Eliciting improved quantitative judgements using the IDEA protocol: A case study in natural resource management

Minimising biases in expert elicitations to inform environmental management: Case studies from environmental flows in Australia

(2018) Siobhan C. de Little et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Towards quantitative condition assessment of biodiversity outcomes: Insights from Australian marine protected areas

(2017) Prue F.E. Addison et al.   JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT

Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment

(2017) Abigail R. Colson et al.   RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY

Prior elicitation for Bayesian generalised linear models with application to risk control option assessment

(2017) Geoffrey R. Hosack et al.   RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY

A Practical Approach to Address Uncertainty in Stakeholder Deliberations

(2017) Robin Gregory et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

It is time to overcome unconscious bias in ecology

(2017) Julia K. Baum et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

DNA in a bottle—Rapid metabarcoding survey for early alerts of invasive species in ports

(2017) Yaisel J. Borrell et al.   PLoS One

Decision triggers are a critical part of evidence-based conservation

(2016) Carly N. Cook et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Use of expert knowledge to elicit population trends for the koala (Phascolarctos cinereus)

(2016) Christine Adams-Hosking et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Human judgment vs. quantitative models for the management of ecological resources

(2016) Matthew H. Holden et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Timing of Protection of Critical Habitat Matters

(2016) Tara G. Martin et al.   Conservation Letters

Revealing beliefs: using ensemble ecosystem modelling to extrapolate expert beliefs to novel ecological scenarios

(2016) Michael Bode et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Citizen science: a new approach to advance ecology, education, and conservation

(2015) Hiromi Kobori et al.   ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH

Priority threat management of non-native plants to maintain ecosystem integrity across heterogeneous landscapes

(2015) Jennifer Firn et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds

(2015) David V. Budescu et al.   MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

When do we need more data? A primer on calculating the value of information for applied ecologists

(2015) Stefano Canessa et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Use of structured expert judgment to forecast invasions by bighead and silver carp in Lake Erie

(2014) Marion E. Wittmann et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Benefits of integrating complementarity into priority threat management

(2014) Iadine  Chadés et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Assessing interactions of multiple stressors when data are limited: A Bayesian belief network applied to coral reefs

(2014) Stephen S. Ban et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Visualizing samples with box plots

(2014) Martin Krzywinski et al.   NATURE METHODS

The condition of Australia's marine environment is good but in decline—An integrated evidence-based national assessment by expert elicitation

(2014) Trevor J. Ward   OCEAN & COASTAL MANAGEMENT

Utility of environmental DNA for monitoring rare and indicator macroinvertebrate species

(2014) Elvira Mächler et al.   Freshwater Science

Extinction risk and conservation of the world’s sharks and rays

(2014) Nicholas K Dulvy et al.   eLife

Six Common Mistakes in Conservation Priority Setting

(2013) EDWARD T. GAME et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Counting the books while the library burns: why conservation monitoring programs need a plan for action

(2013) David B Lindenmayer et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Big data and the future of ecology

(2013) Stephanie E Hampton et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?

(2013) Kenneth C. Lichtendahl et al.   MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

Toward rigorous use of expert knowledge in ecological research

(2013) M. Drescher et al.   Ecosphere

Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science

(2012) TARA G. MARTIN et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Evaluating the accuracy and calibration of expert predictions under uncertainty: predicting the outcomes of ecological research

(2012) Marissa F. McBride et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Ship-borne Nonindigenous Species Diminish Great Lakes Ecosystem Services

(2012) John D. Rothlisberger et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

The role of expert opinion in environmental modelling

(2012) Tobias Krueger et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Acting fast helps avoid extinction

(2012) Tara G. Martin et al.   Conservation Letters

Improving visual estimation through active feedback

(2012) Bonnie C. Wintle et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Structured elicitation of expert judgments for threatened species assessment: a case study on a continental scale using email

(2012) Marissa F. McBride et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Extinction risk assessment of the world’s seagrass species

(2011) Frederick T. Short et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Which uncertainty? Using expert elicitation and expected value of information to design an adaptive program

(2011) Michael C. Runge et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Expert Status and Performance

(2011) Mark A. Burgman et al.   PLoS One

How social influence can undermine the wisdom of crowd effect

(2011) J. Lorenz et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the Classical Model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique

(2011) F. Flandoli et al.   RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY

Redefining expertise and improving ecological judgment

(2011) Mark Burgman et al.   Conservation Letters

A guide to eliciting and using expert knowledge in Bayesian ecological models

(2010) Petra M. Kuhnert et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Elicitation by design in ecology: using expert opinion to inform priors for Bayesian statistical models

(2009) Samantha Low Choy et al.   ECOLOGY

Conservation in the dark? The information used to support management decisions

(2009) Carly N Cook et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts

(2009) Andrew Speirs-Bridge et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Adaptive risk management for certifiably sustainable forestry

(2008) B.A. Wintle et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

A study of expert overconfidence

(2007) Shi-Woei Lin et al.   RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY

TU Delft expert judgment data base

(2007) Roger M. Cooke et al.   RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY