Multi-model comparison highlights consistency in predicted effect of warming on a semi-arid shrub

Integrating mechanistic and empirical model projections to assess climate impacts on tree species distributions in northwestern North America

(2016) Michael J. Case et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Multi-model comparison on the effects of climate change on tree species in the eastern U.S.: results from an enhanced niche model and process-based ecosystem and landscape models

(2016) Louis R. Iverson et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Wildfire, climate, and invasive grass interactions negatively impact an indicator species by reshaping sagebrush ecosystems

(2016) Peter S. Coates et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Global change and terrestrial plant community dynamics

(2016) Janet Franklin et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Linking demography with drivers: climate and competition

(2016) Brittany J. Teller et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Forecasting climate change impacts on plant populations over large spatial extents

(2016) Andrew T. Tredennick et al.   Ecosphere

Forecasting sagebrush ecosystem components and greater sage-grouse habitat for 2050: Learning from past climate patterns and Landsat imagery to predict the future

(2015) Collin G. Homer et al.   ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS

Convergent ecosystem responses to 23-year ambient and manipulated warming link advancing snowmelt and shrub encroachment to transient and long-term climate-soil carbon feedback

(2015) John Harte et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Projections of Contemporary and Future Climate Niche for Wyoming Big Sagebrush (Artemisia tridentatasubsp.wyomingensis): A Guide for Restoration

(2015) Shannon M. Still et al.   NATURAL AREAS JOURNAL

Simulated big sagebrush regeneration supports predicted changes at the trailing and leading edges of distribution shifts

(2015) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   Ecosphere

Effects of climate change on long-term population growth of pronghorn in an arid environment

(2015) Jay V. Gedir et al.   Ecosphere

Shifts in plant functional types have time-dependent and regionally variable impacts on dryland ecosystem water balance

(2015) John B. Bradford et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Modeling regeneration responses of big sagebrush (Artemisia tridentata) to abiotic conditions

(2014) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Desert shrub responses to experimental modification of precipitation seasonality and soil depth: relationship to the two-layer hypothesis and ecohydrological niche

(2014) Matthew J. Germino et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Natural Regeneration Processes in Big Sagebrush (Artemisia tridentata)

(2014) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   Rangeland Ecology & Management

Extension of Nakagawa & Schielzeth'sR2GLMMto random slopes models

(2014) Paul C.D. Johnson   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Ensemble distribution models in conservation prioritization: from consensus predictions to consensus reserve networks

(2013) Laura Meller et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions

(2013) Antoine Guisan et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Resilience to Stress and Disturbance, and Resistance to Bromus tectorum L. Invasion in Cold Desert Shrublands of Western North America

(2013) Jeanne C. Chambers et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Comparing mechanistic and empirical model projections of crop suitability and productivity: implications for ecological forecasting

(2013) L. D. Estes et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

How Can Model Comparison Help Improving Species Distribution Models?

(2013) Emmanuel Stephan Gritti et al.   PLoS One

Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity

(2013) Jessica L. Blois et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Estimating consensus and associated uncertainty between inherently different species distribution models

(2013) Emmanuel S. Gritti et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Climate change impacts on tree ranges: model intercomparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty

(2012) Alissar Cheaib et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Effects of Land Cover and Regional Climate Variations on Long-Term Spatiotemporal Changes in Sagebrush Ecosystems

(2012) George Xian et al.   GIScience & Remote Sensing

Consequences of declining snow accumulation for water balance of mid-latitude dry regions

(2012) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Site- and species-specific responses of forest growth to climate across the European continent

(2012) Flurin Babst et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Saving the sagebrush sea: An ecosystem conservation plan for big sagebrush plant communities

(2011) Kirk W. Davies et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Effects of ecohydrological variables on current and future ranges, local suitability patterns, and model accuracy in big sagebrush

(2011) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Ecohydrological niche of sagebrush ecosystems

(2011) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   Ecohydrology

Modelling relationships between species spatial abundance patterns and climate

(2011) Brian Huntley et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Forecasting plant community impacts of climate variability and change: when do competitive interactions matter?

(2011) Peter B. Adler et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Montane meadow change during drought varies with background hydrologic regime and plant functional group

(2010) Diane M. Debinski et al.   ECOLOGY

Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters!

(2010) TREVOR KEENAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A framework for community interactions under climate change

(2010) Sarah E. Gilman et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Quantifying spatiotemporal changes in a sagebrush ecosystem in relation to energy development

(2009) Leroy J. Walston et al.   ECOGRAPHY

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Assessing ecosystem threats from global and regional change: hierarchical modeling of risk to sagebrush ecosystems from climate change, land use and invasive species in Nevada, USA

(2009) Bethany A. Bradley   ECOGRAPHY

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

Controls on Radial Growth of Mountain Big Sagebrush and Implications for Climate Change

(2009) Rebecca E. Poore et al.   WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN NATURALIST

Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models

(2008) S. Rickebusch et al.   Biology Letters

Parameter uncertainties in the modelling of vegetation dynamics—Effects on tree community structure and ecosystem functioning in European forest biomes

(2008) Anna Wramneby et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Regional analysis of the impacts of climate change on cheatgrass invasion shows potential risk and opportunity

(2008) BETHANY A. BRADLEY   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Fine-scale variation of historical fire regimes in sagebrush-steppe and juniper woodland: an example from California, USA

(2008) Richard F. Miller et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

(2008) R. Knutti   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Linking Traits to Energetics and Population Dynamics to Predict Lizard Ranges in Changing Environments

(2007) Lauren B. Buckley   AMERICAN NATURALIST