Adjusting Mitigation Pathways to Stabilize Climate at 1.5°C and 2.0°C Rise in Global Temperatures to Year 2300

Pathways to 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming based on observational and geological constraints

(2018) Philip Goodwin et al.   Nature Geoscience

Stabilization of global temperature at 1.5°C and 2.0°C: implications for coastal areas

(2018) Robert J. Nicholls et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Sensitivity of Global Warming to Carbon Emissions: Effects of Heat and Carbon Uptake in a Suite of Earth System Models

(2017) Richard G. Williams et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Evolving Understanding of Antarctic Ice-Sheet Physics and Ambiguity in Probabilistic Sea-Level Projections

(2017) Robert E. Kopp et al.   Earths Future

A new approach to projecting 21st century sea-level changes and extremes

(2017) Philip Goodwin et al.   Earths Future

Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960 to 2015

(2017) Lijing Cheng et al.   Science Advances

How historic simulation–observation discrepancy affects future warming projections in a very large model ensemble

(2016) Philip Goodwin   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A framework to understand the transient climate response to emissions

(2016) Richard G Williams et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models

(2015) Doug M. Smith et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?

(2015) A. A. Fawcett et al.   SCIENCE

Identifying and removing structural biases in climate models with history matching

(2014) Daniel Williamson et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Sensitivity of climate to cumulative carbon emissions due to compensation of ocean heat and carbon uptake

(2014) Philip Goodwin et al.   Nature Geoscience

A local coastal adaptation pathway

(2014) J. Barnett et al.   Nature Climate Change

History matching for exploring and reducing climate model parameter space using observations and a large perturbed physics ensemble

(2013) Daniel Williamson et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Ecological limits to terrestrial biological carbon dioxide removal

(2013) Lydia J. Smith et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Modeling meets science and technology: an introduction to a special issue on negative emissions

(2013) Massimo Tavoni et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world

(2013) Marjolijn Haasnoot et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations*

(2013) Nathan P. Gillett et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

NOAA's Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis

(2012) Russell S. Vose et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

How warming and steric sea level rise relate to cumulative carbon emissions

(2012) Richard G. Williams et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity

(2012)   NATURE

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

(2011) Malte Meinshausen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Sea-Level Rise from the Late 19th to the Early 21st Century

(2011) John A. Church et al.   SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS

The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)

(2010) Christian Azar et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions

(2009) H. Damon Matthews et al.   NATURE

Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne

(2009) Myles R. Allen et al.   NATURE

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

(2009) Malte Meinshausen et al.   NATURE

Carbon-negative biofuels

(2008) John A. Mathews   ENERGY POLICY

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)

(2008) Thomas M. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE