Probabilistic projections of transient climate change

Observed 21st century temperatures further constrain likely rates of future warming

(2012) Peter A. Stott et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Interactions between perturbations to different Earth system components simulated by a fully-coupled climate model

(2012) F. Hugo Lambert et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

High sensitivity of future global warming to land carbon cycle processes

(2012) Ben B B Booth et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Selecting Ensemble Members to Provide Regional Climate Change Information

(2012) Carol F. McSweeney et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Climate change projections and stratosphere–troposphere interaction

(2011) Adam A. Scaife et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models. Part II: robustness of methodological choices and consequences for climate sensitivity

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Sensitivity of Twentieth-Century Sahel Rainfall to Sulfate Aerosol and CO2Forcing

(2011) Duncan Ackerley et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Consensus on Twenty-First-Century Rainfall Projections in Climate Models More Widespread than Previously Thought

(2011) Scott B. Power et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Distributions of decadal means of temperature and precipitation change under global warming

(2011) I. G. Watterson et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

East Asian Studies of Tropospheric Aerosols and their Impact on Regional Climate (EAST-AIRC): An overview

(2011) Zhanqing Li et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

(2010) Matthew Collins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change

(2010) Ed Hawkins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

On the effect of a new grand minimum of solar activity on the future climate on Earth

(2010) Georg Feulner et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On the generation and interpretation of probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity

(2009) J. D. Annan et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Contributions of carbon cycle uncertainty to future climate projection spread

(2009) C. HUNTINGFORD et al.   TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY

The impact of perturbations to ocean-model parameters on climate and climate change in a coupled model

(2008) Chris M. Brierley et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

(2008) R. Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Calculation of probability density functions for temperature and precipitation change under global warming

(2008) I. G. Watterson   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from multiple climate models: a hierarchical Bayesian approach

(2008) Claudia Tebaldi et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY