REVIEW: Predictive ecology in a changing world

Databases, Scaling Practices, and the Globalization of Biodiversity

(2016) Esther Turnhout et al.   ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY

Temporal stability in forest productivity increases with tree diversity due to asynchrony in species dynamics

(2014) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Extending the use of ecological models without sacrificing details: a generic and parsimonious meta-modelling approach

(2014) Guillaume Marie et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Emergent Global Patterns of Ecosystem Structure and Function from a Mechanistic General Ecosystem Model

(2014) Michael B. J. Harfoot et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

The role of data assimilation in predictive ecology

(2014) Shuli Niu et al.   Ecosphere

Merging validation and evaluation of ecological models to ‘evaludation’: A review of terminology and a practical approach

(2013) Jacqueline Augusiak et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Macroevolutionary perspectives to environmental change

(2013) Fabien L. Condamine et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A road map for integrating eco-evolutionary processes into biodiversity models

(2013) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The problem of pattern and scale in ecology: what have we learned in 20 years?

(2013) Jérôme Chave   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Biodiversity and ecosystem stability: a synthesis of underlying mechanisms

(2013) Michel Loreau et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Big data and the future of ecology

(2013) Stephanie E Hampton et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

FATE-HD: a spatially and temporally explicit integrated model for predicting vegetation structure and diversity at regional scale

(2013) Boulangeat Isabelle et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Integrated assessment models for ecologists: the present and the future

(2013) Michael Harfoot et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Where are the wild things? Why we need better data on species distribution

(2013) Anne Duputié et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Spread of invasive ragweed: climate change, management and how to reduce allergy costs

(2013) Robert Richter et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Testing the roles of competition, facilitation and stochasticity on community structure in a species-rich assemblage

(2013) Carlos Martorell et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

A novel framework for linking functional diversity of plants with other trophic levels for the quantification of ecosystem services

(2013) Sandra Lavorel et al.   JOURNAL OF VEGETATION SCIENCE

Don't do big-data science backwards

(2013) David B. Lindenmayer et al.   NATURE

Predictive systems ecology

(2013) M. R. Evans et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Essential Biodiversity Variables

(2013) H. M. Pereira et al.   SCIENCE

It's a myth that protection against disease is a strong and general service of biodiversity conservation: Response to Ostfeld and Keesing

(2013) Kevin D. Lafferty et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Biodiversity data should be published, cited, and peer reviewed

(2013) Mark J. Costello et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Do simple models lead to generality in ecology?

(2013) Matthew R. Evans et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

EasyABC: performing efficient approximate Bayesian computation sampling schemes using R

(2013) Franck Jabot et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Data reuse and the open data citation advantage

(2013) Heather A. Piwowar et al.   PeerJ

Ecophylogenetics: advances and perspectives

(2012) Nicolas Mouquet et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

From spatially explicit ecological models to mean-field dynamics: The state of the art and perspectives

(2012) Andrew Morozov et al.   Ecological Complexity

A stochastic viability approach to ecosystem-based fisheries management

(2012) L. Doyen et al.   ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS

ThesauForm—Traits: A web based collaborative tool to develop a thesaurus for plant functional diversity research

(2012) Marie-Angélique Laporte et al.   Ecological Informatics

Functional species pool framework to test for biotic effects on community assembly

(2012) Francesco de Bello et al.   ECOLOGY

Simple rules describe bottom-up and top-down control in food webs with alternative energy pathways

(2012) Sabine Wollrab et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Climate change impacts on tree ranges: model intercomparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty

(2012) Alissar Cheaib et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Phylogenetic diversity and the functioning of ecosystems

(2012) Diane S. Srivastava et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

More than a meal… integrating non-feeding interactions into food webs

(2012) Sonia Kéfi et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity

(2012) Céline Bellard et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Improving plant functional groups for dynamic models of biodiversity: at the crossroads between functional and community ecology

(2012) Isabelle Boulangeat et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Parameter and uncertainty estimation for process-oriented population and distribution models: data, statistics and the niche

(2012) Glenn Marion et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Connecting dynamic vegetation models to data - an inverse perspective

(2012) Florian Hartig et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography

(2012) Frank M. Schurr et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

A physiological analogy of the niche for projecting the potential distribution of plants

