A review on statistical postprocessing methods for hydrometeorological ensemble forecasting

How Suitable is Quantile Mapping For Postprocessing GCM Precipitation Forecasts?

(2017) Tongtiegang Zhao et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Integrating weather and climate predictions for seamless hydrologic ensemble forecasting: A case study in the Yalong River basin

(2017) Aizhong Ye et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Ensemble Postprocessing of Daily Precipitation Sums over Complex Terrain Using Censored High-Resolution Standardized Anomalies

(2017) Reto Stauffer et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

The U.S. National Blend of Models for Statistical Postprocessing of Probability of Precipitation and Deterministic Precipitation Amount

(2017) Thomas M. Hamill et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

A method for preferential selection of dates in the Schaake shuffle approach to constructing spatiotemporal forecast fields of temperature and precipitation

(2017) Michael Scheuerer et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Censored and shifted gamma distribution based EMOS model for probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting

(2016) Sándor Baran et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Calibration, Bridging, and Merging to Improve GCM Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Australia

(2016) Andrew Schepen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

A Similarity-Based Implementation of the Schaake Shuffle

(2016) Roman Schefzik   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Inaccuracies with Multimodel Postprocessing Methods Involving Weighted, Regression-Corrected Forecasts

(2016) Daniel Hodyss et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Combining parametric low-dimensional ensemble postprocessing with reordering methods

(2016) Roman Schefzik   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A review of multimodel superensemble forecasting for weather, seasonal climate, and hurricanes

(2016) T. N. Krishnamurti et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Post-Processing of Stream Flows in Switzerland with an Emphasis on Low Flows and Floods

(2016) Konrad Bogner et al.   Water

Predictive Uncertainty Estimation of Hydrological Multi-Model Ensembles Using Pair-Copula Construction

(2016) Bastian Klein et al.   Water

Ensemble Bayesian forecasting system Part I: Theory and algorithms

(2015) Henry D. Herr et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of streamflow forecasts based on a Bayesian joint probability model

(2015) Tongtiegang Zhao et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Improving Precipitation Forecasts by Generating Ensembles through Postprocessing

(2015) Durga Lal Shrestha et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts by Fitting Censored, Shifted Gamma Distributions*

(2015) Michael Scheuerer et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Spatial Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts for Temperature Using Nonhomogeneous Gaussian Regression

(2015) Kira Feldmann et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Multivariate postprocessing techniques for probabilistic hydrological forecasting

(2015) S. Hemri et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Model averaging methods to merge operational statistical and dynamic seasonal streamflow forecasts in Australia

(2015) Andrew Schepen et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Precipitation Calibration Based on the Frequency-Matching Method

(2015) Yuejian Zhu et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

A review on climate-model-based seasonal hydrologic forecasting: physical understanding and system development

(2015) Xing Yuan et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Water

Joint probabilistic forecasting of wind speed and temperature using Bayesian model averaging

(2014) S. Baran et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Exploratory analysis of statistical post-processing methods for hydrological ensemble forecasts

(2014) Marie-Amelie Boucher et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Post-processing of ensemble forecasts in low-flow period

(2014) Aizhong Ye et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Post-processing of medium-range probabilistic hydrological forecasting: impact of forcing, initial conditions and model errors

(2014) Emmanuel Roulin et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Combining the Bayesian processor of output with Bayesian model averaging for reliable ensemble forecasting

(2014) R. Marty et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS

Seasonal Forecasts of Australian Rainfall through Calibration and Bridging of Coupled GCM Outputs

(2014) Andrew Schepen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Extending Extended Logistic Regression: Extended versus Separate versus Ordered versus Censored

(2014) Jakob W. Messner et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Multivariate ensemble Model Output Statistics using empirical copulas

(2014) Daniel S. Wilks   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Ensemble post-processing using member-by-member approaches: theoretical aspects

(2014) Bert Van Schaeybroeck et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic postprocessing models for flow forecasts for a system of catchments and several lead times

(2014) K. Engeland et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Probabilistic Forecasting

(2014) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

Toward a theoretical framework for integrated modeling of hydrological change

(2014) Serena Ceola et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Water

The Science of NOAA's Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service

(2013) Julie Demargne et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Post-processing ECMWF precipitation and temperature ensemble reforecasts for operational hydrologic forecasting at various spatial scales

(2013) J.S. Verkade et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Hydrologic post-processing of MOPEX streamflow simulations

(2013) Aizhong Ye et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Spatially adaptive post-processing of ensemble forecasts for temperature

(2013) Michael Scheuerer et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS

Toward Accurate and Reliable Forecasts of Australian Seasonal Rainfall by Calibrating and Merging Multiple Coupled GCMs

(2013) Andrew Schepen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Heteroscedastic Extended Logistic Regression for Postprocessing of Ensemble Guidance

(2013) Jakob W. Messner et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

A comparison of ensemble post-processing methods for extreme events

(2013) R. M. Williams et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Ensemble Model Output Statistics

(2013) M. Scheuerer   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Gridded, locally calibrated, probabilistic temperature forecasts based on ensemble model output statistics

(2013) M. Scheuerer et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling

(2013) Roman Schefzik et al.   STATISTICAL SCIENCE

Simultaneous calibration of ensemble river flow predictions over an entire range of lead times

(2013) S. Hemri et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Effect of different uncertainty sources on the skill of 10 day ensemble low flow forecasts for two hydrological models

(2013) Mehmet C. Demirel et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Post-processing hydrological ensemble predictions intercomparison experiment

(2012) Schalk Jan van Andel et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Evaluation of a nonparametric post-processor for bias correction and uncertainty estimation of hydrologic predictions

(2012) James D. Brown et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Evaluating the predictive skill of post-processed NCEP GFS ensemble precipitation forecasts in China's Huai river basin

(2012) Y. Liu et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Towards improved post-processing of hydrologic forecast ensembles

(2012) Shahrbanou Madadgar et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Ensemble dressing for hydrological applications

(2012) Thomas C. Pagano et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Merging Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts from Multiple Statistical Models through Bayesian Model Averaging

(2012) Q. J. Wang et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

From HUP to MCP: Analogies and extended performances

(2012) Ezio Todini   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Geostatistical Model Averaging for Locally Calibrated Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting

(2012) William Kleiber et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Multivariate probabilistic forecasting using ensemble Bayesian model averaging and copulas

(2012) Annette Möller et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Bayesian model averaging using particle filtering and Gaussian mixture modeling: Theory, concepts, and simulation experiments

(2012) Joerg Rings et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Toward reduction of model uncertainty: Integration of Bayesian model averaging and data assimilation

(2012) Mark A. Parrish et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Downscaling precipitation or bias-correcting streamflow? Some implications for coupled general circulation model (CGCM)-based ensemble seasonal hydrologic forecast

(2012) Xing Yuan et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A log-sinh transformation for data normalization and variance stabilization

(2012) Q. J. Wang et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Generation of ensemble precipitation forecast from single-valued quantitative precipitation forecast for hydrologic ensemble prediction

(2011) Limin Wu et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Dynamic-Model-Based Seasonal Prediction of Meteorological Drought over the Contiguous United States

(2011) Jin-Ho Yoon et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Locally Calibrated Probabilistic Temperature Forecasting Using Geostatistical Model Averaging and Local Bayesian Model Averaging

(2011) William Kleiber et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Hydrological ensemble forecasting in mesoscale catchments: Sensitivity to initial conditions and value of reforecasts

(2011) Felix Fundel et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Multisite probabilistic forecasting of seasonal flows for streams with zero value occurrences

(2011) Q. J. Wang et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Multiscale error analysis, correction, and predictive uncertainty estimation in a flood forecasting system

(2011) K. Bogner et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Propagation of uncertainty from observing systems and NWP into hydrological models: COST-731 Working Group 2

(2010) Massimiliano Zappa et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Summary of recommendations of the first workshop on Postprocessing and Downscaling Atmospheric Forecasts for Hydrologic Applications held at Météo-France, Toulouse, France, 15-18 June 2009

(2010) John Schaake et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Comparison of pre- and post-processors for ensemble streamflow prediction

(2010) Tae-Ho Kang et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Probabilistic assessment of regional climate change in Southwest Germany by ensemble dressing

(2010) Christian Schölzel et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Quantile regression neural networks: Implementation in R and application to precipitation downscaling

(2010) Alex J. Cannon   COMPUTERS & GEOSCIENCES

A Nonparametric Postprocessor for Bias Correction of Hydrometeorological and Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasts

(2010) James D. Brown et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Probabilistic Forecasts Using Analogs in the Idealized Lorenz96 Setting

(2010) Jakob W. Messner et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Comparison of point forecast accuracy of model averaging methods in hydrologic applications

(2010) Cees G. H. Diks et al.   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model

(2009) Veronica J. Berrocal et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Verification of ensemble flow forecasts for the River Rhine

(2009) M. Renner et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Ensemble flood forecasting: A review

(2009) H.L. Cloke et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

A 1–10-Day Ensemble Forecasting Scheme for the Major River Basins of Bangladesh: Forecasting Severe Floods of 2003–07*

(2009) Thomas M. Hopson et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Extending logistic regression to provide full-probability-distribution MOS forecasts

(2009) Daniel S. Wilks   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

On the Reliability and Calibration of Ensemble Forecasts

(2009) Christine Johnson et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Calibrating Multimodel Forecast Ensembles with Exchangeable and Missing Members Using Bayesian Model Averaging

(2009) Chris Fraley et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Medium-range multimodel ensemble combination and calibration

(2009) Christine Johnson et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Statistical bias correction for daily precipitation in regional climate models over Europe

(2009) C. Piani et al.   THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY

Uncertainty assessment via Bayesian revision of ensemble streamflow predictions in the operational river Rhine forecasting system

(2009) P. Reggiani et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

A Bayesian joint probability modeling approach for seasonal forecasting of streamflows at multiple sites

(2009) Q. J. Wang et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Seasonal hydrologic predictions of low-flow conditions over eastern USA during the 2007 drought

(2008) Haibin Li et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Error-correction methods and evaluation of an ensemble based hydrological forecasting system for the Upper Danube catchment

(2008) K. Bogner et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

A Bayesian approach to decision-making under uncertainty: An application to real-time forecasting in the river Rhine

(2008) P. Reggiani et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for Flood Prediction: An Application

(2008) P. Reggiani et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Use of Bayesian Merging Techniques in a Multimodel Seasonal Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction System for the Eastern United States

(2008) Lifeng Luo et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Correcting Errors in Streamflow Forecast Ensemble Mean and Spread

(2008) Andrew W. Wood et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Bayesian Model Averaging’s Problematic Treatment of Extreme Weather and a Paradigm Shift That Fixes It

(2008) Craig H. Bishop et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic Forecast Calibration Using ECMWF and GFS Ensemble Reforecasts. Part II: Precipitation

(2008) Thomas M. Hamill et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic Forecast Calibration Using ECMWF and GFS Ensemble Reforecasts. Part I: Two-Meter Temperatures

(2008) Renate Hagedorn et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

MOS Uncertainty Estimates in an Ensemble Framework

(2008) Bob Glahn et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management?

(2008) P. C. D. Milly et al.   SCIENCE

Probabilistic Forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database

(2008) Roman Krzysztofowicz et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production

(2008) Pierre Pinson et al.   WIND ENERGY