Predictive systems ecology

Eco-evolutionary dynamics in response to selection on life-history

(2013) Tom C. Cameron et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ecological Networks in Fisheries: Predicting the Future?

(2013) Villy Christensen   FISHERIES

From individuals to populations to communities: A dynamic energy budget model of marine ecosystem size-spectrum including life history diversity

(2013) Olivier Maury et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Integrating Evolution into Ecological Modelling: Accommodating Phenotypic Changes in Agent Based Models

(2013) Aristides Moustakas et al.   PLoS One

Do simple models lead to generality in ecology?

(2013) Matthew R. Evans et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Functional traits, the phylogeny of function, and ecosystem service vulnerability

(2013) Sandra Díaz et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Direct and Indirect Ecosystem Effects of Evolutionary Adaptation in the Trinidadian Guppy (Poecilia reticulata)

(2012) Ronald D. Bassar et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Predicting Interactions among Fishing, Ocean Warming, and Ocean Acidification in a Marine System with Whole-Ecosystem Models

(2012) Gary P. Griffith et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Modelling the skipjack tuna dynamics in the Indian Ocean with APECOSM-E: Part 1. Model formulation

(2012) Sibylle Dueri et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Terrestrial biosphere model performance for inter-annual variability of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange

(2012) T.F. Keenan et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Using model-data fusion to interpret past trends, and quantify uncertainties in future projections, of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling

(2012) Trevor F. Keenan et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Modelling the migration of post-smolt Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) in the Northeast Atlantic

(2012) K. A. Mork et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

A Collaboratively-Derived Science-Policy Research Agenda

(2012) William J. Sutherland et al.   PLoS One

Developing integrated models of Southern Ocean food webs: Including ecological complexity, accounting for uncertainty and the importance of scale

(2012) E.J. Murphy et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

End-to-end in Southern Ocean ecosystems

(2012) Eugene J Murphy et al.   Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

Treatment of uncertainty in conservation under climate change

(2012) Heini Kujala et al.   Conservation Letters

Projecting species’ range expansion dynamics: sources of systematic biases when scaling up patterns and processes

(2012) Greta Bocedi et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

How long can fisheries management delay action in response to ecosystem and climate change?

(2011) Christopher J. Brown et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

A framework for studying transient dynamics of population projection matrix models

(2011) Iain Stott et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Toward an integration of evolutionary biology and ecosystem science

(2011) Blake Matthews et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Lessons in modelling and management of marine ecosystems: the Atlantis experience

(2011) Elizabeth A Fulton et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

Don't know, can't know: embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks

(2011) D. J. Spiegelhalter et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Individual variation and population dynamics: lessons from a simple system

(2011) T. G. Benton   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Predictive ecology: systems approaches

(2011) M. R. Evans et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Predicting ecosystem dynamics at regional scales: an evaluation of a terrestrial biosphere model for the forests of northeastern North America

(2011) D. Medvigy et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Interactions between human behaviour and ecological systems

(2011) E. J. Milner-Gulland   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Modelling ecological systems in a changing world

(2011) M. R. Evans   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Pattern-oriented modelling: a 'multi-scope' for predictive systems ecology

(2011) V. Grimm et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Modeling Effects of Environmental Change on Wolf Population Dynamics, Trait Evolution, and Life History

(2011) T. Coulson et al.   SCIENCE

The Newest Synthesis: Understanding the Interplay of Evolutionary and Ecological Dynamics

(2011) T. W. Schoener   SCIENCE

Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change

(2011) Stephen Polasky et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Responses to alternative rainfall regimes and antipoaching in a migratory system

(2010) Ricardo M. Holdo et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

A model-data intercomparison of CO2exchange across North America: Results from the North American Carbon Program site synthesis

(2010) Christopher R. Schwalm et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Dynamic disequilibrium of the terrestrial carbon cycle under global change

(2010) Yiqi Luo et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Database-driven models of the world's Large Marine Ecosystems

(2009) Villy Christensen et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

ORIGINAL ARTICLE: Propensity of marine reserves to reduce the evolutionary effects of fishing in a migratory species

(2009) Erin S. Dunlop et al.   Evolutionary Applications

ORIGINAL ARTICLE: Implications of fisheries-induced evolution for stock rebuilding and recovery

(2009) Katja Enberg et al.   Evolutionary Applications

Systematic assessment of terrestrial biogeochemistry in coupled climate-carbon models

(2009) JAMES T. RANDERSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Mechanistic scaling of ecosystem function and dynamics in space and time: Ecosystem Demography model version 2

(2009) D. Medvigy et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

A safe operating space for humanity

(2009) Johan Rockström et al.   NATURE

Science for managing ecosystem services: Beyond the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

(2009) S. R. Carpenter et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Top-down, bottom-up or middle-out? Avoiding extraneous detail and over-generality in marine ecosystem models

(2009) J.I. Allen et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Bridging the gap from ocean models to population dynamics of large marine predators: A model of mid-trophic functional groups

(2009) Patrick Lehodey et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems

(2009) Elinor Ostrom   SCIENCE

An Empirical Test of a Diffusion Model: Predicting Clouded Apollo Movements in a Novel Environment

(2008) Otso Ovaskainen et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

SCALING FROM TREES TO FORESTS: TRACTABLE MACROSCOPIC EQUATIONS FOR FOREST DYNAMICS

(2008) Nikolay Strigul et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Coupling agent-based models of subsistence farming with individual-based forest models and dynamic models of water distribution

(2008) Mike Bithell et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Spatial pattern formation facilitates eradication of infectious diseases

(2008) Dirk Eisinger et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change

(2008) W. A. Kurz et al.   NATURE

Predicting and understanding forest dynamics using a simple tractable model

(2008) D. W. Purves et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Predictive Models of Forest Dynamics

(2008) D. Purves et al.   SCIENCE