Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios

Re-framing the threat of global warming: an empirical causal loop diagram of climate change, food insecurity and societal collapse

(2021) C. E. Richards et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Loss of resilience preceded transformations of pre-Hispanic Pueblo societies

(2021) Marten Scheffer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Betting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research

(2021) Florian U Jehn et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

(2021) Victor Brovkin et al.   Nature Geoscience

Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system

(2021) Simon Dietz et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Opinion: We need biosphere stewardship that protects carbon sinks and builds resilience

(2021) Johan Rockström et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Global catastrophic risk from lower magnitude volcanic eruptions

(2021) Lara Mani et al.   Nature Communications

Climate change and zoonoses: A review of the current status, knowledge gaps, and future trends

(2021) Ruwini Rupasinghe et al.   ACTA TROPICA

What do we mean, ‘tipping cascade’?

(2021) Ann Kristin Klose et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Emissions – the ‘business as usual’ story is misleading

(2020) Zeke Hausfather et al.   NATURE

Asynchronous carbon sink saturation in African and Amazonian tropical forests

(2020) Wannes Hubau et al.   NATURE

Future of the human climate niche

(2020) Chi Xu et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Compound climate risks in the COVID-19 pandemic

(2020) Carly A. Phillips et al.   Nature Climate Change

Commentary Title: Directions for Research on Climate and Conflict

(2020) Katharine J. Mach et al.   Earths Future

RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions

(2020) Christopher R. Schwalm et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

(2020) S. Sherwood et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

(2020) Julius Garbe et al.   NATURE

Possible climate transitions from breakup of stratocumulus decks under greenhouse warming

(2019) Tapio Schneider et al.   Nature Geoscience

Mid-Pleistocene transition in glacial cycles explained by declining CO2 and regolith removal

(2019) M. Willeit et al.   Science Advances

Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict

(2019) Katharine J. Mach et al.   NATURE

Characteristic disruptions of an excitable carbon cycle

(2019) Daniel H. Rothman   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

An emerging tropical cyclone–deadly heat compound hazard

(2019) T. Matthews et al.   Nature Climate Change

Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

(2019) Susan M. Natali et al.   Nature Climate Change

Changing risks of simultaneous global breadbasket failure

(2019) Franziska Gaupp et al.   Nature Climate Change

Health risks of warming of 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and higher, above pre-industrial temperatures

(2018) Kristie L Ebi et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Transmission of climate risks across sectors and borders

(2018) Andy J. Challinor et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Uncertainty in forecasts of long-run economic growth

(2018) P. Christensen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Future warming increases probability of globally synchronized maize production shocks

(2018) Michelle Tigchelaar et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Future climate risk from compound events

(2018) Jakob Zscheischler et al.   Nature Climate Change

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

(2018) Will Steffen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Post-drought decline of the Amazon carbon sink

(2018) Yan Yang et al.   Nature Communications

Pliocene and Eocene provide best analogs for near-future climates

(2018) K. D. Burke et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Temperature-dependent hypoxia explains biogeography and severity of end-Permian marine mass extinction

(2018) Justin L. Penn et al.   SCIENCE

Stress Testing the Capacity of Health Systems to Manage Climate Change-Related Shocks and Stresses

(2018) Kristie Ebi et al.   International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health

Climate Change, Health and Existential Risks to Civilization: A Comprehensive Review (1989–2013)

(2018) Colin Butler   International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health

Well below 2 °C: Mitigation strategies for avoiding dangerous to catastrophic climate changes

(2017) Yangyang Xu et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Reassessing emotion in climate change communication

(2017) Daniel A. Chapman et al.   Nature Climate Change

Thresholds of catastrophe in the Earth system

(2017) Daniel H. Rothman   Science Advances

A survey of decision-making approaches for climate change adaptation: Are robust methods the way forward?

(2016) Ruth Dittrich et al.   ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS

Anticipating societal collapse; Hints from the Stone Age

(2016) Marten Scheffer   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Armed-conflict risks enhanced by climate-related disasters in ethnically fractionalized countries

(2016) Carl-Friedrich Schleussner et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO2 and solar forcing

(2016) Max Popp et al.   Nature Communications

Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction

(2016) Yongyang Cai et al.   Nature Climate Change

Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

(2015) Thomas Homer-Dixon et al.   ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY

Appealing to fear: A meta-analysis of fear appeal effectiveness and theories.

(2015) Melanie B. Tannenbaum et al.   PSYCHOLOGICAL BULLETIN

Planetary boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet

(2015) W. Steffen et al.   SCIENCE

Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate policy

(2015) Thomas S. Lontzek et al.   Nature Climate Change

Future temperature in southwest Asia projected to exceed a threshold for human adaptability

(2015) Jeremy S. Pal et al.   Nature Climate Change

Casualties as a moral measure of climate change

(2014) John Nolt   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Risk management and climate change

(2013) Howard Kunreuther et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?

(2012) Keynyn Brysse et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

(2011) Malte Meinshausen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Differences Between Tight and Loose Cultures: A 33-Nation Study

(2011) M. J. Gelfand et al.   SCIENCE

Early warning of climate tipping points

(2011) Timothy M. Lenton   Nature Climate Change

High impact, low probability? An empirical analysis of risk in the economics of climate change

(2010) Simon Dietz   CLIMATIC CHANGE