The power of forecasts to advance ecological theory

Variation in the predictability of lake plankton metric types

(2022) Karan Kakouei et al.   LIMNOLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

The macroecology of landscape ecology

(2022) Cristina Banks-Leite et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Advancing lake and reservoir water quality management with near-term, iterative ecological forecasting

(2021) Cayelan C. Carey et al.   Inland Waters

A practical guide to selecting models for exploration, inference, and prediction in ecology

(2021) Andrew T. Tredennick et al.   ECOLOGY

Exploring timescales of predictability in species distributions

(2021) Stephanie Brodie et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Incongruent drivers of network, species and interaction persistence in food webs

(2021) Anne M. McLeod et al.   OIKOS

Ecology in the age of automation

(2021) Timothy H. Keitt et al.   SCIENCE

Increased adoption of best practices in ecological forecasting enables comparisons of forecastability

(2021) Abigail S. L. Lewis et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Iterative Forecasting Improves Near-Term Predictions of Methane Ebullition Rates

(2021) Ryan P. McClure et al.   Frontiers in Environmental Science

End‐user involvement to improve predictions and management of populations with complex dynamics and multiple drivers

(2020) John‐André Henden et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

A systematic literature review of forecasting and predictive models for cyanobacteria blooms in freshwater lakes

(2020) Benny Zuse Rousso et al.   WATER RESEARCH

The intrinsic predictability of ecological time series and its potential to guide forecasting

(2019) Frank Pennekamp et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Making conservation science more reliable with preregistration and registered reports

(2019) Timothy Parker et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Forecasting and control of emerging infectious forest disease through participatory modelling

(2019) Devon A. Gaydos et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

The cost of complexity in forecasts of population abundances is reduced but not eliminated by borrowing information across space using a hierarchical approach

(2019) Mathieu Chevalier et al.   OIKOS

Situating Ecology as a Big-Data Science: Current Advances, Challenges, and Solutions

(2018) Scott S Farley et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Anticipatory natural resource science and management for a changing future

(2018) John B Bradford et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Questionable research practices in ecology and evolution

(2018) Hannah Fraser et al.   PLoS One

Iterative near-term ecological forecasting: Needs, opportunities, and challenges

(2018) Michael C. Dietze et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The preregistration revolution

(2018) Brian A. Nosek et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

(2018) Trevor Page et al.   WATER RESEARCH

An evaluation of transferability of ecological niche models

(2018) Huijie Qiao et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models

(2018) Katherine L. Yates et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Using the Value of Information to improve conservation decision making

(2018) Friederike C. Bolam et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

A parsimonious view of the parsimony principle in ecology and evolution

(2018) Marco Túlio P. Coelho et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Prediction in ecology: promises, obstacles and clarifications

(2017) Virginie Maris et al.   OIKOS

The priority of prediction in ecological understanding

(2016) Jeff E. Houlahan et al.   OIKOS

Variability of effects of spatial climate data aggregation on regional yield simulation by crop models

(2015) H Hoffmann et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants

(2015) Owen L. Petchey et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science

(2015)   SCIENCE

The Economics of Reproducibility in Preclinical Research

(2015) Leonard P. Freedman et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Increasing horizontal resolution in numerical weather prediction and climate simulations: illusion or panacea?

(2014) N. P. Wedi   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

The ecological literature, an idea-free distribution

(2013) Samuel M. Scheiner   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data

(2013) C. T. Perretti et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Predictive systems ecology

(2013) M. R. Evans et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Modelling ecological systems in a changing world

(2011) M. R. Evans   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Challenges and Opportunities of Open Data in Ecology

(2011) O. J. Reichman et al.   SCIENCE