Observed 21st century temperatures further constrain likely rates of future warming

Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability

(2012) Ben B. B. Booth et al.   NATURE

Sensitivity of the attribution of near surface temperature warming to the choice of observational dataset

(2011) G. S. Jones et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Improved constraints on 21st-century warming derived using 160 years of temperature observations

(2011) N. P. Gillett et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Separating signal and noise in atmospheric temperature changes: The importance of timescale

(2011) B. D. Santer et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance

(2011) Markus Huber et al.   Nature Geoscience

Probing the Fast and Slow Components of Global Warming by Returning Abruptly to Preindustrial Forcing

(2010) Isaac M. Held et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Is the climate warming or cooling?

(2009) David R. Easterling et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)

(2008) Thomas M. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE