Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors

Multiple Stressors in a Changing World: The Need for an Improved Perspective on Physiological Responses to the Dynamic Marine Environment

(2016) Alex R. Gunderson et al.   Annual Review of Marine Science

Partitioning uncertainty in ocean carbon uptake projections: Internal variability, emission scenario, and model structure

(2016) Nicole S. Lovenduski et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change

(2016) William W. L. Cheung et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Timescales for detection of trends in the ocean carbon sink

(2016) Galen A. McKinley et al.   NATURE

Future ocean hypercapnia driven by anthropogenic amplification of the natural CO2 cycle

(2016) Ben I. McNeil et al.   NATURE

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability

(2015) J. E. Kay et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A more productive, but different, ocean after mitigation

(2015) Jasmin G. John et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Quantifying internally generated and externally forced climate signals at regional scales in CMIP5 models

(2015) Kewei Lyu et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Reef-coral refugia in a rapidly changing ocean

(2015) Chris Cacciapaglia et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Uncertainty in Twenty-First-Century CMIP5 Sea Level Projections

(2015) Christopher M. Little et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Dominance of the Southern Ocean in Anthropogenic Carbon and Heat Uptake in CMIP5 Models

(2015) Thomas L. Frölicher et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Upwelling in the Southern Ocean

(2015) Adele K. Morrison et al.   PHYSICS TODAY

Seasonal sea surface temperature anomaly prediction for coastal ecosystems

(2015) Charles A. Stock et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Contrasting futures for ocean and society from different anthropogenic CO2 emissions scenarios

(2015) J.- P. Gattuso et al.   SCIENCE

Effects of long-term variability on projections of twenty-first century dynamic sea level

(2015) Mohammad H. Bordbar et al.   Nature Climate Change

Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change

(2015) Shang-Ping Xie et al.   Nature Climate Change

Natural variability of CO2and O2fluxes: What can we learn from centuries-long climate models simulations?

(2015) L. Resplandy et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS

Multi-model ensemble projections of climate change effects on global marine biodiversity

(2014) Miranda C. Jones et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

ENSO Modulation: Is It Decadally Predictable?

(2014) Andrew T. Wittenberg et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Timing of the Departure of Ocean Biogeochemical Cycles from the Preindustrial State

(2014) James R. Christian   PLoS One

Multiyear predictability of tropical marine productivity

(2014) R. Seferian et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Time of emergence for regional sea-level change

(2014) Kewei Lyu et al.   Nature Climate Change

Arctic amplification decreases temperature variance in northern mid- to high-latitudes

(2014) James A. Screen   Nature Climate Change

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there

(2013) Reto Knutti et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Impacts of ocean acidification on marine organisms: quantifying sensitivities and interaction with warming

(2013) Kristy J. Kroeker et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Projecting North American Climate over the Next 50 Years: Uncertainty due to Internal Variability*

(2013) Clara Deser et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns

(2013) Chris Huntingford et al.   NATURE

Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Threatened Species in UK Waters

(2013) Miranda C. Jones et al.   PLoS One

GFDL’s ESM2 Global Coupled Climate–Carbon Earth System Models. Part I: Physical Formulation and Baseline Simulation Characteristics

(2012) John P. Dunne et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Connecting Changing Ocean Circulation with Changing Climate

(2012) Michael Winton et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

GFDL’s ESM2 Global Coupled Climate–Carbon Earth System Models. Part II: Carbon System Formulation and Baseline Simulation Characteristics*

(2012) John P. Dunne et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Enhanced upper ocean stratification with climate change in the CMIP3 models

(2012) Antonietta Capotondi et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Climate-change induced tropicalisation of marine communities in Western Australia

(2012) William W. L. Cheung et al.   MARINE AND FRESHWATER RESEARCH

Dealing with uncertainty in ecosystem models: The paradox of use for living marine resource management

(2012) J.S. Link et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Rapid Progression of Ocean Acidification in the California Current System

(2012) N. Gruber et al.   SCIENCE

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

(2012) Clara Deser et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems

(2011) Scott C. Doney et al.   Annual Review of Marine Science

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The representative concentration pathways: an overview

(2011) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries

(2011) I Mahlstein et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Time of emergence of climate signals

(2011) E. Hawkins et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions

(2011) Stan Yip et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Warming up, turning sour, losing breath: ocean biogeochemistry under global change

(2011) N. Gruber   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Reversible and irreversible impacts of greenhouse gas emissions in multi-century projections with the NCAR global coupled carbon cycle-climate model

(2010) Thomas L. Frölicher et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change

(2010) Ed Hawkins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

On the use of IPCC-class models to assess the impact of climate on Living Marine Resources

(2010) Charles A. Stock et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

The Impact of Climate Change on the World's Marine Ecosystems

(2010) O. Hoegh-Guldberg et al.   SCIENCE

Ocean Deoxygenation in a Warming World

(2009) Ralph F. Keeling et al.   Annual Review of Marine Science

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Natural variability and anthropogenic trends in oceanic oxygen in a coupled carbon cycle-climate model ensemble

(2009) T. L. Frölicher et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change

(2009) WILLIAM W. L. CHEUNG et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Using altimetry to help explain patchy changes in hydrographic carbon measurements

(2009) Keith B. Rodgers et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Ocean Acidification: The Other CO2Problem

(2008) Scott C. Doney et al.   Annual Review of Marine Science

Interactive and cumulative effects of multiple human stressors in marine systems

(2008) Caitlin Mullan Crain et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Coherent surface-subsurface fingerprint of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

(2008) Rong Zhang   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)

(2008) Thomas M. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Global Map of Human Impact on Marine Ecosystems

(2008) Benjamin S. Halpern et al.   SCIENCE