Transient climate changes in a perturbed parameter ensemble of emissions-driven earth system model simulations

Probabilistic projections of transient climate change

(2013) Glen R. Harris et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

On the estimation of systematic error in regression-based predictions of climate sensitivity

(2013) Benjamin M. Sanderson   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Carbon–Concentration and Carbon–Climate Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models

(2013) Vivek K. Arora et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Evaluating the Land and Ocean Components of the Global Carbon Cycle in the CMIP5 Earth System Models

(2013) A. Anav et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Uncertainties in CMIP5 Climate Projections due to Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

(2013) Pierre Friedlingstein et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Early warning signals of simulated Amazon rainforest dieback

(2013) Chris A. Boulton et al.   Theoretical Ecology

A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change

(2013) N. W. Arnell et al.   Nature Climate Change

Observed 21st century temperatures further constrain likely rates of future warming

(2012) Peter A. Stott et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Interactions between perturbations to different Earth system components simulated by a fully-coupled climate model

(2012) F. Hugo Lambert et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Asymmetries in tropical rainfall and circulation patterns in idealised CO2 removal experiments

(2012) Robin Chadwick et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Reversibility in an Earth System model in response to CO2concentration changes

(2012) O Boucher et al.   Environmental Research Letters

High sensitivity of future global warming to land carbon cycle processes

(2012) Ben B B Booth et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Temperature dependent climate projection deficiencies in CMIP5 models

(2012) Jens H. Christensen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Forcing, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in CMIP5 coupled atmosphere-ocean climate models

(2012) Timothy Andrews et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Selecting Ensemble Members to Provide Regional Climate Change Information

(2012) Carol F. McSweeney et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Asymmetric European summer heat predictability from wet and dry southern winters and springs

(2012) Benjamin Quesada et al.   Nature Climate Change

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The sensitivity of the meridional overturning circulation to modelling uncertainty in a perturbed physics ensemble without flux adjustment

(2011) Laura C. Jackson et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Sources of uncertainty in future changes in local precipitation

(2011) David P. Rowell   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment

(2011) T. C. Johns et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A Scaling Approach to Probabilistic Assessment of Regional Climate Change

(2011) Katja Frieler et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Distributions of decadal means of temperature and precipitation change under global warming

(2011) I. G. Watterson et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Aerosol forcing in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) simulations by HadGEM2-ES and the role of ammonium nitrate

(2011) Nicolas Bellouin et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Impact of soil moisture–atmosphere coupling on European climate extremes and trends in a regional climate model

(2010) E. B. Jaeger et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Influence of SST biases on future climate change projections

(2010) Moetasim Ashfaq et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

(2010) Matthew Collins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Do global warming targets limit heatwave risk?

(2010) Robin T. Clark et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Analysis and Reduction of Systematic Errors through a Seamless Approach to Modeling Weather and Climate

(2010) G. M. Martin et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Observational evidence for soil-moisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern Europe

(2010) Martin Hirschi et al.   Nature Geoscience

Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments

(2009) Jonathan Rougier et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Quantifying the effects of perturbing the physics of an interactive sulfur scheme using an ensemble of GCMs on the climateprediction.net platform

(2009) Duncan Ackerley et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Committed terrestrial ecosystem changes due to climate change

(2009) Chris Jones et al.   Nature Geoscience

Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide

(2009) Corinne Le Quéré et al.   Nature Geoscience

A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

(2008) R. Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Calculation of probability density functions for temperature and precipitation change under global warming

(2008) I. G. Watterson   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Performance metrics for climate models

(2008) P. J. Gleckler et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Satellite-based estimate of the direct and indirect aerosol climate forcing

(2008) Johannes Quaas et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH