Estimating predictability of a dynamical system from multiple samples of its evolution

Data-driven stochastic model for cross-interacting processes with different time scales

(2022) A. Gavrilov et al.   CHAOS

Improving statistical prediction and revealing nonlinearity of ENSO using observations of ocean heat content in the tropical Pacific

(2022) Aleksei Seleznev et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Objective Methods for Thinning the Frequency of Reforecasts while Meeting Postprocessing and Model Validation Needs

(2022) Sergey Kravtsov et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

Revealing recurrent regimes of mid-latitude atmospheric variability using novel machine learning method

(2022) Dmitry Mukhin et al.   CHAOS

Agent-Based Simulation of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Russia

(2022) G. N. Rykovanov et al.   HERALD OF THE RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES

Forced signal and predictability in a prototype climate model: Implications for fingerprinting based detection in the presence of multidecadal natural variability

(2022) S. Kravtsov et al.   CHAOS

An Atmospheric Signal Lowering the Spring Predictability Barrier in Statistical ENSO Forecasts

(2021) Dmitry Mukhin et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Modeling Echo Chambers and Polarization Dynamics in Social Networks

(2020) Fabian Baumann et al.   PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS

Pattern Recognition Methods to Separate Forced Responses from Internal Variability in Climate Model Ensembles and Observations

(2020) Robert C. J. Wills et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Analysis of 20th century surface air temperature using linear dynamical modes

(2020) A. Gavrilov et al.   CHAOS

What is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?

(2019) Fuqing Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

The Nyquist Issue in Linear Inverse Modeling

(2019) Cécile Penland   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Bayesian Data Analysis for Revealing Causes of the Middle Pleistocene Transition

(2019) Dmitry Mukhin et al.   Scientific Reports

Historical change of El Niño properties sheds light on future changes of extreme El Niño

(2019) Bin Wang et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Bayesian framework for simulation of dynamical systems from multidimensional data using recurrent neural network

(2019) Aleksei Seleznev et al.   CHAOS

Linear dynamical modes as new variables for data-driven ENSO forecast

(2018) Andrey Gavrilov et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Disentangling Global Warming, Multidecadal Variability, and El Niño in Pacific Temperatures

(2018) Robert C. Wills et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study

(2018) Youmin Tang et al.   National Science Review

Decadal predictability without ocean dynamics

(2017) Abhishekh Srivastava et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Low-frequency nonlinearity and regime behavior in the Northern Hemisphere extratropical atmosphere

(2017) Abdel. Hannachi et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Pacific interdecadal variability driven by tropical–extratropical interactions

(2013) Riccardo Farneti et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A Significant Component of Unforced Multidecadal Variability in the Recent Acceleration of Global Warming

(2010) Timothy DelSole et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Empirical Orthogonal Functions: The Medium is the Message

(2009) Adam H. Monahan et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Average Predictability Time. Part I: Theory

(2008) Timothy DelSole et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Average Predictability Time. Part II: Seamless Diagnoses of Predictability on Multiple Time Scales

(2008) Timothy DelSole et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES