Realization of Paris Agreement pledges may limit warming just below 2 °C

Potential carbon leakage under the Paris Agreement

(2021) Lewis C. King et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress

(2021) Giacomo Grassi et al.   Nature Climate Change

Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesising Earth system knowledge for probabilistic climate projections

(2021) Z. Nicholls et al.   Earths Future

Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2°C?

(2021) Yang Ou et al.   SCIENCE

Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot

(2021) Keywan Riahi et al.   Nature Climate Change

A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts

(2021) Ida Sognnaes et al.   Nature Climate Change

Emissions – the ‘business as usual’ story is misleading

(2020) Zeke Hausfather et al.   NATURE

A new scenario logic for the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal

(2019) Joeri Rogelj et al.   NATURE

A methodology and implementation of automated emissions harmonization for use in Integrated Assessment Models

(2018) Matthew J. Gidden et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Measuring Success: Improving Assessments of Aggregate Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Goals

(2018) M. Louise Jeffery et al.   Earths Future

Extending Near-Term Emissions Scenarios to Assess Warming Implications of Paris Agreement NDCs

(2018) Johannes Gütschow et al.   Earths Future

A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C research

(2018) Daniel Huppmann et al.   Nature Climate Change

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C

(2016) Joeri Rogelj et al.   NATURE

Attribution of extreme weather and climate-related events

(2015) Peter A. Stott et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change