Early warning of climate tipping points

PREDICTING CLIMATE TIPPING AS A NOISY BIFURCATION: A REVIEW

(2011) J. MICHAEL T. THOMPSON et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate tipping as a noisy bifurcation: a predictive technique

(2010) J. M. T. Thompson et al.   IMA JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Expert judgments about transient climate response to alternative future trajectories of radiative forcing

(2010) Kirsten Zickfeld et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Excitability in ramped systems: the compost-bomb instability

(2010) S. Wieczorek et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Spatial and temporal signatures of fragility and threshold proximity in modelled semi-arid vegetation

(2010) R. M. Bailey   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Going to extremes: propositions on the social response to severe climate change

(2009) William R. Travis   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: What do we need to know and when do we need to know it

(2009) Raphael Contamin et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Rapid oceanic and atmospheric changes during the Younger Dryas cold period

(2009) Jostein Bakke et al.   Nature Geoscience

Committed terrestrial ecosystem changes due to climate change

(2009) Chris Jones et al.   Nature Geoscience

Using GENIE to study a tipping point in the climate system

(2009) T. M Lenton et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Deriving dynamical models from paleoclimatic records: Application to glacial millennial-scale climate variability

(2009) Frank Kwasniok et al.   PHYSICAL REVIEW E

Early warning signals of demographic regime shifts in invading populations

(2009) Gaku Takimoto   POPULATION ECOLOGY

Imprecise probability assessment of tipping points in the climate system

(2009) E. Kriegler et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Assessing dangerous climate change through an update of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) "reasons for concern"

(2009) J. B. Smith et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Parallel Pursuit of Near-Term and Long-Term Climate Mitigation

(2009) S. C. Jackson   SCIENCE

Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts

(2009) Vasilis Dakos et al.   Theoretical Ecology

False Alarms, Tornado Warnings, and Tornado Casualties

(2009) Kevin M. Simmons et al.   Weather Climate and Society

INCREASED SPATIAL VARIANCE ACCOMPANIES REORGANIZATION OF TWO CONTINENTAL SHELF ECOSYSTEMS

(2008) Michael A. Litzow et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Critical slowing down as an indicator of transitions in two-species models

(2008) Ryan A. Chisholm et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change

(2008) W. A. Kurz et al.   NATURE

On avoiding dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system: Formidable challenges ahead

(2008) V. Ramanathan et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Risk of natural disturbances makes future contribution of Canada's forests to the global carbon cycle highly uncertain

(2008) W. A. Kurz et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   Theoretical Ecology