Multivariate probabilistic forecasting using ensemble Bayesian model averaging and copulas

Adaptive calibration of (u,v)-wind ensemble forecasts

(2012) Pierre Pinson   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Copula-based modeling of stochastic wind power in Europe and implications for the Swiss power grid

(2011) Simeon Hagspiel et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation

(2011) P. Pinson et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

An explicit link between Gaussian fields and Gaussian Markov random fields: the stochastic partial differential equation approach

(2011) Finn Lindgren et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY

Probabilistic Wind Gust Forecasting Using Nonhomogeneous Gaussian Regression

(2011) Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

(2010) J. McLean Sloughter et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Probabilistic Visibility Forecasting Using Bayesian Model Averaging

(2010) Richard M. Chmielecki et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model

(2009) Veronica J. Berrocal et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts

(2009) Shih-Chieh Kao et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression

(2009) Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY

Bias Correction and Bayesian Model Averaging for Ensemble Forecasts of Surface Wind Direction

(2009) Le Bao et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

A Local Ensemble Prediction System for Fog and Low Clouds: Construction, Bayesian Model Averaging Calibration, and Validation

(2008) Stevie Roquelaure et al.   Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds

(2008) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   TEST

From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production

(2008) Pierre Pinson et al.   WIND ENERGY

Ensemble forecasting

(2007) M. Leutbecher et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS