Predictability and forecast skill of solar irradiance over the contiguous United States

Probabilistic solar forecasting: Benchmarks, post-processing, verification

(2023) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

A Concise Overview on Solar Resource Assessment and Forecasting

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

A review of solar forecasting, its dependence on atmospheric sciences and implications for grid integration: Towards carbon neutrality

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Verifying operational intra-day solar forecasts from ECMWF and NOAA

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Correlogram, predictability error growth, and bounds of mean square error of solar irradiance forecasts

(2022) Dazhi Yang   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Probabilistic photovoltaic power forecasting using a calibrated ensemble of model chains

(2022) Martin János Mayer et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Summarizing ensemble NWP forecasts for grid operators: Consistency, elicitability, and economic value

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

An archived dataset from the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System for probabilistic solar power forecasting

(2022) Wenting Wang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Post-processing in solar forecasting: Ten overarching thinking tools

(2021) Dazhi Yang et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

On predictability of solar irradiance

(2021) Xiaoyi Yang et al.   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Operational solar forecasting for grid integration: Standards, challenges, and outlook

(2021) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Influence of design data availability on the accuracy of physical photovoltaic power forecasts

(2021) Martin János Mayer   SOLAR ENERGY

Clear-sky index space-time trajectories from probabilistic solar forecasts: Comparing promising copulas

(2020) Dennis van der Meer et al.   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Choice of clear-sky model in solar forecasting

(2020) Dazhi Yang   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Verification of deterministic solar forecasts

(2020) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Worldwide validation of 8 satellite-derived and reanalysis solar radiation products: A preliminary evaluation and overall metrics for hourly data over 27 years

(2020) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Can we gauge forecasts using satellite-derived solar irradiance?

(2019) Dazhi Yang et al.   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Standard of reference in operational day-ahead deterministic solar forecasting

(2019) Dazhi Yang   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Making reference solar forecasts with climatology, persistence, and their optimal convex combination

(2019) Dazhi Yang   SOLAR ENERGY

Verification of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts

(2019) Philippe Lauret et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

The National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB)

(2018) Manajit Sengupta et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

A Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications (FARMS): Algorithm and performance evaluation

(2016) Yu Xie et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction

(2015) Peter Bauer et al.   NATURE

A suite of metrics for assessing the performance of solar power forecasting

(2015) Jie Zhang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Very short-term irradiance forecasting at unobserved locations using spatio-temporal kriging

(2015) Aloysius W. Aryaputera et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Strictly and non-strictly positive definite functions on spheres

(2013) Tilmann Gneiting   BERNOULLI

Solar irradiance forecasting using spatial-temporal covariance structures and time-forward kriging

(2013) Dazhi Yang et al.   RENEWABLE ENERGY

Comparison of numerical weather prediction solar irradiance forecasts in the US, Canada and Europe

(2013) Richard Perez et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Proposed Metric for Evaluation of Solar Forecasting Models

(2012) Ricardo Marquez et al.   JOURNAL OF SOLAR ENERGY ENGINEERING-TRANSACTIONS OF THE ASME

Verifying Forecasts Spatially

(2010) Eric Gilleland et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY