Predicting into unknown space? Estimating the area of applicability of spatial prediction models

Late-spring frost risk between 1959 and 2017 decreased in North America but increased in Europe and Asia

(2020) Constantin M. Zohner et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial validation reveals poor predictive performance of large-scale ecological mapping models

(2020) Pierre Ploton et al.   Nature Communications

Soil nematode abundance and functional group composition at a global scale

(2019) Johan van den Hoogen et al.   NATURE

The global tree restoration potential

(2019) Jean-Francois Bastin et al.   SCIENCE

Hyperparameter tuning and performance assessment of statistical and machine-learning algorithms using spatial data

(2019) Patrick Schratz et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Importance of spatial predictor variable selection in machine learning applications – Moving from data reproduction to spatial prediction

(2019) Hanna Meyer et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Improving performance of spatio-temporal machine learning models using forward feature selection and target-oriented validation

(2018) Hanna Meyer et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

A global atlas of the dominant bacteria found in soil

(2018) Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo et al.   SCIENCE

Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models

(2018) Katherine L. Yates et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Random forest as a generic framework for predictive modeling of spatial and spatio-temporal variables

(2018) Tomislav Hengl et al.   PeerJ

Predicting plant conservation priorities on a global scale

(2018) Tara A. Pelletier et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Using quantile regression forest to estimate uncertainty of digital soil mapping products

(2017) Kévin Vaysse et al.   GEODERMA

Estimating the prediction performance of spatial models via spatial k-fold cross validation

(2017) Jonne Pohjankukka et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE

SoilGrids250m: Global gridded soil information based on machine learning

(2017) Tomislav Hengl et al.   PLoS One

Chemoinformatic Classification Methods and their Applicability Domain

(2016) Miriam Mathea et al.   Molecular Informatics

Approximating Prediction Uncertainty for Random Forest Regression Models

(2016) John W. Coulston et al.   PHOTOGRAMMETRIC ENGINEERING AND REMOTE SENSING

A novel applicability domain technique for mapping predictive reliability across the chemical space of a QSAR: reliability-density neighbourhood

(2016) Natália Aniceto et al.   Journal of Cheminformatics

virtualspecies, an R package to generate virtual species distributions

(2015) Boris Leroy et al.   ECOGRAPHY

The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants

(2015) Owen L. Petchey et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Predictive soil mapping with limited sample data

(2015) A. X. Zhu et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOIL SCIENCE

Building Predictive Models inRUsing thecaretPackage

(2015) Max Kuhn   Journal of Statistical Software

Here be dragons: a tool for quantifying novelty due to covariate range and correlation change when projecting species distribution models

(2014) Mohsen B. Mesgaran et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Assessment of Machine Learning Reliability Methods for Quantifying the Applicability Domain of QSAR Regression Models

(2014) Marko Toplak et al.   Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling

Shape constrained additive models

(2014) Natalya Pya et al.   STATISTICS AND COMPUTING

Defining a novel k-nearest neighbours approach to assess the applicability domain of a QSAR model for reliable predictions

(2013) Faizan Sahigara et al.   Journal of Cheminformatics

Predicting to new environments: tools for visualizing model behaviour and impacts on mapped distributions

(2012) Damaris Zurell et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Sampling bias in geographic and environmental space and its effect on the predictive power of species distribution models

(2012) Nadia Bystriakova et al.   SYSTEMATICS AND BIODIVERSITY

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution