Probabilistic photovoltaic power forecasting using a calibrated ensemble of model chains

A Concise Overview on Solar Resource Assessment and Forecasting

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

A historical weather forecast dataset from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for energy forecasting

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Comparison of machine learning methods for photovoltaic power forecasting based on numerical weather prediction

(2022) Dávid Markovics et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Estimating 1-min beam and diffuse irradiance from the global irradiance: A review and an extensive worldwide comparison of latest separation models at 126 stations

(2022) Dazhi Yang   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

A review of solar forecasting, its dependence on atmospheric sciences and implications for grid integration: Towards carbon neutrality

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Verifying operational intra-day solar forecasts from ECMWF and NOAA

(2022) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Calibration of deterministic NWP forecasts and its impact on verification

(2022) Martin János Mayer et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING

Impact of the tilt angle, inverter sizing factor and row spacing on the photovoltaic power forecast accuracy

(2022) Martin János Mayer   APPLIED ENERGY

Benefits of physical and machine learning hybridization for photovoltaic power forecasting

(2022) Martin János Mayer   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Validation of the 5-min irradiance from the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB)

(2021) Dazhi Yang   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Post-processing in solar forecasting: Ten overarching thinking tools

(2021) Dazhi Yang et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Effects of the meteorological data resolution and aggregation on the optimal design of photovoltaic power plants

(2021) Martin János Mayer   ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT

Probabilistic post-processing of gridded atmospheric variables and its application to site adaptation of shortwave solar radiation

(2021) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Operational solar forecasting for grid integration: Standards, challenges, and outlook

(2021) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Probabilistic forecasting of photovoltaic power supply — A hybrid approach using D-vine copulas to model spatial dependencies

(2021) A. Schinke-Nendza et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

Sub-minute probabilistic solar forecasting for real-time stochastic simulations

(2021) Dazhi Yang et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Solar forecasting with hourly updated numerical weather prediction

(2021) Gang Zhang et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Operational day-ahead solar power forecasting for aggregated PV systems with a varying spatial distribution

(2021) Lennard Visser et al.   RENEWABLE ENERGY

Influence of design data availability on the accuracy of physical photovoltaic power forecasts

(2021) Martin János Mayer   SOLAR ENERGY

IrradianceNet: Spatiotemporal deep learning model for satellite-derived solar irradiance short-term forecasting

(2021) Andreas H. Nielsen et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Reconciling solar forecasts: Probabilistic forecast reconciliation in a nonparametric framework

(2020) Dazhi Yang   SOLAR ENERGY

Techno-economic optimization of grid-connected, ground-mounted photovoltaic power plants by genetic algorithm based on a comprehensive mathematical model

(2020) Martin János Mayer et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Probabilistic solar irradiance transposition models

(2020) Hao Quan et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Probabilistic solar forecasting benchmarks on a standardized dataset at Folsom, California

(2020) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Improved quantile convolutional neural network with two-stage training for daily-ahead probabilistic forecasting of photovoltaic power

(2020) Qian Huang et al.   ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT

Ensemble model output statistics for the separation of direct and diffuse components from 1-min global irradiance

(2020) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Probabilistic merging and verification of monthly gridded aerosol products

(2020) Dazhi Yang et al.   ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT

Extensive comparison of physical models for photovoltaic power forecasting

(2020) Martin János Mayer et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

A guideline to solar forecasting research practice: Reproducible, operational, probabilistic or physically-based, ensemble, and skill (ROPES)

(2019) Dazhi Yang   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

A comprehensive dataset for the accelerated development and benchmarking of solar forecasting methods

(2019) Hugo T. C. Pedro et al.   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Prediction of diffuse horizontal irradiance using a new climate zone model

(2019) Edgar F.M. Abreu et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

The future of forecasting for renewable energy

(2019) Conor Sweeney et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Energy and Environment

Producing high-quality solar resource maps by integrating high- and low-accuracy measurements using Gaussian processes

(2019) Dazhi Yang et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Verification of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts

(2019) Philippe Lauret et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Solar photovoltaic generation forecasting methods: A review

(2018) Sobrina Sobri et al.   ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT

Resolution of the cloud enhancement problem for one-minute diffuse radiation prediction

(2018) Allan R. Starke et al.   RENEWABLE ENERGY

Short-term solar irradiance forecasting via satellite/model coupling

(2018) Steven D. Miller et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Numerical method for angle-of-incidence correction factors for diffuse radiation incident photovoltaic modules

(2017) Bill Marion   SOLAR ENERGY

Reconciling solar forecasts: Geographical hierarchy

(2017) Dazhi Yang et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Comparative study of PV power forecast using parametric and nonparametric PV models

(2017) Marcelo Pinho Almeida et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Solar radiation on inclined surfaces: Corrections and benchmarks

(2016) Dazhi Yang   SOLAR ENERGY

Extensive worldwide validation and climate sensitivity analysis of direct irradiance predictions from 1-min global irradiance

(2016) Christian A. Gueymard et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction

(2015) Peter Bauer et al.   NATURE

Minute resolution estimates of the diffuse fraction of global irradiance for southeastern Australia

(2015) N.A. Engerer   SOLAR ENERGY

Probabilistic Forecasting

(2014) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

Solar forecasting methods for renewable energy integration

(2013) Rich H. Inman et al.   PROGRESS IN ENERGY AND COMBUSTION SCIENCE

Evaluating raw ensembles with the continuous ranked probability score

(2012) Jochen Bröcker   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts

(2011) Tilmann Gneiting   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

A power-rating model for crystalline silicon PV modules

(2011) Thomas Huld et al.   SOLAR ENERGY MATERIALS AND SOLAR CELLS

Incorporating Uncertainty of Wind Power Generation Forecast Into Power System Operation, Dispatch, and Unit Commitment Procedures

(2011) Yuri V. Makarov et al.   IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy

Regional PV power prediction for improved grid integration

(2010) Elke Lorenz et al.   PROGRESS IN PHOTOVOLTAICS

Modelling of diffuse solar fraction with multiple predictors

(2009) Barbara Ridley et al.   RENEWABLE ENERGY

Assessing the outdoor operating temperature of photovoltaic modules

(2008) David Faiman   PROGRESS IN PHOTOVOLTAICS

A simple correlation for the operating temperature of photovoltaic modules of arbitrary mounting

(2008) E. Skoplaki et al.   SOLAR ENERGY MATERIALS AND SOLAR CELLS