(2012) Steven I. Higgins et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Real time forecasting of near-future evolution

(2012) P. J. Gerrish et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere

(2012) Anthony D. Barnosky et al.   NATURE

Testing the predictive performance of distribution models

(2012) Volker Bahn et al.   OIKOS

Ecoinformatics: supporting ecology as a data-intensive science

(2012) William K. Michener et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Treatment of uncertainty in conservation under climate change

(2012) Heini Kujala et al.   Conservation Letters

Phylogenetic constraints on ecosystem functioning

(2012) Dominique Gravel et al.   Nature Communications

Taking Stock of Malthus: Modeling the Collapse of Historical Civilizations

(2012) Rafael Reuveny   Annual Review of Resource Economics

Analyzing Tropical Forest Tree Species Abundance Distributions Using a Nonneutral Model and through Approximate Bayesian Inference

(2011) Franck Jabot et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Biology as reactivity

(2011) Jasmin Fisher et al.   COMMUNICATIONS OF THE ACM

Does the interpolation accuracy of species distribution models come at the expense of transferability?

(2011) Risto K. Heikkinen et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models - theory and application

(2011) Florian Hartig et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Linking community and ecosystem dynamics through spatial ecology

(2011) François Massol et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

How fundamental plant functional trait relationships scale-up to trade-offs and synergies in ecosystem services

(2011) Sandra Lavorel et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe

(2011) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   NATURE

Future hotspots of terrestrial mammal loss

(2011) P. Visconti et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity

(2011) Sean M. McMahon et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Earth Stewardship: science for action to sustain the human-earth system

(2011) F. Stuart Chapin et al.   Ecosphere

Sampling in ecology and evolution - bridging the gap between theory and practice

(2010) Cécile H. Albert et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Modeling plant ranges over 75 years of climate change in California, USA: temporal transferability and species traits

(2010) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Towards a unification of unified theories of biodiversity

(2010) Brian J. McGill   ECOLOGY LETTERS

An integrated conceptual framework for long-term social–ecological research

(2010) Scott L Collins et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Effects of sampling protocol on the shapes of species richness curves

(2010) Jürgen Dengler et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Influence of four major plant traits on average height, leaf-area cover, net primary productivity, and biomass density in single-species forests: a theoretical investigation

(2010) Daniel S. Falster et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century

(2010) H. M. Pereira et al.   SCIENCE

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) in practice

(2010) Katalin Csilléry et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Assessment of an Isolation Condenser of an Integral Reactor in View of Uncertainties in Engineering Parameters

(2010) G. Lorenzo et al.   Science and Technology of Nuclear Installations

Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory

(2010) Luis-Miguel Chevin et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Data-intensive Science: A New Paradigm for Biodiversity Studies

(2009) Steve Kelling et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Accounting for uncertainty in ecological analysis: the strengths and limitations of hierarchical statistical modeling

(2009) Noel Cressie et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

The rise of research on futures in ecology: rebalancing scenarios and predictions

(2009) Audrey Coreau et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Stochastic modelling for quantitative description of heterogeneous biological systems

(2009) Darren J. Wilkinson   NATURE REVIEWS GENETICS

Parallel ecological networks in ecosystems

(2009) H. Olff et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Linking biodiversity and ecosystems: towards a unifying ecological theory

(2009) M. Loreau   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Disentangling the Web of Life

(2009) Jordi Bascompte   SCIENCE

Network Analysis in the Social Sciences

(2009) S. P. Borgatti et al.   SCIENCE

Evaluating probability sampling strategies for estimating redd counts: an example with Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha)

(2008) Jean-Yves Courbois et al.   CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES

UNDERSTANDING AND PREDICTING ECOLOGICAL DYNAMICS: ARE MAJOR SURPRISES INEVITABLE

(2008) Daniel F. Doak et al.   ECOLOGY

Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs)

(2008) S. SITCH et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Scaling environmental change through the community-level: a trait-based response-and-effect framework for plants

(2008) KATHARINE N. SUDING et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Review: Ecological networks - beyond food webs

(2008) Thomas C. Ings et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

On the relationship between farmland biodiversity and land-use intensity in Europe

(2008) D Kleijn et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Advancing ecological research with ontologies

(2008) Joshua S. Madin et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION