Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

(2008) Thomas Reichler et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

(2008) T. N. Palmer et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Why are climate models reproducing the observed global surface warming so well?

(2008) Reto Knutti   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Monitoring twenty-first century climate using GPS radio occultation bending angles

(2008) Mark A. Ringer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Constraints on Model Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Role of Subgrid-Scale Processes

(2008) Benjamin M. Sanderson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Aquaplanets, Climate Sensitivity, and Low Clouds

(2008) Brian Medeiros et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

(2008) R. Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Performance metrics for climate models

(2008) P. J. Gleckler et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence

(2008) Mikyoung Jun et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature

(2008) David W. J. Thompson et al.   NATURE

Local eigenvalue analysis of CMIP3 climate model errors

(2008) Mikyoung Jun et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY