Forced signal and predictability in a prototype climate model: Implications for fingerprinting based detection in the presence of multidecadal natural variability

On some aspects of the response to stochastic and deterministic forcings

(2022) Manuel Santos Gutiérrez et al.   Journal of Physics A-Mathematical and Theoretical

Arctic amplification of climate change: a review of underlying mechanisms

(2021) Michael Previdi et al.   Environmental Research Letters

120 Years of AMOC Variability Reconstructed From Observations Using the Bernoulli Inverse

(2021) Neil J. Fraser et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Dynamics and predictability of hemispheric-scale multidecadal climate variability in an observationally constrained mechanistic model

(2020) Sergey Kravtsov   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Ruelle–Pollicott Resonances of Stochastic Systems in Reduced State Space. Part I: Theory

(2020) Mickaël D. Chekroun et al.   JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PHYSICS

The physics of climate variability and climate change

(2020) Michael Ghil et al.   REVIEWS OF MODERN PHYSICS

Indicator patterns of forced change learned by an artificial neural network

(2020) Elizabeth A. Barnes et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Pattern Recognition Methods to Separate Forced Responses from Internal Variability in Climate Model Ensembles and Observations

(2020) Robert C. J. Wills et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Analysis of 20th century surface air temperature using linear dynamical modes

(2020) A. Gavrilov et al.   CHAOS

A Review of the Role of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and Associated Climate Impacts

(2019) Rong Zhang et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Viewing Forced Climate Patterns Through an AI Lens

(2019) Elizabeth A. Barnes et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather

(2019) J. Cohen et al.   Nature Climate Change

Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities

(2018) Christophe Cassou et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Linear dynamical modes as new variables for data-driven ENSO forecast

(2018) Andrey Gavrilov et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Underestimated AMOC Variability and Implications for AMV and Predictability in CMIP Models

(2018) Xiaoqin Yan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Disentangling Global Warming, Multidecadal Variability, and El Niño in Pacific Temperatures

(2018) Robert C. Wills et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Low-Frequency North Atlantic Climate Variability in the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble

(2018) Who M. Kim et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Revising and Extending the Linear Response Theory for Statistical Mechanical Systems: Evaluating Observables as Predictors and Predictands

(2018) Valerio Lucarini   JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PHYSICS

Pronounced differences between observed and CMIP5-simulated multidecadal climate variability in the twentieth century

(2017) Sergey Kravtsov   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On semi-empirical decomposition of multidecadal climate variability into forced and internally generated components

(2017) Sergey Kravtsov et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Decadal predictability without ocean dynamics

(2017) Abhishekh Srivastava et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Method for reconstructing nonlinear modes with adaptive structure from multidimensional data

(2016) Andrey Gavrilov et al.   CHAOS

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited

(2016) Matthew Newman et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Observations, inferences, and mechanisms of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A review

(2016) Martha W. Buckley et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability

(2015) J. E. Kay et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures

(2015) Byron A. Steinman et al.   SCIENCE

Two contrasting views of multidecadal climate variability in the twentieth century

(2014) Sergey Kravtsov et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

An Empirical Benchmark for Decadal Forecasts of Global Surface Temperature Anomalies

(2013) Matthew Newman   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Projecting North American Climate over the Next 50 Years: Uncertainty due to Internal Variability*

(2013) Clara Deser et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?

(2013) Rong Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

An empirical model of decadal ENSO variability

(2012) S. Kravtsov   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting?

(2012) Doug M Smith et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Evaluation of short-term climate change prediction in multi-model CMIP5 decadal hindcasts

(2012) Hye-Mi Kim et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability

(2012) Ben B. B. Booth et al.   NATURE

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere’s climate variability

(2011) Marcia Glaze Wyatt et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Analysis of the Atlantic Meridional Mode Using Linear Inverse Modeling: Seasonality and Regional Influences

(2011) Daniel J. Vimont   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability

(2010) Clara Deser et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A Significant Component of Unforced Multidecadal Variability in the Recent Acceleration of Global Warming

(2010) Timothy DelSole et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Empirical Orthogonal Functions: The Medium is the Message

(2009) Adam H. Monahan et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic*

(2008) Mingfang Ting et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Average Predictability Time. Part II: Seamless Diagnoses of Predictability on Multiple Time Scales

(2008) Timothy DelSole et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES