Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change

The global ocean is an ecosystem: simulating marine life and fisheries

(2015) Villy Christensen et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Uncertainties in projecting climate-change impacts in marine ecosystems

(2015) Mark R. Payne et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Projecting the future state of marine ecosystems, “la grande illusion”?

(2015) Benjamin Planque   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Exploring the role of movement in determining the global distribution of marine biomass using a coupled hydrodynamic – Size-based ecosystem model

(2015) James R. Watson et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Modeling Social--Ecological Scenarios in Marine Systems

(2014) H. Osterblom et al.   BIOSCIENCE

A Framework for the Development of New Socio-economic Scenarios for Climate Change Research: Introductory Essay

(2014) Nebojsa Nakicenovic et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Is fisheries production within Large Marine Ecosystems determined by bottom-up or top-down forcing?

(2014) Chris J Mcowen et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

Using scenarios to project the changing profitability of fisheries under climate change

(2014) Miranda C Jones et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

Biomass changes and trophic amplification of plankton in a warmer ocean

(2014) Guillem Chust et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Spatial and body-size dependent response of marine pelagic communities to projected global climate change

(2014) Stelly Lefort et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

(2014) Mary I. O'Connor et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

New approaches to simulating the complex interaction effects of multiple human impacts on the marine environment

(2014) Gary P. Griffith et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Multi-model ensemble projections of climate change effects on global marine biodiversity

(2014) Miranda C. Jones et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

ENSO Modulation: Is It Decadally Predictable?

(2014) Andrew T. Wittenberg et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The GBIF Integrated Publishing Toolkit: Facilitating the Efficient Publishing of Biodiversity Data on the Internet

(2014) Tim Robertson et al.   PLoS One

Challenges in integrative approaches to modelling the marine ecosystems of the North Atlantic: Physics to fish and coasts to ocean

(2014) Jason Holt et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Impacts of climate change on marine ecosystem production in societies dependent on fisheries

(2014) M. Barange et al.   Nature Climate Change

Exploring Patterns of Seafood Provision Revealed in the Global Ocean Health Index

(2013) Kristin M. Kleisner et al.   AMBIO

Fish assemblages in the Southern California Current: relationships with climate, 1951-2008

(2013) J. Anthony Koslow et al.   FISHERIES OCEANOGRAPHY

Wondering about wandering whiting: Distribution of North Sea whiting between the 1920s and 2000s

(2013) Tina K. Kerby et al.   FISHERIES RESEARCH

How to make progress in projecting climate change impacts

(2013) W. W. L. Cheung et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Projected impacts of climate change on marine fish and fisheries

(2013) A. B. Hollowed et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Signature of ocean warming in global fisheries catch

(2013) William W. L. Cheung et al.   NATURE

Sustainable development goals for people and planet

(2013) David Griggs et al.   NATURE

Identifying the World's Most Climate Change Vulnerable Species: A Systematic Trait-Based Assessment of all Birds, Amphibians and Corals

(2013) Wendy B. Foden et al.   PLoS One

The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI–MIP): Project framework

(2013) Lila Warszawski et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Climate, fishing, and fluctuations of sardine and anchovy in the California Current

(2013) M. Lindegren et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison

(2013) Cynthia Rosenzweig et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Global-scale carbon and energy flows through the marine planktonic food web: An analysis with a coupled physical–biological model

(2013) Charles A. Stock et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Marine Taxa Track Local Climate Velocities

(2013) M. L. Pinsky et al.   SCIENCE

Global imprint of climate change on marine life

(2013) Elvira S. Poloczanska et al.   Nature Climate Change

Lagged social-ecological responses to climate and range shifts in fisheries

(2012) Malin L. Pinsky et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Coupling planktonic ecosystem and fisheries food web models for a pelagic ecosystem: Description and validation for the subarctic Pacific

(2012) Kelly A. Kearney et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

GFDL’s ESM2 Global Coupled Climate–Carbon Earth System Models. Part I: Physical Formulation and Baseline Simulation Characteristics

(2012) John P. Dunne et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

GFDL’s ESM2 Global Coupled Climate–Carbon Earth System Models. Part II: Carbon System Formulation and Baseline Simulation Characteristics*

(2012) John P. Dunne et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Potential consequences of climate change for primary production and fish production in large marine ecosystems

(2012) J. L. Blanchard et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Pathways between Primary Production and Fisheries Yields of Large Marine Ecosystems

(2012) Kevin D. Friedland et al.   PLoS One

Projecting Range Limits with Coupled Thermal Tolerance - Climate Change Models: An Example Based on Gray Snapper (Lutjanus griseus) along the U.S. East Coast

(2012) Jonathan A. Hare et al.   PLoS One

Dealing with uncertainty in ecosystem models: The paradox of use for living marine resource management

(2012) J.S. Link et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Decision scaling: Linking bottom-up vulnerability analysis with climate projections in the water sector

(2012) Casey Brown et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

(2012) Clara Deser et al.   Nature Climate Change

Shrinking of fishes exacerbates impacts of global ocean changes on marine ecosystems

(2012) William W. L. Cheung et al.   Nature Climate Change

Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections

(2012) Reto Knutti et al.   Nature Climate Change

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

(2011) Malte Meinshausen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Theories and behavioural drivers underlying fleet dynamics models

(2011) Ingrid E van Putten et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

Ecological risk assessment for the effects of fishing

(2011) A.J. Hobday et al.   FISHERIES RESEARCH

Effects of fishing and acidification-related benthic mortality on the southeast Australian marine ecosystem

(2011) GARY P. GRIFFITH et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Potential impacts of climate change on Northeast Pacific marine foodwebs and fisheries

(2011) C. H. Ainsworth et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Integrating ecophysiology and plankton dynamics into projected maximum fisheries catch potential under climate change in the Northeast Atlantic

(2011) W. W. L. Cheung et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Considerations in the Selection of Global Climate Models for Regional Climate Projections: The Arctic as a Case Study*

(2011) James E. Overland et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Modelling climate-change effects on Australian and Pacific aquatic ecosystems: a review of analytical tools and management implications

(2011) Éva E. Plagányi et al.   MARINE AND FRESHWATER RESEARCH

Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change

(2011) Stephen Polasky et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

The limits to prediction in ecological systems

(2011) Brian Beckage et al.   Ecosphere

Approaches to end-to-end ecosystem models

(2010) Elizabeth A. Fulton   JOURNAL OF MARINE SYSTEMS

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Biodiversity's Big Wet Secret: The Global Distribution of Marine Biological Records Reveals Chronic Under-Exploration of the Deep Pelagic Ocean

(2010) Thomas J. Webb et al.   PLoS One

Preliminary forecasts of Pacific bigeye tuna population trends under the A2 IPCC scenario

(2010) P. Lehodey et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

On the use of IPCC-class models to assess the impact of climate on Living Marine Resources

(2010) Charles A. Stock et al.   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Robust adaptation to climate change

(2010) Robert L. Wilby et al.   Weather

Modelling the potential impacts of climate change and human activities on the sustainability of marine resources

(2010) Manuel Barange et al.   Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Climate change and drought: a risk assessment of crop-yield impacts

(2009) Y Li et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios

(2009) William W.L. Cheung et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

Natural variability and anthropogenic trends in oceanic oxygen in a coupled carbon cycle-climate model ensemble

(2009) T. L. Frölicher et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Climate, plankton and cod

(2009) GRÉGORY BEAUGRAND et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change

(2009) WILLIAM W. L. CHEUNG et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Trophic amplification of climate warming

(2009) R. R. Kirby et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Rebuilding Global Fisheries

(2009) B. Worm et al.   SCIENCE

Understanding El Niño in Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models: Progress and Challenges

(2008) Eric Guilyardi et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)

(2008) Thomas M. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Application of macroecological theory to predict effects of climate change on global fisheries potential

(2008) WWL Cheung et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES