The art of modelling range-shifting species

Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change

(2010) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Conservation Letters

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

(2009) Matthew C. Fitzpatrick et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudo-absence data

(2009) Steven J. Phillips et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Niche shifts during the global invasion of the Asian tiger mosquito,Aedes albopictusSkuse (Culicidae), revealed by reciprocal distribution models

(2009) Kim A. Medley   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Integrating species distribution models and interacting particle systems to predict the spread of an invasive alien plant

(2009) M.G. Smolik et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Modeling the invasive emerald ash borer risk of spread using a spatially explicit cellular model

(2009) Anantha M. Prasad et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Alien Invasive Slider Turtle in Unpredicted Habitat: A Matter of Niche Shift or of Predictors Studied?

(2009) Dennis Rödder et al.   PLoS One

Predicting establishment success for alien reptiles and amphibians: a role for climate matching

(2008) Mary Bomford et al.   BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS

Consensual predictions of potential distributional areas for invasive species: a case study of Argentine ants in the Iberian Peninsula

(2008) Núria Roura-Pascual et al.   BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS

Spatial analysis improves species distribution modelling during range expansion

(2008) P. De Marco et al.   Biology Letters

Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter

(2008) O. Broennimann et al.   Biology Letters

Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling

(2008) Mathieu Marmion et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Modelling species distributions without using species distributions: the cane toad in Australia under current and future climates

(2008) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation

(2008) Steven J. Phillips et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Predicting tree distributions in an East African biodiversity hotspot: model selection, data bias and envelope uncertainty

(2008) Philip J. Platts et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

ENVIRONMENTAL NICHE EQUIVALENCY VERSUS CONSERVATISM: QUANTITATIVE APPROACHES TO NICHE EVOLUTION

(2008) Dan L. Warren et al.   EVOLUTION

Characterizing and predicting species distributions across environments and scales: Argentine ant occurrences in the eye of the beholder

(2008) S. B. Menke et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

A working guide to boosted regression trees

(2008) J. Elith et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

The toad ahead: challenges of modelling the range and spread of an invasive species

(2008) Benjamin L. Phillips et al.   WILDLIFE RESEARCH

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS