Uncertainty in predicting range dynamics of endemic alpine plants under climate warming

Predicting changes in the distribution and abundance of species under environmental change

(2015) Johan Ehrlén et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Novel competitors shape species’ responses to climate change

(2015) Jake M. Alexander et al.   NATURE

Global mountain topography and the fate of montane species under climate change

(2015) Paul R. Elsen et al.   Nature Climate Change

Assessing species vulnerability to climate change

(2015) Michela Pacifici et al.   Nature Climate Change

Space matters when defining effective management for invasive plants

(2014) Eliane S. Meier et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Climate-related range shifts - a global multidimensional synthesis and new research directions

(2014) J. Lenoir et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics?

(2014) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

The influence of interspecific interactions on species range expansion rates

(2014) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Modelling the Holocene migrational dynamics ofFagus sylvatica L. andPicea abies(L.) H. Karst

(2014) Doerte Lehsten et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity

(2014) Michael T. Burrows et al.   NATURE

Modelling range dynamics under global change: which framework and why?

(2014) Miguel Lurgi et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Biogeographic trends of endemic and subendemic flora in the western Iberian Peninsula under scenarios of future climate changes

(2014) João Rocha et al.   Lazaroa

Tools for integrating range change, extinction risk and climate change information into conservation management

(2013) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Variation in stochastic demography between and within central and peripheral regions in a widespread short-lived herb

(2013) Jesús Villellas et al.   ECOLOGY

Impacts of past habitat loss and future climate change on the range dynamics of South African Proteaceae

(2012) Juliano Sarmento Cabral et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Uncertainty in assessing the impacts of global change with coupled dynamic species distribution and population models

(2012) Erin Conlisk et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Dispersal will limit ability of mammals to track climate change in the Western Hemisphere

(2012) C. A. Schloss et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Recent Plant Diversity Changes on Europe's Mountain Summits

(2012) H. Pauli et al.   SCIENCE

A general and simple method for obtainingR2from generalized linear mixed-effects models

(2012) Shinichi Nakagawa et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

(2012) Clara Deser et al.   Nature Climate Change

Continent-wide response of mountain vegetation to climate change

(2012) Michael Gottfried et al.   Nature Climate Change

Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections

(2012) Reto Knutti et al.   Nature Climate Change

Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change

(2012) Stefan Dullinger et al.   Nature Climate Change

The Geography of Demography: Long-Term Demographic Studies and Species Distribution Models Reveal a Species Border Limited by Adaptation

(2011) V. M. Eckhart et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Uncertainty in predictions of range dynamics: black grouse climbing the Swiss Alps

(2011) Damaris Zurell et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Spread of North American wind-dispersed trees in future environments

(2011) Ran Nathan et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Post-glacial migration lag restricts range filling of plants in the European Alps

(2011) S. Dullinger et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Distributions of decadal means of temperature and precipitation change under global warming

(2011) I. G. Watterson et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe

(2011) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   NATURE

Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species' Optimum Elevations

(2011) S. M. Crimmins et al.   SCIENCE

Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming

(2011) I.-C. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change

(2010) Ed Hawkins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Towards better prediction of seed dispersal by animals

(2010) Roger D. Cousens et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe

(2010) ROBIN ENGLER et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Disproportional risk for habitat loss of high-altitude endemic species under climate change

(2010) THOMAS DIRNBÖCK et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Demographic compensation and tipping points in climate-induced range shifts

(2010) Daniel F. Doak et al.   NATURE

Projected range contractions of montane biodiversity under global warming

(2010) F. A. La Sorte et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century

(2010) H. M. Pereira et al.   SCIENCE

Distribution patterns, range size and niche breadth of Austrian endemic plants

(2009) Franz Essl et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Predicting future distributions of mountain plants under climate change: does dispersal capacity matter?

(2009) Robin Engler et al.   ECOGRAPHY

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The velocity of climate change

(2009) Scott R. Loarie et al.   NATURE

Niches, models, and climate change: Assessing the assumptions and uncertainties

(2009) J. A. Wiens et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species

(2009) N. E. Zimmermann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Extinction debt: a challenge for biodiversity conservation

(2009) Mikko Kuussaari et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Balancing biodiversity in a changing environment: extinction debt, immigration credit and species turnover

(2009) Stephen T. Jackson et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

Climate Change and the Future of California's Endemic Flora

(2008) Scott R. Loarie et al.   PLoS One

Global Warming, Elevational Range Shifts, and Lowland Biotic Attrition in the Wet Tropics

(2008) R. K. Colwell et al.   SCIENCE