Anticipating the Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Pandemic

Note from the editors: World Health Organization declares novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) sixth public health emergency of international concern

(2020)   Eurosurveillance

The reproductive number of COVID-19 is higher compared to SARS coronavirus

(2020) Ying Liu et al.   JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE

Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data

(2020) Natalie M. Linton et al.   Journal of Clinical Medicine

Early warning signals of malaria resurgence in Kericho, Kenya

(2020) Mallory J. Harris et al.   Biology Letters

How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic?

(2020) Roy M Anderson et al.   LANCET

Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China

(2020) Joseph T. Wu et al.   NATURE MEDICINE

The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China

(2020) Moritz U. G. Kraemer et al.   SCIENCE

Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)

(2020) Ruiyun Li et al.   SCIENCE

Covid-19: UK starts social distancing after new model points to 260 000 potential deaths

(2020) Elisabeth Mahase   BMJ-British Medical Journal

Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems

(2020) Tobias Brett et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study

(2020) Kiesha Prem et al.   Lancet Public Health

COVID-19 lockdowns cause global air pollution declines

(2020) Zander S. Venter et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The statistics of epidemic transitions

(2019) John M. Drake et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Anticipating critical transitions in epithelial–hybrid-mesenchymal cell-fate determination

(2019) Sukanta Sarkar et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Robustness of early warning signals for catastrophic and non-catastrophic transitions

(2018) Partha Sharathi Dutta et al.   OIKOS

Disentangling reporting and disease transmission

(2018) Eamon B. O’Dea et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Quantifying resilience of humans and other animals

(2018) Marten Scheffer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases

(2017) Tobias S. Brett et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Waiting time to infectious disease emergence

(2016) Christopher J. Dibble et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination

(2013) Suzanne M. O’Regan et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

(2012) Rong Wang et al.   NATURE

Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

(2012) Sonia Kéfi et al.   OIKOS

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   ECOLOGY

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Effect of climate change on air quality

(2008) Daniel J. Jacob et al.   ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT

Ecology for bankers

(2008) Robert M. May et al.   NATURE

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA