects of Climate Change

(2018) Lauren B Buckley et al.   INTEGRATIVE AND COMPARATIVE BIOLOGY

Can next-generation soil data products improve soil moisture modelling at the continental scale? An assessment using a new microclimate package for the R programming environment

(2018) Michael R. Kearney et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Plasticity reveals hidden resistance to extinction under climate change in the global hotspot of salamander diversity

(2018) Eric A. Riddell et al.   Science Advances

Hindered and constrained: limited potential for thermal adaptation in post-metamorphic and adult Rana temporaria along elevational gradients

(2018) Urtzi Enriquez-Urzelai et al.   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

NA2RE is reliable but aims for improvement: an answer to Vamberger and Fritz (2018)

(2018) Neftali Sillero et al.   BIOLOGIA

Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being

(2017) Gretta T. Pecl et al.   SCIENCE

NicheMapR - an R package for biophysical modelling: the microclimate model

(2016) Michael R. Kearney et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Can we predict ectotherm responses to climate change using thermal performance curves and body temperatures?

(2016) Brent J. Sinclair et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ontogeny constrains phenology: opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate

(2016) Ofir Levy et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Limited scope for plasticity to increase upper thermal limits

(2016) Belinda van Heerwaarden et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Adaptation to heat stress reduces phenotypic and transcriptional plasticity in a marine copepod

(2016) Morgan W. Kelly et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Unpacking the mechanisms captured by a correlative species distribution model to improve predictions of climate refugia

(2016) Natalie J. Briscoe et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Mechanistic variables can enhance predictive models of endotherm distributions: the American pika under current, past, and future climates

(2016) Paul D. Mathewson et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Projections of future habitat use by Atlantic bluefin tuna: mechanistic vs. correlative distribution models

(2016) Barbara A. Muhling et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Favourable areas for co-occurrence of parapatric species: niche conservatism and niche divergence in Iberian tree frogs and midwife toads

(2016) Luís Reino et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Testing the climate variability hypothesis in thermal tolerance limits of tropical and temperate tadpoles

(2016) L. M. Gutiérrez-Pesquera et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Mechanistic models for predicting insect responses to climate change

(2016) James L Maino et al.   Current Opinion in Insect Science

Warming tolerance across insect ontogeny: influence of joint shifts in microclimates and thermal limits

(2015) Sylvain Pincebourde et al.   ECOLOGY

A conceptual framework for understanding thermal constraints on ectotherm activity with implications for predicting responses to global change

(2015) Alex R. Gunderson et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Thermoregulatory behaviour limits local adaptation of thermal niches and confers sensitivity to climate change

(2015) Lauren B. Buckley et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Behavioural adaptations of Rana temporaria to cold climates

(2015) Gerda Ludwig et al.   JOURNAL OF THERMAL BIOLOGY

Plasticity in thermal tolerance has limited potential to buffer ectotherms from global warming

(2015) A. R. Gunderson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Resolving the life cycle alters expected impacts of climate change

(2015) Ofir Levy et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Assessing species vulnerability to climate change

(2015) Michela Pacifici et al.   Nature Climate Change

Mechanistic species distribution modelling as a link between physiology and conservation

(2015) Tyler G. Evans et al.   Conservation Physiology

Distributed database system of the New Atlas of Amphibians and Reptiles in Europe: the NA2RE project

(2015) Neftalí Sillero et al.   AMPHIBIA-REPTILIA

Updated distribution and biogeography of amphibians and reptiles of Europe

(2014) Neftali Sillero et al.   AMPHIBIA-REPTILIA

Combining correlative and mechanistic habitat suitability models to improve ecological compensation

(2014) Eric Meineri et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

Behavioural and physiological adaptations to low-temperature environments in the common frog, Rana temporaria

(2014) Anna P Muir et al.   BMC EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Comparing species distribution models constructed with different subsets of environmental predictors

(2014) David N. Bucklin et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Climate-related range shifts - a global multidimensional synthesis and new research directions

(2014) J. Lenoir et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Seeing the woods for the trees - when is microclimate important in species distribution models?

