Ratcheting of climate pledges needed to limit peak global warming

Realization of Paris Agreement pledges may limit warming just below 2 °C

(2022) Malte Meinshausen et al.   NATURE

Achieving Paris climate goals calls for increasing ambition of the Kigali Amendment

(2022) Pallav Purohit et al.   Nature Climate Change

The Paris Agreement’s ratcheting mechanism needs strengthening 4-fold to keep 1.5°C alive

(2022) Neil Grant   Joule

Updated nationally determined contributions collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening further to keep Paris goals within reach

(2022) Michel G. J. den Elzen et al.   Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

A multidimensional feasibility evaluation of low-carbon scenarios

(2021) Elina Brutschin et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Climate policy models need to get real about people — here’s how

(2021) Wei Peng et al.   NATURE

National ‘fair shares’ in reducing greenhouse gas emissions within the principled framework of international environmental law

(2021) Lavanya Rajamani et al.   CLIMATE POLICY

The role of direct air capture and negative emissions technologies in the shared socioeconomic pathways towards +1.5 °C and +2 °C futures

(2021) Jay Fuhrman et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2°C?

(2021) Yang Ou et al.   SCIENCE

Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO2 emissions

(2021) Julianne DeAngelo et al.   Nature Communications

Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power worldwide

(2021) Dan Tong et al.   Nature Communications

Deep mitigation of CO2 and non-CO2 greenhouse gases toward 1.5 °C and 2 °C futures

(2021) Yang Ou et al.   Nature Communications

Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change

(2021) Laurent Drouet et al.   Nature Climate Change

Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot

(2021) Keywan Riahi et al.   Nature Climate Change

Food–energy–water implications of negative emissions technologies in a +1.5 °C future

(2020) Jay Fuhrman et al.   Nature Climate Change

Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways

(2019) Nicole J. van den Berg et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The role of methane in future climate strategies: mitigation potentials and climate impacts

(2019) Mathijs Harmsen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Ratcheting ambition to limit warming to 1.5 °C–trade-offs between emission reductions and carbon dioxide removal

(2018) Christian Holz et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects

(2018) Sabine Fuss et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Net-zero emissions energy systems

(2018) Steven J. Davis et al.   SCIENCE

Implications of sustainable development considerations for comparability across nationally determined contributions

(2018) Gokul Iyer et al.   Nature Climate Change

Define limits for temperature overshoot targets

(2017) Oliver Geden et al.   Nature Geoscience

Greenhouse gas mitigation potentials in the livestock sector

(2016) Mario Herrero et al.   Nature Climate Change

The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C

(2015) Gokul C Iyer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?

(2015) A. A. Fawcett et al.   SCIENCE

Improved representation of investment decisions in assessments of CO2 mitigation

(2015) Gokul C. Iyer et al.   Nature Climate Change

Limited impact on decadal-scale climate change from increased use of natural gas

(2014) Haewon McJeon et al.   NATURE

Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets

(2013) Katherine Calvin et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Implications of Limiting CO2 Concentrations for Land Use and Energy

(2009) M. Wise et al.   SCIENCE