Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

Abrupt changes in the global carbon cycle during the last glacial period

(2021) Thomas K. Bauska et al.   Nature Geoscience

Carbon release through abrupt permafrost thaw

(2020) Merritt R. Turetsky et al.   Nature Geoscience

Edge detection reveals abrupt and extreme climate events

(2020) Sebastian Bathiany et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate

(2020) Ann Kristin Klose et al.   Royal Society Open Science

Abrupt climate and weather changes across time scales

(2020) Gerrit Lohmann et al.   Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology

Early-Warning Signals of Individual Tree Mortality Based on Annual Radial Growth

(2019) Maxime Cailleret et al.   Frontiers in Plant Science

Inferring critical transitions in paleoecological time series with irregular sampling and variable time-averaging

(2019) M. Allison Stegner et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Formal Subdivision of the Holocene Series/Epoch: A Summary

(2019) Mike Walker et al.   JOURNAL OF THE GEOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF INDIA

Classifying past climate change in the Chew Bahir basin, southern Ethiopia, using recurrence quantification analysis

(2019) Martin H. Trauth et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Oceanic and radiative forcing of medieval megadroughts in the American Southwest

(2019) Nathan J. Steiger et al.   Science Advances

Abrupt Bølling‐Allerød Warming Simulated under Gradual Forcing of the Last Deglaciation

(2019) Takashi Obase et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Finding the direction of lowest resilience in multivariate complex systems

(2019) Els Weinans et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against

(2019) Timothy M. Lenton et al.   NATURE

Numerical simulations of a kilometre-thick Arctic ice shelf consistent with ice grounding observations

(2018) Edward G. W. Gasson et al.   Nature Communications

Early-warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events in a high-resolution ice core record

(2018) Niklas Boers   Nature Communications

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

(2018) Will Steffen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Cascading regime shifts within and across scales

(2018) Juan C. Rocha et al.   SCIENCE

Patterns and dynamics of European vegetation change over the last 15,000 years

(2017) Thomas Giesecke et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Compilation of geophysical, geochronological, and geochemical evidence indicates a rapid Mediterranean-derived submergence of the Black Sea's shelf and subsequent substantial salinification in the early Holocene

(2017) Anastasia G. Yanchilina et al.   MARINE GEOLOGY

Heinrich events triggered by ocean forcing and modulated by isostatic adjustment

(2017) Jeremy N. Bassis et al.   NATURE

A high-resolution history of the South American Monsoon from Last Glacial Maximum to the Holocene

(2017) Valdir F. Novello et al.   Scientific Reports

On the Abruptness of Bølling–Allerød Warming

(2016) Zhan Su et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Cooling and societal change during the Late Antique Little Ice Age from 536 to around 660 AD

(2016) Ulf Büntgen et al.   Nature Geoscience

Younger Dryas sea level and meltwater pulse 1B recorded in Barbados reef crest coralAcropora palmata

(2016) N. A. Abdul et al.   PALEOCEANOGRAPHY

European Neolithic societies showed early warning signals of population collapse

(2016) Sean S. Downey et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The structure of Holocene climate change in mid-latitude North America

(2016) Bryan N. Shuman et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Exploration and exploitation in the macrohistory of the pre-Hispanic Pueblo Southwest

(2016) R. K. Bocinsky et al.   Science Advances

Early Warning Signals of Social Transformation: A Case Study from the US Southwest

(2016) Katherine A. Spielmann et al.   PLoS One

North Pacific deglacial hypoxic events linked to abrupt ocean warming

(2015) S. K. Praetorius et al.   NATURE

The time-transgressive termination of the African Humid Period

(2015) Timothy M. Shanahan et al.   Nature Geoscience

Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models

(2015) Sybren Drijfhout et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover

(2015) A. Cooper et al.   SCIENCE

A 0.6 million year record of millennial-scale climate variability in the tropics

(2014) Kelly Ann Gibson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Deep ocean early warning signals of an Atlantic MOC collapse

(2014) Qing Yi Feng et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

South to north: Contrasting late-glacial and early-Holocene climate changes and vegetation responses between south and north Norway

(2014) Hilary H Birks   HOLOCENE

Centennial-scale changes in the global carbon cycle during the last deglaciation

(2014) Shaun A. Marcott et al.   NATURE

Collapse of an ecological network in Ancient Egypt

(2014) Justin D. Yeakel et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

A stratigraphic framework for abrupt climatic changes during the Last Glacial period based on three synchronized Greenland ice-core records: refining and extending the INTIMATE event stratigraphy

(2014) Sune O. Rasmussen et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Synchronization of North Pacific and Greenland climates preceded abrupt deglacial warming

(2014) S. K. Praetorius et al.   SCIENCE

Early warning signals of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse in a fully coupled climate model

(2014) Chris A. Boulton et al.   Nature Communications

Simulated climate–vegetation interaction in semi-arid regions affected by plant diversity

(2013) M. Claussen et al.   Nature Geoscience

Early warning signals of simulated Amazon rainforest dieback

(2013) Chris A. Boulton et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Mode change of millennial CO2 variability during the last glacial cycle associated with a bipolar marine carbon seesaw

(2012) B. Bereiter et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Collapse, environment, and society

(2012) K. W. Butzer   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

High-Latitude Forcing of the South American Summer Monsoon During the Last Glacial

(2012) L. C. Kanner et al.   SCIENCE

Patterns, processes, and impacts of abrupt climate change in a warm world: the past 11,700 years

(2012) Bryan Shuman   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Extrinsic and intrinsic forcing of abrupt ecological change: case studies from the late Quaternary

(2011) John W. Williams et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Large climate-driven changes of oceanic oxygen concentrations during the last deglaciation

(2011) Samuel L. Jaccard et al.   Nature Geoscience

The deglacial transition on the southeastern Alaska Margin: Meltwater input, sea level rise, marine productivity, and sedimentary anoxia

(2011) M. H. Davies et al.   PALEOCEANOGRAPHY

Anthropogenic transformation of the terrestrial biosphere

(2011) E. C. Ellis   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Earth system models: an overview

(2011) Gregory M. Flato   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Glacial hydrologic conditions in the Black Sea reconstructed using geochemical pore water profiles

(2010) G. Soulet et al.   EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS

The first estimation of Fleuve Manche palaeoriver discharge during the last deglaciation: Evidence for Fennoscandian ice sheet meltwater flow in the English Channel ca 20–18ka ago

(2010) Samuel Toucanne et al.   EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS

Rapid, time-transgressive, and variable responses to early Holocene midcontinental drying in North America

(2010) John W. Williams et al.   GEOLOGY

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Moisture variability in the southwestern United States linked to abrupt glacial climate change

(2010) J. D. M. Wagner et al.   Nature Geoscience

Climate as a contributing factor in the demise of Angkor, Cambodia

(2010) B. M. Buckley et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Deglacial Meltwater Pulse 1B and Younger Dryas Sea Levels Revisited with Boreholes at Tahiti

(2010) E. Bard et al.   SCIENCE

Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium

(2010) E. R. Cook et al.   SCIENCE

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Millennial-scale variability during the last glacial: The ice core record

(2009) E.W. Wolff et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Millennial-scale variability during the last glacial in vegetation records from Europe

(2009) William J. Fletcher et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

INCREASED SPATIAL VARIANCE ACCOMPANIES REORGANIZATION OF TWO CONTINENTAL SHELF ECOSYSTEMS

(2008) Michael A. Litzow et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Rapid responses of the prairie-forest ecotone to early Holocene aridity in mid-continental North America

(2008) John W. Williams et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Corrigendum to “Contrasting impacts of Dansgaars-Oeschger events over a western European latitudinal transect modulated by orbital parameters” [Quat. Sci. Rev. 27 (11–12) (2008) 1136–1151]

(2008) María Fernanda Sánchez Goñi et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Climate-Driven Ecosystem Succession in the Sahara: The Past 6000 Years

(2008) S. Kro pelin et al.   SCIENCE

Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   Theoretical Ecology