(2014) Jonathan Bennie et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Combining physiological threshold knowledge to species distribution models is key to improving forecasts of the future niche for macroalgae

(2014) Brezo Martínez et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Potential effects of climate change on the distribution of the common frogRana temporariaat its northern range margin

(2014) Lior Blank et al.   Israel Journal of Ecology & Evolution

Thermal physiology and species distribution models reveal climate vulnerability of temperate amphibians

(2014) Alyssa A. Gerick et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Realized niche shift during a global biological invasion

(2014) R. Tingley et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Thermal-safety margins and the necessity of thermoregulatory behavior across latitude and elevation

(2014) J. M. Sunday et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Activity restriction and the mechanistic basis for extinctions under climate warming

(2013) Michael R. Kearney   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Rates of projected climate change dramatically exceed past rates of climatic niche evolution among vertebrate species

(2013) Ignacio Quintero et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Microclimatic challenges in global change biology

(2013) Kristen A. Potter et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Climatic niche at physiological and macroecological scales: the thermal tolerance-geographical range interface and niche dimensionality

(2013) Sidney F. Gouveia et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

The Future of Species Under Climate Change: Resilience or Decline?

(2013) C. Moritz et al.   SCIENCE

Estimating consensus and associated uncertainty between inherently different species distribution models

(2013) Emmanuel S. Gritti et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Microclimate modelling at macro scales: a test of a general microclimate model integrated with gridded continental-scale soil and weather data

(2013) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling

(2012) Mary Susanne Wisz et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

A physiological trait-based approach to predicting the responses of species to experimental climate warming

(2012) Sarah E. Diamond et al.   ECOLOGY

Each life stage matters: the importance of assessing the response to climate change over the complete life cycle in butterflies

(2012) Viktoriia Radchuk et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Stage-dependent physiological responses in a butterfly cause non-additive effects on phenology

(2012) Natalie J. Briscoe et al.   OIKOS

What does ecological modelling model? A proposed classification of ecological niche models based on their underlying methods

(2011) Neftalí Sillero   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Metabolic theory, life history and the distribution of a terrestrial ectotherm

(2011) Michael Kearney   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Can amphibians take the heat? Vulnerability to climate warming in subtropical and temperate larval amphibian communities

(2011) Helder Duarte et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The World Is not Flat: Defining Relevant Thermal Landscapes in the Context of Climate Change

(2011) M. W. Sears et al.   INTEGRATIVE AND COMPARATIVE BIOLOGY

Complex Life Cycles and the Responses of Insects to Climate Change

(2011) Joel G. Kingsolver et al.   INTEGRATIVE AND COMPARATIVE BIOLOGY

The Contribution of Vegetation and Landscape Configuration for Predicting Environmental Change Impacts on Iberian Birds

(2011) Maria Triviño et al.   PLoS One

Cryptic biodiversity loss linked to global climate change

(2011) M. Bálint et al.   Nature Climate Change

Erosion of Lizard Diversity by Climate Change and Altered Thermal Niches

(2010) B. Sinervo et al.   SCIENCE

Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change

(2010) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Conservation Letters

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory

(2010) Luis-Miguel Chevin et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Integrating biophysical models and evolutionary theory to predict climatic impacts on species’ ranges: the dengue mosquitoAedes aegyptiin Australia

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Niches, models, and climate change: Assessing the assumptions and uncertainties

(2009) J. A. Wiens et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Why tropical forest lizards are vulnerable to climate warming

(2009) R. B. Huey et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Fundamental Evolutionary Limits in Ecological Traits Drive Drosophila Species Distributions

(2009) V. Kellermann et al.   SCIENCE

Modelling species distributions without using species distributions: the cane toad in Australia under current and future climates

(2008) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOGRAPHY