Multivariate postprocessing techniques for probabilistic hydrological forecasting

Assessing the Calibration of High-Dimensional Ensemble Forecasts Using Rank Histograms

(2016) Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL AND GRAPHICAL STATISTICS

Variogram-Based Proper Scoring Rules for Probabilistic Forecasts of Multivariate Quantities*

(2015) Michael Scheuerer et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic postprocessing models for flow forecasts for a system of catchments and several lead times

(2014) K. Engeland et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Ensemble Model Output Statistics

(2013) M. Scheuerer   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling

(2013) Roman Schefzik et al.   STATISTICAL SCIENCE

Simultaneous calibration of ensemble river flow predictions over an entire range of lead times

(2013) S. Hemri et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting

(2013) Sebastian Lerch et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Towards improved post-processing of hydrologic forecast ensembles

(2012) Shahrbanou Madadgar et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Seven years of activity in the field of mesoscale ensemble forecasting by the COSMO-LEPS system: main achievements and open challenges

(2012) Andrea Montani et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Bayesian model averaging using particle filtering and Gaussian mixture modeling: Theory, concepts, and simulation experiments

(2012) Joerg Rings et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Toward reduction of model uncertainty: Integration of Bayesian model averaging and data assimilation

(2012) Mark A. Parrish et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation

(2011) P. Pinson et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble

(2010) Philippe Bougeault et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European Flood Alert System

(2010) Florian Pappenberger et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

A Nonparametric Postprocessor for Bias Correction of Hydrometeorological and Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasts

(2010) James D. Brown et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression

(2009) Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY

Calibrating Multimodel Forecast Ensembles with Exchangeable and Missing Members Using Bayesian Model Averaging

(2009) Chris Fraley et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Uncertainty assessment via Bayesian revision of ensemble streamflow predictions in the operational river Rhine forecasting system

(2009) P. Reggiani et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

TIGGE: Preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles

(2008) Young-Youn Park et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds

(2008) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   TEST