Exploring consensus in 21st century projections of climatically suitable areas for African vertebrates

How Useful Are Species Distribution Models for Managing Biodiversity under Future Climates?

(2016) Steve J. Sinclair et al.   ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY

Modelling horses for novel climate courses: insights from projecting potential distributions of native and alien Australian acacias with correlative and mechanistic models

(2011) Bruce L. Webber et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Choice of threshold alters projections of species range shifts under climate change

(2011) H.K. Nenzén et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Climate change threatens European conservation areas

(2011) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Rethinking species' ability to cope with rapid climate change

(2011) CHRISTIAN HOF et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Choice of predictor variables as a source of uncertainty in continental-scale species distribution modelling under climate change

(2011) Nicholas W. Synes et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe

(2011) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   NATURE

Impacts of climate change on the world's most exceptional ecoregions

(2011) L. J. Beaumont et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate

(2011) T. P. Dawson et al.   SCIENCE

Assessing the potential impacts of climate change and their conservation implications in Japan: A case study of conifers

(2010) Yuko Ogawa-Onishi et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change

(2010) Ed Hawkins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Adapting to climate change: a perspective from evolutionary physiology

(2010) SL Chown et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

The effects of climate data precision on fitting and projecting species niche models

(2010) Darren J. Kriticos et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Ensemble modelling of species distribution: the effects of geographical and environmental ranges

(2010) Gael Grenouillet et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Globally downscaled climate projections for assessing the conservation impacts of climate change

(2010) Karyn Tabor et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Does the choice of climate baseline matter in ecological niche modelling?

(2010) A.J. Roubicek et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Targeted protection and restoration to conserve tropical biodiversity in a warming world

(2010) LUKE P. SHOO et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The effect of the extent of the study region on GIS models of species geographic distributions and estimates of niche evolution: preliminary tests with montane rodents (genus Nephelomys) in Venezuela

(2010) Robert P. Anderson et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Bayesian estimation of local signal and noise in multimodel simulations of climate change

(2010) Qingyun Duan et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Misrepresentation of the IPCC CO2 emission scenarios

(2010) M. R. Manning et al.   Nature Geoscience

Avian range changes and climate change: a cautionary tale from the Cape Peninsula

(2010) Philip AR Hockey et al.   OSTRICH

Temporal biodiversity change in transformed landscapes: a southern African perspective

(2010) S. L. Chown   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Potential responses of terrestrial biodiversity in Southern Africa to anthropogenic climate change

(2010) Guy F. Midgley et al.   Regional Environmental Change

Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change

(2010) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Conservation Letters

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory

(2010) Luis-Miguel Chevin et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Growth responses of African savanna trees implicate atmospheric [CO2] as a driver of past and current changes in savanna tree cover

(2009) BARNEY S. KGOPE et al.   AUSTRAL ECOLOGY

Climate change, conservation and management: an assessment of the peer-reviewed scientific journal literature

(2009) Adam Felton et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

(2009) Matthew C. Fitzpatrick et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Major current and future gaps of Brazilian reserves to protect Neotropical savanna birds

(2009) Miguel Ângelo Marini et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Applying ecological niche modelling to plan conservation actions for the Red-spectacled Amazon ( Amazona pretrei )

(2009) Miguel Ângelo Marini et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Potential impacts of climate change on the winter distribution of Afro-Palaearctic migrant passerines

(2009) M. Barbet-Massin et al.   Biology Letters

Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change

(2009) B. W. Brook et al.   Biology Letters

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The Future of Tropical Species on a Warmer Planet

(2009) S. JOSEPH WRIGHT et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Contrasted impacts of climate change on stream fish assemblages along an environmental gradient

(2009) Laëtitia Buisson et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

The impact of shrub encroachment on savanna bird diversity from local to regional scale

(2009) Clélia Sirami et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Predicting the future of species diversity: macroecological theory, climate change, and direct tests of alternative forecasting methods

(2009) Adam C. Algar et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Do they? How do they? WHY do they differ? On finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   ECOGRAPHY

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate change

(2009) José Alexandre F. Diniz-Filho et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Projected climate-induced faunal change in the Western Hemisphere

(2009) Joshua J. Lawler et al.   ECOLOGY

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

Projected impacts of climate change on a continent-wide protected area network

(2009) David G. Hole et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Ensemble models predict Important Bird Areas in southern Africa will become less effective for conserving endemic birds under climate change

(2009) Bernard W. T. Coetzee et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Projected Changes in Mean and Extreme Precipitation in Africa under Global Warming. Part I: Southern Africa

(2009) M. E. Shongwe et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Alien Invasive Slider Turtle in Unpredicted Habitat: A Matter of Niche Shift or of Predictors Studied?

(2009) Dennis Rödder et al.   PLoS One

Reopening the climate envelope reveals macroscale associations with climate in European birds

(2009) M. B. Araujo et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Ecology and the ratchet of events: Climate variability, niche dimensions, and species distributions

(2009) S. T. Jackson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Niches, models, and climate change: Assessing the assumptions and uncertainties

(2009) J. A. Wiens et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies

(2009) D. W. Pierce et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change

(2009) B.J Anderson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Do pseudo-absence selection strategies influence species distribution models and their predictions? An information-theoretic approach based on simulated data

(2009) Mary S Wisz et al.   BMC ECOLOGY

Consensual predictions of potential distributional areas for invasive species: a case study of Argentine ants in the Iberian Peninsula

(2008) Núria Roura-Pascual et al.   BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS

Contemporary perspectives on the niche that can improve models of species range shifts under climate change

(2008) X. Morin et al.   Biology Letters

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

(2008) Thomas Reichler et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Not as good as they seem: the importance of concepts in species distribution modelling

(2008) Alberto Jiménez-Valverde et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models

(2008) M. S. Wisz et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling

(2008) Mathieu Marmion et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Predicting tree distributions in an East African biodiversity hotspot: model selection, data bias and envelope uncertainty

(2008) Philip J. Platts et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Impacts of climate change on the vegetation of Africa: an adaptive dynamic vegetation modelling approach

(2008) SIMON SCHEITER et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Scenarios of biodiversity loss in southern Africa in the 21st century

(2008) Reinette Biggs et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

(2008) R. Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Performance metrics for climate models

(2008) P. J. Gleckler et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Historical bias in biodiversity inventories affects the observed environmental niche of the species

(2008) Joaquín Hortal et al.   OIKOS

Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude

(2008) C. A. Deutsch et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Assessing the effects of pseudo-absences on predictive distribution model performance

(2007) Rosa M. Chefaoui et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS